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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Los Toldos — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Los Toldos / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-33

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Los Toldos / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-90458e9d986102fa88e51655
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA50.6%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL40.1%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA7.4%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA1.2%
  • ENTRE TODOS0.7%
Results for event-85f204e89563008892b7b66c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · MENDOZA, VIRGILIO ZOILO4argentina/Sb43afcf18ce1/202381950.6%1Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · QUIROGA, ROBERTO CARLOS208argentina/Sb43afcf18ce1/202364840.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · RAMIREZ, JOSE LUIS3744argentina/Sb43afcf18ce1/20231197.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · ACOSTA, LILIA ERLINDA3747argentina/Sb43afcf18ce1/2023201.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · RAMIREZ, WALTER BENICIO3741argentina/Sb43afcf18ce1/2023110.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA55.4%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA35.5%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR6.5%
  • KOLINA2.6%
Results for event-eaa4966127758f24fd243f06
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · MENDOZA, VIRGILIO ZOILO13argentina/Sbf2bb0e20edb/201985255.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CRUZ, ARNALDO ANTONIO4argentina/Sbf2bb0e20edb/201954735.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · VACA, FIDEL VEIMER3432argentina/Sbf2bb0e20edb/20191006.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · TAPIA, RUBEN459argentina/Sbf2bb0e20edb/2019402.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA51.5%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA47.0%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO1.5%
Results for event-15fb76ef36e6a7985e2251c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · MENDOZA, VIRGILIO "VILA"13argentina/S89c1faf6a248/201579751.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · YDIARTE, ELEUDORO4argentina/S89c1faf6a248/201572847%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · VACA, FIDEL VEIMER1688argentina/S89c1faf6a248/2015241.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

36.320–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.575139146567722, oldest_gap=4.454486765655268, previous_gap=19.818063677712807

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.64935064935065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.35064935064935],[35.54256010396361,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.45743989603639],[46.998063266623625,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.001936733376375]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.64935064935065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.35064935064935],[35.54256010396361,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.45743989603639],[46.998063266623625,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.001936733376375]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.64935064935065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.35064935064935],[35.54256010396361,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.45743989603639],[46.998063266623625,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.001936733376375]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
VACA, FIDEL VEIMERMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
MENDOZA, VIRGILIO "VILA"Mayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
YDIARTE, ELEUDOROMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
MENDOZA, VIRGILIO ZOILOMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CRUZ, ARNALDO ANTONIOMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
TAPIA, RUBENMayor2019KOLINAunknown
VACA, FIDEL VEIMERMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
MENDOZA, VIRGILIO ZOILOMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
QUIROGA, ROBERTO CARLOSMayor2023MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
RAMIREZ, JOSE LUISMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
ACOSTA, LILIA ERLINDAMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown
RAMIREZ, WALTER BENICIOMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Los Toldos — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-33. Sources: argentina--url-c4405d92b5af47cd6de3f33c, argentina--url-b6c11402961e0fe6488023e3, argentina--url-711e3d20c3fe562149735257, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Sb43afcf18ce1, argentina--Sbf2bb0e20edb, argentina--S89c1faf6a248.