Office briefing
Tolar Grande — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · Tolar Grande / Salta / LOS ANDES · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-59
Read the complete original research briefing
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Tolar Grande / Salta / LOS ANDES
- Next election
- 2027; formal call pending
- Linked upcoming event
- next-83d25118b42fb6c9c6519d9d
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-05-14
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA100.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | 4argentina/S8387c6293451/2023 | 248 | 100% | 1 | Recorded |
2019-11-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA100.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | 4argentina/Sb74abc4ea036/2019 | 278 | 100% | 1 | Recorded |
2015-05-17
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA72.7%
- PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA25.1%
- FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO2.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | 4argentina/Se91645c05b9e/2015 | 133 | 72.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · LOPEZ, ORLANDO MILAGRO | 13argentina/Se91645c05b9e/2015 | 46 | 25.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · VARAS, MARI PALMENIA | 1688argentina/Se91645c05b9e/2015 | 4 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=47.540983606557376, previous_gap=null
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility0 (recorded zero)percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[72.6775956284153,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.3224043715847]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility27.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[72.6775956284153,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.3224043715847]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.66percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[72.6775956284153,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.3224043715847]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VARAS, MARI PALMENIA | Mayor | 2015 | FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO | unknown |
| LOPEZ, ORLANDO MILAGRO | Mayor | 2015 | PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | Mayor | 2015 | PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA | unknown |
| VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA | unknown |
| VILLANUEVA, SERGIO ALEJANDRO | Mayor | 2023 | PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2023G/6/23.59.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2019G/6/23.59.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2015G/6/23.59.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/elecciones/definitivo-anteriores · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2023_C6_23.59.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2019_C6_23.59.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2015_C6_23.59.json · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Tolar Grande — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-59. Sources: argentina--url-465c00997b54cbad9b03b0de, argentina--url-ae51ea6439361560a1c3f822, argentina--url-309c82d85837c95c12bbdf86, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S8387c6293451, argentina--Sb74abc4ea036, argentina--Se91645c05b9e.