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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Nazareno — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Nazareno / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-34

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Nazareno / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-f7f70bfb3f549fbf8df82845
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL49.8%
  • PRIMERO SALTA28.4%
  • ENTRE TODOS12.4%
  • PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA4.1%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA2.7%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO1.7%
  • IGUALAR0.8%
Results for event-b1ea342d35f34a53665e0153
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · YUGRA, JOSE RUBEN208argentina/Sfed065d38c74/202383549.8%1Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · CHAUQUE, JOSE LUIS1862argentina/Sfed065d38c74/202347628.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · TOLABA, ANGELICA ESTHER3741argentina/Sfed065d38c74/202320812.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA · LIZARRAGA, VICTOR2625argentina/Sfed065d38c74/2023694.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · LUNA, CIPRIANO ALBERTO4argentina/Sfed065d38c74/2023462.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · TOLABA, RUBEN460argentina/Sfed065d38c74/2023291.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IGUALAR · TOLABA, MARGARITO3649argentina/Sfed065d38c74/2023130.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA62.7%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA34.4%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR1.6%
  • KOLINA1.3%
Results for event-c653bc16bcec1a3873280792
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · YUGRA, JOSE RUBEN13argentina/Se585f9743ed6/201993162.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · GARCIA, RAMON4argentina/Se585f9743ed6/201951134.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · LIZARRAGA, VICTOR3432argentina/Se585f9743ed6/2019241.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · TOLABA, JUAN CARLOS459argentina/Se585f9743ed6/2019191.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO51.9%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA44.5%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA3.6%
Results for event-51a731efea012fa779ca8251
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · YUGRA, JOSE RUBEN1688argentina/Sa9a86ecc73d5/201583051.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · QUIQUINTE, JULIAN4argentina/Sa9a86ecc73d5/201571144.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SILISQUE, ISIDRO13argentina/Sa9a86ecc73d5/2015583.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.420047732696897, oldest_gap=7.442151344590371, previous_gap=28.282828282828284

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.7446300715990453,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.25536992840095],[34.41077441077441,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.58922558922558],[44.46529080675422,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.534709193245774]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.05percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.7446300715990453,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.25536992840095],[34.41077441077441,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.58922558922558],[44.46529080675422,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.534709193245774]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.7446300715990453,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.25536992840095],[34.41077441077441,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.58922558922558],[44.46529080675422,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.534709193245774]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
YUGRA, JOSE RUBENMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
SILISQUE, ISIDROMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
QUIQUINTE, JULIANMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
YUGRA, JOSE RUBENMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
GARCIA, RAMONMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
TOLABA, JUAN CARLOSMayor2019KOLINAunknown
LIZARRAGA, VICTORMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
YUGRA, JOSE RUBENMayor2023MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
LUNA, CIPRIANO ALBERTOMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
TOLABA, RUBENMayor2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
CHAUQUE, JOSE LUISMayor2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
LIZARRAGA, VICTORMayor2023PARTIDO AUTONOMISTAunknown
TOLABA, ANGELICA ESTHERMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown
TOLABA, MARGARITOMayor2023IGUALARunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Nazareno — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-34. Sources: argentina--url-9981c17baf5a9521268f68e2, argentina--url-91e87283e996543d4667e493, argentina--url-9c649021b7e5936d154ff27b, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Sfed065d38c74, argentina--Se585f9743ed6, argentina--Sa9a86ecc73d5.