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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Guachipas — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Guachipas / Salta / GUACHIPAS · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-41

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Guachipas / Salta / GUACHIPAS
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-2c32c3e27500374073ad3b88
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA51.7%
  • FRENTE VAMOS SALTA33.9%
  • FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS7.1%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS4.2%
  • ENTRE TODOS3.0%
Results for event-0e52ebd2a191c48aa507fe58
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · ONTIVEROS, DIEGO ARMANDO HUGO3744argentina/S4ac0581d27c0/20231,27251.7%1Recorded
FRENTE VAMOS SALTA · QUIPILDOR, OMAR GERARDO3745argentina/S4ac0581d27c0/202383433.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS · LOPEZ, "MANOLO"3742argentina/S4ac0581d27c0/20231757.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · CHOQUEVILCA, WALTER3739argentina/S4ac0581d27c0/20231034.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · COLQUE, EUSTAQUIO BERNARDINO3741argentina/S4ac0581d27c0/2023743%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA67.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA13.0%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR10.3%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL8.8%
Results for event-60d5c5a081e6aa7b7d98c74f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · PARRA, NESTOR4argentina/S5278c43f2608/20191,63067.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · STARKLOFF, OSCAR JAVIER13argentina/S5278c43f2608/201931113%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · IBARRA, MANUEL GERARDO3432argentina/S5278c43f2608/201924810.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · OCAMPO, GUSTAVO RODOLFO5argentina/S5278c43f2608/20192128.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIA69.0%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO31.0%
Results for event-da3507413831234705ace5d6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIA · PARRA, NESTOR1687argentina/S5260989dc6f5/20151,62669%1Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · IBARRA, MANUEL GERARDO1688argentina/S5260989dc6f5/201573031%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.819365337672906, oldest_gap=38.03056027164686, previous_gap=54.935443565181174

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[67.88837984173261,8.829654310703873,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.281965847563516],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[67.88837984173261,8.829654310703873,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.281965847563516],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[67.88837984173261,8.829654310703873,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.281965847563516],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
IBARRA, MANUEL GERARDOMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
PARRA, NESTORMayor2015FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIAunknown
PARRA, NESTORMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
STARKLOFF, OSCAR JAVIERMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
IBARRA, MANUEL GERARDOMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
OCAMPO, GUSTAVO RODOLFOMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
ONTIVEROS, DIEGO ARMANDO HUGOMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
QUIPILDOR, OMAR GERARDOMayor2023FRENTE VAMOS SALTAunknown
LOPEZ, "MANOLO"Mayor2023FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOSunknown
CHOQUEVILCA, WALTERMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
COLQUE, EUSTAQUIO BERNARDINOMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Guachipas — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-41. Sources: argentina--url-7a7d6cd152e7b2602aefcee3, argentina--url-7a267830c2630051e06b4fe6, argentina--url-9e35978085a390668cc0e203, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S4ac0581d27c0, argentina--S5278c43f2608, argentina--S5260989dc6f5.