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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Molinos — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Molinos / Salta / MOLINOS · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-51

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Molinos / Salta / MOLINOS
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-c1b39894f4498fb12e88769c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA46.6%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA40.8%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS11.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1.4%
Results for event-b3ed96cd254ce71c7f45f9d3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULO3744argentina/Sa00e681f937c/202371646.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · ZENTENO, ANA LAURA "LALY"4argentina/Sa00e681f937c/202362740.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · FABIAN, "CARLITOS"3739argentina/Sa00e681f937c/202317311.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · LOPEZ, MARTIN LIZANDRO3746argentina/Sa00e681f937c/2023221.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA42.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA36.7%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR20.9%
Results for event-ffb828e1eb5131fe8eee34c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULO4argentina/S1424636665c2/201968042.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · ZENTENO, ANA LAURA13argentina/S1424636665c2/201959036.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · FABIAN, VICTOR MANUEL3432argentina/S1424636665c2/201933620.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA43.5%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO28.1%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO23.1%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA2.9%
  • FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS2.3%
Results for event-87edaf8945e93f49c951ada7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULO4argentina/Sb503701770cf/201563143.5%1Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · RIOS, RENZO ADRIAN1688argentina/Sb503701770cf/201540828.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · LOPEZ, RENE GERARDO460argentina/Sb503701770cf/201533523.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · BARRIONUEVO, JORGE "TUCO"13argentina/Sb503701770cf/2015422.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS · RUEDA, DAVID1278argentina/Sb503701770cf/2015342.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.786736020806245, oldest_gap=15.379310344827584, previous_gap=5.603985056039846

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.76723016905071,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.23276983094929],[42.3412204234122,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,57.6587795765878],[43.51724137931034,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,56.48275862068965]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.76723016905071,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.23276983094929],[42.3412204234122,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,57.6587795765878],[43.51724137931034,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,56.48275862068965]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.76723016905071,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.23276983094929],[42.3412204234122,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,57.6587795765878],[43.51724137931034,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,56.48275862068965]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
RIOS, RENZO ADRIANMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
RUEDA, DAVIDMayor2015FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PSunknown
LOPEZ, RENE GERARDOMayor2015FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
BARRIONUEVO, JORGE "TUCO"Mayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULOMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULOMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
ZENTENO, ANA LAURAMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
FABIAN, VICTOR MANUELMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
CHOCOBAR, WALTER ROMULOMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
ZENTENO, ANA LAURA "LALY"Mayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FABIAN, "CARLITOS"Mayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
LOPEZ, MARTIN LIZANDROMayor2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Molinos — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-51. Sources: argentina--url-b4d93365f18d229aa3eb9f22, argentina--url-fb3723a929c123015c42fed5, argentina--url-702bf29fe859fbba7fc832bb, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Sa00e681f937c, argentina--S1424636665c2, argentina--Sb503701770cf.