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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

RAFAELA — Municipal council / communal commission

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · RAFAELA / Santa Fe — CASTELLANOS · municipal · Municipal council / communal commissionAR-SF-C-CASTELLANOS-RAFAELA

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
RAFAELA / Santa Fe — CASTELLANOS
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-2481ab3f82a01495b206f1fa
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-06-29

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MÁS PARA SANTA FE36.4%
  • LA LIBERTAD AVANZA29.3%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE23.6%
  • SOMOS VIDA Y LIBERTAD10.7%
Results for event-a5f52f21340616cbe36f27cb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MÁS PARA SANTA FE8argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202514,65136.4%2Recorded
LA LIBERTAD AVANZA69argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202511,80829.3%2Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE78argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20259,50623.6%1Recorded
SOMOS VIDA Y LIBERTAD21argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20254,31810.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE43.1%
  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS39.5%
  • VIVA LA LIBERTAD14.2%
  • UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIGNIDAD3.1%
Results for event-1d759a9671999b510b5c5f64
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202323,70743.1%3Recorded
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202321,71039.5%2Recorded
VIVA LA LIBERTAD38argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20237,82214.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIGNIDAD65argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20231,7193.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-11-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO49.0%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS25.5%
  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL10.3%
  • FRENTE FEDERAL VIDA Y FAMILIA9.5%
  • RAFAELA MI CIUDAD5.7%
Results for event-6b00dd9cbb111ca63f681435
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO105argentina/S83de9cad9c3c/202126,78649%3Recorded
FRENTE DE TODOS31argentina/S83de9cad9c3c/202113,91825.5%2Recorded
FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL18argentina/S83de9cad9c3c/20215,64910.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE FEDERAL VIDA Y FAMILIA25argentina/S83de9cad9c3c/20215,2069.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RAFAELA MI CIUDAD69argentina/S83de9cad9c3c/20213,1165.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2017-10-22 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2019-06-16 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2015-06-14 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

61.610–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.057567708462624, oldest_gap=23.53543667123914, previous_gap=3.6336839040721998

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
BONAFEDE SILVIO OSCAR ANDRESSource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
MENOSSI HUGO CESARSource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
MARSICO MAZZOLA LISANDRO LUISSource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
GARRAPPA EVANGELINASource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
VISINTINI ANA CARINASource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
VIOTTI LEONARDO GASTONSource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
RACCA MARTIN HERNANSource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
SAGARDOY MARIA ALEJANDRASource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
MONDINO CEFERINO JACINTOSource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
SOLTERMAM VALERIASource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
VIOTTI LEONARDO GASTONCONCEJAL2017CAMBIEMOSunknown
BONINO RAUL MARTINCONCEJAL2017CAMBIEMOSunknown
SAGARDOY MARIA ALEJANDRACONCEJAL2017CAMBIEMOSunknown
MURIEL JORGE OMARCONCEJAL2017FRENTE JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PASCUAL MARTA ESTERCONCEJAL2017CAMBIEMOSunknown
VIMO BRENDACONCEJAL2019JUNTOSunknown
BOTTERO GERMAN JUANCONCEJAL2019CAMBIEMOSunknown
MARSICO MAZZOLA LISANDRO LUISCONCEJAL2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
SENN JUAN ALBERTO ALEJANDROCONCEJAL2019JUNTOSunknown
DESTEFANIS MIGUEL ANGELCONCEJAL2019CAMBIEMOSunknown
MARSICO MAZZOLA LISANDRO LUISConcejal/a2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
SENN JUAN ALBERTO ALEJANDROConcejal/a2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
FOSSATTI MABEL NOEMIConcejal/a2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
CARUSO MONACO MARIA PAZConcejal/a2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
BOIDI CARLA PAOLAConcejal/a2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
SOLTERMAM VALERIAConcejal/a2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown
DELLASANTA FABRICIOConcejal/a2025LA LIBERTAD AVANZAunknown
SCAVINO BRUSA JUAN MANUELConcejal/a2025UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
POSTOVIT MAXIMILIANO JUAN LUISConcejal/a2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown
ZAFRA MILAGROSConcejal/a2025LA LIBERTAD AVANZAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “RAFAELA — Municipal council / communal commission.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-C-CASTELLANOS-RAFAELA. Sources: argentina--url-37c2f32beac05e8dc61453fe, argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-cbbddaf10394eef080141e90, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-5a55b3b32d7b3d501f49fde7, argentina--url-2c91ae2c2e850f6eb8521228, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sa9a75bad2b02, argentina--S6cbb0ff8bc14, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--S83de9cad9c3c, argentina--S67bbf2c6e3ca, argentina--Sa3b7b35e32ee, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S425b76ef9089, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef.