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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Isla De Cañas — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Isla De Cañas / Salta / IRUYA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-31

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Isla De Cañas / Salta / IRUYA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-6ef7c2379615f9718ed38ed8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA41.4%
  • TODOS POR SALTA32.1%
  • PRIMERO SALTA24.7%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS1.5%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA0.4%
Results for event-9b39f535becf282e0789cdac
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CANCHI, JORGE4argentina/S65cc535f6920/202358941.4%1Recorded
TODOS POR SALTA · TOLAVA, DAMASO2627argentina/S65cc535f6920/202345632.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · CANCHI, "JONI"1862argentina/S65cc535f6920/202335124.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · ZERPA, LIDIA3739argentina/S65cc535f6920/2023211.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · CARI, SANTOS CARLOS3747argentina/S65cc535f6920/202350.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA62.5%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR35.8%
  • PRIMERO SALTA1.3%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL0.4%
Results for event-32eddf568416a169a4a3f9af
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CANCHI, JORGE4argentina/Sc2fca486b527/201986462.5%1Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · CANCHI, ANGELINA LUCIA3432argentina/Sc2fca486b527/201949535.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · TOLAVA, DAMASO1862argentina/Sc2fca486b527/2019181.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · ARAMAYO, HEBER HERIBERTO5argentina/Sc2fca486b527/201950.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA32.8%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO29.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA28.3%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO8.4%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA0.6%
Results for event-f8c47927b25a9b7504e4134a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CANCHI, ANGELINA LUCIA4argentina/S0bf2ce8a2114/201539332.8%1Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · DIAZ, BENANCIO460argentina/S0bf2ce8a2114/201535929.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · VARGAS, RICARDO GERMAN13argentina/S0bf2ce8a2114/201533928.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · CHAMBE, ADIEL1688argentina/S0bf2ce8a2114/20151018.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA · OCAMPO, JOAQUIN15argentina/S0bf2ce8a2114/201570.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.470–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.353023909985936, oldest_gap=2.835696413678061, previous_gap=26.700434153400863

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[41.420534458509145,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,58.57946554149086],[62.51808972503618,0.361794500723589,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.12011577424023],[32.77731442869057,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.22268557130943]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[41.420534458509145,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,58.57946554149086],[62.51808972503618,0.361794500723589,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.12011577424023],[32.77731442869057,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.22268557130943]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[41.420534458509145,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,58.57946554149086],[62.51808972503618,0.361794500723589,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.12011577424023],[32.77731442869057,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.22268557130943]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
CHAMBE, ADIELMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
DIAZ, BENANCIOMayor2015FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
VARGAS, RICARDO GERMANMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CANCHI, ANGELINA LUCIAMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
OCAMPO, JOAQUINMayor2015PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTAunknown
CANCHI, JORGEMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CANCHI, ANGELINA LUCIAMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
TOLAVA, DAMASOMayor2019PRIMERO SALTAunknown
ARAMAYO, HEBER HERIBERTOMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
TOLAVA, DAMASOMayor2023TODOS POR SALTAunknown
CANCHI, "JONI"Mayor2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
CANCHI, JORGEMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
ZERPA, LIDIAMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
CARI, SANTOS CARLOSMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Isla De Cañas — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-31. Sources: argentina--url-edae6fbd02731a8870fd5594, argentina--url-862f03f7fac76cf392b51bdc, argentina--url-dff9c9b2e2e4b68a7733af0f, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S65cc535f6920, argentina--Sc2fca486b527, argentina--S0bf2ce8a2114.