Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cerrillos — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Cerrillos / Salta / CERRILLOS · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-35

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cerrillos / Salta / CERRILLOS
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-ab0c7005afe55e9560282141
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA37.3%
  • FRENTE VAMOS SALTA27.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO13.6%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS7.4%
  • LIBERAL CERRILLOS4.4%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA3.8%
  • ENTRE TODOS2.5%
  • FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS2.2%
  • FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD1.6%
Results for event-3ada758e642f46cb3c50f8d4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · BORELLI, ENRIQUE FLAVIO3744argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20237,73737.3%1Recorded
FRENTE VAMOS SALTA · VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELA3745argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20235,62027.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · AGUILERA, ALEJANDRO RANIERO3746argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20232,82413.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · PROF. CISNERO, MARIO3739argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20231,5447.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBERAL CERRILLOS · ORTIZ CESPEDES, MELISA SILVINA3721argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20239104.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · ALVAREZ, SUSANA MABEL3747argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20237783.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · PEREYRA, MALCOM3741argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20235222.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS · ECHAZU, JULIO CESAR3742argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20234612.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD · ROMANO, NILDA LAURA DEL VALLE3743argentina/S8e4ec5200e26/20233411.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR54.0%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS33.1%
  • AHORA PATRIA7.8%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL5.1%
Results for event-a4992d186300b56d549f8bfc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELA3432argentina/S0dcd89eb8dd9/201910,12354%1Recorded
FRENTE DE TODOS · JORGE DE LA ZERDA, CARLOS3433argentina/S0dcd89eb8dd9/20196,21233.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AHORA PATRIA · CHAUQUE, SAMUEL DAVID2626argentina/S0dcd89eb8dd9/20191,4617.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · SARAVIA, MATEO5argentina/S0dcd89eb8dd9/20199505.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO47.0%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA25.7%
  • KOLINA6.2%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL4.9%
  • FRENTE PLURAL4.7%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA4.2%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL2.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA2.4%
  • COMPROMISO FEDERAL1.5%
  • FRENTE POPULAR1.1%
Results for event-a7f7a7b86c55e7707a4ea3de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELA1688argentina/S7977fdf27461/20156,88747%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CORIMAYO, HUMBERTO RUBEN4argentina/S7977fdf27461/20153,76925.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · TORRES, FIDEL MARCELO459argentina/S7977fdf27461/20159026.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · RUSSO, ALFREDO FEDERICO5argentina/S7977fdf27461/20157144.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE PLURAL · RIVERO, HUGO WALTER461argentina/S7977fdf27461/20156914.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA · PELOC, SIMON15argentina/S7977fdf27461/20156164.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · BERRUEZO, MANUEL ALBERTO208argentina/S7977fdf27461/20153592.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA · ARIAS BOETSCH, MARIANO EDUARDO34argentina/S7977fdf27461/20153492.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
COMPROMISO FEDERAL · CRUZ, RAUL ALFREDO189argentina/S7977fdf27461/20152131.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE POPULAR · PONCE, JULIO ALBERTO1242argentina/S7977fdf27461/20151561.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

27.440–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.208805516709262, oldest_gap=21.274563318777297, previous_gap=20.86311746505921

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,5.0677477861943885,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.93225221380561],[25.716430131004365,4.871724890829694,2.3812772925764194,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.03056768558953]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,5.0677477861943885,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.93225221380561],[25.716430131004365,4.871724890829694,2.3812772925764194,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.03056768558953]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,5.0677477861943885,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.93225221380561],[25.716430131004365,4.871724890829694,2.3812772925764194,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.03056768558953]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
CRUZ, RAUL ALFREDOMayor2015COMPROMISO FEDERALunknown
PONCE, JULIO ALBERTOMayor2015FRENTE POPULARunknown
VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELAMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
ARIAS BOETSCH, MARIANO EDUARDOMayor2015PARTIDO SOCIALISTAunknown
RUSSO, ALFREDO FEDERICOMayor2015UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
RIVERO, HUGO WALTERMayor2015FRENTE PLURALunknown
TORRES, FIDEL MARCELOMayor2015KOLINAunknown
BERRUEZO, MANUEL ALBERTOMayor2015MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
CORIMAYO, HUMBERTO RUBENMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PELOC, SIMONMayor2015PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTAunknown
VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELAMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
JORGE DE LA ZERDA, CARLOSMayor2019FRENTE DE TODOSunknown
CHAUQUE, SAMUEL DAVIDMayor2019AHORA PATRIAunknown
SARAVIA, MATEOMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
BORELLI, ENRIQUE FLAVIOMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
VEGA, YOLANDA GRACIELAMayor2023FRENTE VAMOS SALTAunknown
AGUILERA, ALEJANDRO RANIEROMayor2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
PROF. CISNERO, MARIOMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
ALVAREZ, SUSANA MABELMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown
PEREYRA, MALCOMMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown
ECHAZU, JULIO CESARMayor2023FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOSunknown
ROMANO, NILDA LAURA DEL VALLEMayor2023FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDADunknown
ORTIZ CESPEDES, MELISA SILVINAMayor2023LIBERAL CERRILLOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Cerrillos — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-35. Sources: argentina--url-20b6c3a8cf9398702afb7ef3, argentina--url-3c57e158b053b2941b65795f, argentina--url-9f21241cf2bb5576d4a90943, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S8e4ec5200e26, argentina--S0dcd89eb8dd9, argentina--S7977fdf27461.