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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Victoria Oeste — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Santa Victoria Oeste / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-32

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Victoria Oeste / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-f2968478e7ec743b09e34168
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA56.7%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL34.4%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA6.4%
  • ENTRE TODOS2.6%
Results for event-c93893f49d4bd2c279485b8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · QUISPE, VICTOR SANTOS4argentina/Se4a01248dbf0/20231,27756.7%1Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · YANQUE, CASTULO208argentina/Se4a01248dbf0/202377534.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · CARDOZO, MARIO RAUL3744argentina/Se4a01248dbf0/20231446.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · ONTIVEROS, LEOPOLDO3741argentina/Se4a01248dbf0/2023582.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA54.8%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA35.3%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR7.4%
  • KOLINA1.6%
  • PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA1.0%
Results for event-f70cab1828cce06ffdbb1258
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · QUISPE, VICTOR SANTOS4argentina/S4b7c278fcc91/20191,15754.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · FLORES, LINO ANDRES13argentina/S4b7c278fcc91/201974535.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · ALVAREZ, ARTURO FERNANDO3432argentina/S4b7c278fcc91/20191567.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · MARTINEZ, JULIO "EL CHUTA"459argentina/S4b7c278fcc91/2019341.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · VARGAS, BENIGNO1053argentina/S4b7c278fcc91/2019211%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA53.3%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO42.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA4.5%
Results for event-12a31bd26b25954668bdabd3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · FLORES, LINO ANDRES4argentina/Sadfc42d39a19/20151,15053.3%1Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · AUCAPIÑA, SABAS1688argentina/Sadfc42d39a19/201591042.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · CABANA, GUADALUPE SILVIA13argentina/Sadfc42d39a19/2015984.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.2715173025732, oldest_gap=11.121408711770158, previous_gap=19.49834358731661

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[56.65483584738243,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.34516415261757],[54.75627070515854,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.24372929484146],[53.29008341056534,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.70991658943466]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[56.65483584738243,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.34516415261757],[54.75627070515854,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.24372929484146],[53.29008341056534,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.70991658943466]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[56.65483584738243,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.34516415261757],[54.75627070515854,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.24372929484146],[53.29008341056534,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.70991658943466]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
AUCAPIÑA, SABASMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
CABANA, GUADALUPE SILVIAMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
FLORES, LINO ANDRESMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
QUISPE, VICTOR SANTOSMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FLORES, LINO ANDRESMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
MARTINEZ, JULIO "EL CHUTA"Mayor2019KOLINAunknown
ALVAREZ, ARTURO FERNANDOMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
VARGAS, BENIGNOMayor2019PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑAunknown
QUISPE, VICTOR SANTOSMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
YANQUE, CASTULOMayor2023MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
CARDOZO, MARIO RAULMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
ONTIVEROS, LEOPOLDOMayor2023ENTRE TODOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Victoria Oeste — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-32. Sources: argentina--url-30fa1565516cc692996b2040, argentina--url-4bb516957e71d769952dc1aa, argentina--url-8637b826eca289004399024f, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Se4a01248dbf0, argentina--S4b7c278fcc91, argentina--Sadfc42d39a19.