Office briefing
Aguas Blancas — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · Aguas Blancas / Salta / ORAN · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-60
Read the complete original research briefing
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Aguas Blancas / Salta / ORAN
- Next election
- 2027; formal call pending
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5d4c40fba3ca4e4744da50c6
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-05-14
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS49.7%
- FRENTE VAMOS SALTA47.0%
- FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA3.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS · MARTINEZ, CARLOS "CONEJO" | 3742argentina/Se52db9074dcf/2023 | 1,304 | 49.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| FRENTE VAMOS SALTA · SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDEL | 3745argentina/Se52db9074dcf/2023 | 1,234 | 47% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · IGNACIO, FELISA | 3744argentina/Se52db9074dcf/2023 | 87 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-11-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA52.1%
- PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA32.3%
- PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA13.8%
- FELICIDAD1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · OLIVA, SERGIO "CHECHO" | 4argentina/Sc03a1627e325/2019 | 971 | 52.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · GUZMAN, ALEJANDRO "CHULETA" | 1053argentina/Sc03a1627e325/2019 | 603 | 32.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · ROJAS, "POCOSESO" JOSE ABEL | 13argentina/Sc03a1627e325/2019 | 258 | 13.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FELICIDAD · GUTIERREZ, MARCELINO | 1874argentina/Sc03a1627e325/2019 | 32 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-05-17
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO56.0%
- MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDO38.8%
- PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA3.5%
- PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · OLIVA, SERGIO GERARDO | 1688argentina/S3c1e5f57032e/2015 | 941 | 56% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDO · CONTRERAS GARECA, HORACIO | 632argentina/S3c1e5f57032e/2015 | 652 | 38.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA · GUZMAN, DIEGO SEBASTIAN | 446argentina/S3c1e5f57032e/2015 | 59 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · BARROSO, MANUEL MARCO ANTONIO | 13argentina/S3c1e5f57032e/2015 | 28 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI53.790–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.6666666666666643, oldest_gap=17.20238095238095, previous_gap=19.742489270386265
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[52.092274678111586,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.907725321888414],[0,0,0,3.511904761904762,0,0,0,0,0,96.48809523809524]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.09percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[52.092274678111586,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.907725321888414],[0,0,0,3.511904761904762,0,0,0,0,0,96.48809523809524]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[52.092274678111586,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.907725321888414],[0,0,0,3.511904761904762,0,0,0,0,0,96.48809523809524]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLIVA, SERGIO GERARDO | Mayor | 2015 | FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO | unknown |
| GUZMAN, DIEGO SEBASTIAN | Mayor | 2015 | PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA | unknown |
| CONTRERAS GARECA, HORACIO | Mayor | 2015 | MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDO | unknown |
| BARROSO, MANUEL MARCO ANTONIO | Mayor | 2015 | PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| OLIVA, SERGIO "CHECHO" | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA | unknown |
| ROJAS, "POCOSESO" JOSE ABEL | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| GUTIERREZ, MARCELINO | Mayor | 2019 | FELICIDAD | unknown |
| GUZMAN, ALEJANDRO "CHULETA" | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA | unknown |
| MARTINEZ, CARLOS "CONEJO" | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS | unknown |
| SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDEL | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE VAMOS SALTA | unknown |
| IGNACIO, FELISA | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2023G/6/7.60.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2019G/6/7.60.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2015G/6/7.60.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/elecciones/definitivo-anteriores · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2023_C6_7.60.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2019_C6_7.60.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2015_C6_7.60.json · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Aguas Blancas — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-60. Sources: argentina--url-86b2cfa5cea4f1ee5ba25b75, argentina--url-5fba2a8e3c8ea231a8215b6f, argentina--url-77aa33d291e34e2eae3562d9, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Se52db9074dcf, argentina--Sc03a1627e325, argentina--S3c1e5f57032e.