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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Tala — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · El Tala / Salta / LA CANDELARIA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-45

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Tala / Salta / LA CANDELARIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-4cd5a87e019318f296faa07d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA40.6%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA23.3%
  • ENTRE TODOS21.9%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA9.3%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO2.8%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS2.1%
Results for event-4fe9b4255d4e98219c4a495e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · PONCE, DANIEL OMAR4argentina/S7779c2e90f34/202382940.6%1Recorded
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · ESCOBAR, HUGO RICARDO3744argentina/S7779c2e90f34/202347523.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · ORELLA, CARLOS ADRIAN3741argentina/S7779c2e90f34/202344721.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA · SOLIS, MARIA FERNANDA15argentina/S7779c2e90f34/20231919.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · APAZA, RAMON AMADO3746argentina/S7779c2e90f34/2023582.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · SULCA, "MAESTRO" HECTOR3739argentina/S7779c2e90f34/2023432.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA39.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR33.3%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR25.4%
  • KOLINA0.8%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA0.8%
Results for event-efeaaa62348877fe09db8694
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · PONCE, DANIEL OMAR1053argentina/S678df7f0411d/201981239.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR · PAZ, MANUEL NORBERTO32argentina/S678df7f0411d/201968233.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · PASTRANA, MARIA ANTONIA3432argentina/S678df7f0411d/201951925.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · GALVAN, JULIO CESAR459argentina/S678df7f0411d/2019160.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · GALVAN, ENRIQUE ANTONIO4argentina/S678df7f0411d/2019160.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO52.2%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA46.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA1.6%
Results for event-2c934376ae3f836590c1b9c8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · MELLADO CASTELLANO, ANDRES JESUS1688argentina/Se91c44e6621f/20151,04852.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · PAZ, MANUEL NORBERTO4argentina/Se91c44e6621f/201592846.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · MERCADO, MIGUEL ANGEL13argentina/Se91c44e6621f/2015331.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

35.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.32745961820852, oldest_gap=5.9731209556993505, previous_gap=6.356968215158922

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.57758198727362,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.42241801272638],[0.78239608801956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.21760391198043],[46.19213539074166,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.80786460925833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.57758198727362,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.42241801272638],[0.78239608801956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.21760391198043],[46.19213539074166,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.80786460925833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.57758198727362,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.42241801272638],[0.78239608801956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.21760391198043],[46.19213539074166,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.80786460925833]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
MELLADO CASTELLANO, ANDRES JESUSMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
MERCADO, MIGUEL ANGELMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
PAZ, MANUEL NORBERTOMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PONCE, DANIEL OMARMayor2019PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑAunknown
PASTRANA, MARIA ANTONIAMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
PAZ, MANUEL NORBERTOMayor2019MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SURunknown
GALVAN, JULIO CESARMayor2019KOLINAunknown
GALVAN, ENRIQUE ANTONIOMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PONCE, DANIEL OMARMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
SOLIS, MARIA FERNANDAMayor2023PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTAunknown
ESCOBAR, HUGO RICARDOMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
ORELLA, CARLOS ADRIANMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown
APAZA, RAMON AMADOMayor2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
SULCA, "MAESTRO" HECTORMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Tala — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-45. Sources: argentina--url-c0068fa42d2d0ed08955b703, argentina--url-b9fb39714c3cba89154cc6c9, argentina--url-17f849f23d692ef2e2970272, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S7779c2e90f34, argentina--S678df7f0411d, argentina--Se91c44e6621f.