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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

General Ballivian — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · General Ballivian / Salta / SAN MARTIN · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-25

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
General Ballivian / Salta / SAN MARTIN
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-89e7ebdcc939492f9202317b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE SALTEÑO61.4%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO32.4%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA3.5%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA2.7%
Results for event-e8052e7c492573aedd2054f7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE SALTEÑO · CORDOBA, SAMUEL "PIKY"460argentina/S1838105435de/202389561.4%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORA3746argentina/S1838105435de/202347232.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · LANUZA, PEDRO REGINO3747argentina/S1838105435de/2023513.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SANTILLAN, HECTOR13argentina/S1838105435de/2023402.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA63.0%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL21.0%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR6.5%
  • KOLINA5.6%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA2.4%
  • SALTA FEDERAL1.5%
Results for event-44082e248eb6efe318e6a072
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · CORDOBA, "PIKI" SAMUEL13argentina/S762968dd0727/201981963%1Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · FERNANDEZ, VALERIA ALEJANDRA5argentina/S762968dd0727/201927321%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · CATARI, RUBEN DARIO3432argentina/S762968dd0727/2019856.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · LANUZA, PEDRO REGINO459argentina/S762968dd0727/2019735.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · LUNA, JOSE HECTOR4argentina/S762968dd0727/2019312.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA FEDERAL · LUCERO, LUCIANO2225argentina/S762968dd0727/2019191.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA61.0%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO36.8%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA2.3%
Results for event-7058ba6087f184f4a6993cb4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CORDOBA, SAMUEL GERARDO4argentina/S3e101b422a54/201575861%1Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · FELIZ, JONATAN1688argentina/S3e101b422a54/201545736.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SAYAGO, NORMA EMILIANA13argentina/S3e101b422a54/2015282.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.01234567901234, oldest_gap=24.215607401448104, previous_gap=42

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[2.3846153846153846,21,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.61538461538461],[60.981496379726465,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,39.018503620273535]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[2.3846153846153846,21,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.61538461538461],[60.981496379726465,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,39.018503620273535]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[2.3846153846153846,21,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.61538461538461],[60.981496379726465,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,39.018503620273535]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
FELIZ, JONATANMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
SAYAGO, NORMA EMILIANAMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CORDOBA, SAMUEL GERARDOMayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CORDOBA, "PIKI" SAMUELMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
LANUZA, PEDRO REGINOMayor2019KOLINAunknown
LUNA, JOSE HECTORMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FERNANDEZ, VALERIA ALEJANDRAMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
CATARI, RUBEN DARIOMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
LUCERO, LUCIANOMayor2019SALTA FEDERALunknown
CORDOBA, SAMUEL "PIKY"Mayor2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORAMayor2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
LANUZA, PEDRO REGINOMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown
SANTILLAN, HECTORMayor2023PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “General Ballivian — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-25. Sources: argentina--url-9477bdaa4d055ca416c350eb, argentina--url-ae29c209e981bac68e093136, argentina--url-c2a30ac3375f7167fae46fb4, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S1838105435de, argentina--S762968dd0727, argentina--S3e101b422a54.