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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Aguaray — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Aguaray / Salta / SAN MARTIN · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-28

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Aguaray / Salta / SAN MARTIN
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-30e115571ff4bafff502e385
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL48.6%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO37.9%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO4.2%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS3.9%
  • KOLINA1.7%
  • POLITICA OBRERA1.3%
  • INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULAR1.0%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA0.9%
  • FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD0.5%
Results for event-3cacdfb24d54041473185d0f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL · ALEMAN, GUILLERMO SEBASTIAN1argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/20233,80848.6%1Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · QUINTEROS, DIEGO GUSTAVO460argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/20232,97137.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · AYLLON, SERGIO JESUS3746argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/20233304.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · OLMOS, WALTER3739argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/20233023.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · BULACIO, RAMON ALFREDO459argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/20231341.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POLITICA OBRERA · ALVAREZ, ALEJANDRA MARIELA22argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/2023981.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULAR · QUIROGA, SEBASTIAN CRISTIAN685argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/2023811%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · FIGUEREDO, GRACIELA DEL CARMEN3747argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/2023710.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD · MESA, MARTA ANGELICA3743argentina/S11fa21a1d27f/2023410.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL31.2%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA21.6%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS18.0%
  • AGRUPACION MUNICIPAL AGUARAY A.M.A.7.8%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL5.7%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO4.5%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS4.4%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE3.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +2.1%
  • FRENTE POLITICA OBRERA - MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO1.2%
Results for event-948961ab7014f09fe98436ed
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL · ALEMAN, GUILLERMO SEBASTIAN1argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20212,44231.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · BALVERDI, ROBERTO "CUCHILA"4argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20211,69221.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE DE TODOS · CARMONA, "FRANCO"3646argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20211,40618%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AGRUPACION MUNICIPAL AGUARAY A.M.A. · ROMERO, MARINES DE LOS ANGELES3630argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20216137.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · AYLLON, SERGIO JESUS5argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20214505.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · PADILLA, RAUL "CHATO"460argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20213534.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS · RUIZ, RAFAEL JAVIER3641argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20213424.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE · GONZALEZ, PATRICIA OLINDA12argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20212723.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO + · ASSAF, NATALIA CAROLINA3640argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/20211662.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE POLITICA OBRERA - MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO · ALVAREZ, ALEJANDRA MARIELA3645argentina/Sd0feb8265f65/2021941.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA45.0%
  • AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL43.6%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR11.4%
Results for event-82d840c191c83187a467cf5d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · PRADO, "QUIQUE" ENRIQUE13argentina/S47294166b7d2/20193,64745%1Recorded
AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNAL · ALCOBA, JUAN CARLOS1argentina/S47294166b7d2/20193,53643.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · AREQUIPA, PABLO EMANUEL3432argentina/S47294166b7d2/201992511.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2015-05-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

52.90–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.681470137825421, oldest_gap=1.3690182535767192, previous_gap=9.57854406130268

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[21.60919540229885,5.747126436781609,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.64367816091954],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[21.60919540229885,5.747126436781609,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.64367816091954],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[21.60919540229885,5.747126436781609,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.64367816091954],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
CASTRO, CESAR DAVIDMayor2015PARTIDO OBREROunknown
DAROUICHE, ALFREDO NADIMMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
ALCOBA, JUAN CARLOSMayor2015AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNALunknown
ORTIZ, RENEMayor2015MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDOunknown
LUNA, MARIO "TUCAN"Mayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
SAMBONINI, JAVIER ADRIANMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
ROCHA, "PICHI"Mayor2015PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTAunknown
PRADO, "QUIQUE" ENRIQUEMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
ALCOBA, JUAN CARLOSMayor2019AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNALunknown
AREQUIPA, PABLO EMANUELMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
ALEMAN, GUILLERMO SEBASTIANMayor2021AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNALunknown
BALVERDI, ROBERTO "CUCHILA"Mayor2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PADILLA, RAUL "CHATO"Mayor2021FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
CARMONA, "FRANCO"Mayor2021FRENTE DE TODOSunknown
AYLLON, SERGIO JESUSMayor2021UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
ASSAF, NATALIA CAROLINAMayor2021JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +unknown
RUIZ, RAFAEL JAVIERMayor2021SALTA PARA TODOSunknown
ALVAREZ, ALEJANDRA MARIELAMayor2021FRENTE POLITICA OBRERA - MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMOunknown
ROMERO, MARINES DE LOS ANGELESMayor2021AGRUPACION MUNICIPAL AGUARAY A.M.A.unknown
GONZALEZ, PATRICIA OLINDAMayor2021PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDEunknown
ALEMAN, GUILLERMO SEBASTIANMayor2023AGRUPACION DEMOCRATICA COMUNALunknown
QUINTEROS, DIEGO GUSTAVOMayor2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
AYLLON, SERGIO JESUSMayor2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
OLMOS, WALTERMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
BULACIO, RAMON ALFREDOMayor2023KOLINAunknown
FIGUEREDO, GRACIELA DEL CARMENMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown
MESA, MARTA ANGELICAMayor2023FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDADunknown
ALVAREZ, ALEJANDRA MARIELAMayor2023POLITICA OBRERAunknown
QUIROGA, SEBASTIAN CRISTIANMayor2023INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULARunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Aguaray — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-28. Sources: argentina--url-e56692549cb2b507efac7d8b, argentina--url-0eb8f493cd26b959769de8e0, argentina--url-801136c71bc1ffaec84c36d2, argentina--url-76f4c285e52c87ff14ea1344, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S11fa21a1d27f, argentina--Sd0feb8265f65, argentina--S47294166b7d2, argentina--S05e5f6fc0da6.