Office briefing
S. Ramon De La Nueva Oran — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · S. Ramon De La Nueva Oran / Salta / ORAN · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-19
Read the complete original research briefing
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- S. Ramon De La Nueva Oran / Salta / ORAN
- Next election
- 2027; formal call pending
- Linked upcoming event
- next-721cb9d3e19748504c2ab512
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-05-14
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA25.4%
- FRENTE VAMOS SALTA18.0%
- JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO15.2%
- FRENTE AVANCEMOS11.6%
- PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA10.9%
- ENTRE TODOS8.0%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA MST - PARTIDO OBRERO3.2%
- FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS2.9%
- SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA2.4%
- MILITANCIA ACTIVA1.2%
- FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · LARA GROS, BALTASAR | 3744argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 9,364 | 25.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| FRENTE VAMOS SALTA · GONZALEZ, PABLO DAMIAN | 3745argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 6,629 | 18% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · MANZUR, CARLOS "TUCAN" | 3746argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 5,600 | 15.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE AVANCEMOS · MERI, ROBERTO | 3739argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 4,282 | 11.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · ILLESCA, CRISTIAN | 13argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 4,031 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ENTRE TODOS · DR. GOMILA, JORGE | 3741argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 2,938 | 8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA MST - PARTIDO OBRERO · SEGOVIA, EDUARDO CALIXTO | 3740argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 1,196 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS · NIEVAS, HECTOR ALEJANDRO | 3742argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 1,060 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · NIEVA, MARCELO ANTONIO | 3747argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 869 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MILITANCIA ACTIVA · CARRIZO, JOSE LEONARDO | 3707argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 431 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD · MENDOZA, MATIAS HERIBERTO | 3743argentina/S068bd64f0e48/2023 | 413 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-11-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- SAENZ GOBERNADOR51.7%
- PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA20.4%
- PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA10.3%
- UNION CIVICA RADICAL9.7%
- PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE3.2%
- FELICIDAD1.8%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD1.8%
- PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y DEL PUEBLO0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAENZ GOBERNADOR · GONZALEZ, PABLO | 3432argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 19,587 | 51.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · MIZZAU, IVAN GUERINO DEL MILAGRO | 13argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 7,746 | 20.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · RUIZ, GUSTAVO ARIEL | 4argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 3,912 | 10.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION CIVICA RADICAL · MANZUR, CARLOS "TUCAN" | 5argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 3,680 | 9.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE · FARA, LUIS EDUARDO | 12argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 1,210 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FELICIDAD · ISAAC, CAMILO "CHINCHE" | 1874argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 698 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD · DIAZ, NELIDA CRISTINA | 3428argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 698 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y DEL PUEBLO · RISSO, "CHAQUEÑO" | 179argentina/S14c0813eff24/2019 | 349 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-05-17
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIA48.0%
- FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO34.7%
- PARTIDO OBRERO6.6%
- FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS4.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ORAN PARA TODOS3.4%
- FRENTE POPULAR1.6%
- COMPROMISO FEDERAL1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIA · LARA GROS, MARCELO | 1687argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 17,821 | 48% | 1 | Recorded |
| FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · HUCENA, ANTONIO RENE | 1688argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 12,861 | 34.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OBRERO · CARDOZO, JOSEFA BEATRIZ | 22argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 2,446 | 6.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS · WAYLLACE, FORTUNATO PEDRO | 1278argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 1,576 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ORAN PARA TODOS · CRAUSAZ, ESTELA MARIA | 18argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 1,263 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE POPULAR · LUNA, NORBERTO ANTONIO | 1242argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 610 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| COMPROMISO FEDERAL · BICHARA, WALTER FLAVIO | 189argentina/S5833ec39d2d6/2015 | 522 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI24.140–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.4294406867139315, oldest_gap=13.369632604652416, previous_gap=31.259239704329463
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[10.327349524815206,9.714889123548046,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.95776135163675],[0,0,0,0,0,0,6.593169627213672,0,0,93.40683037278636]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[10.327349524815206,9.714889123548046,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.95776135163675],[0,0,0,0,0,0,6.593169627213672,0,0,93.40683037278636]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[10.327349524815206,9.714889123548046,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.95776135163675],[0,0,0,0,0,0,6.593169627213672,0,0,93.40683037278636]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BICHARA, WALTER FLAVIO | Mayor | 2015 | COMPROMISO FEDERAL | unknown |
| CRAUSAZ, ESTELA MARIA | Mayor | 2015 | MOVIMIENTO ORAN PARA TODOS | unknown |
| CARDOZO, JOSEFA BEATRIZ | Mayor | 2015 | PARTIDO OBRERO | unknown |
| LUNA, NORBERTO ANTONIO | Mayor | 2015 | FRENTE POPULAR | unknown |
| HUCENA, ANTONIO RENE | Mayor | 2015 | FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO | unknown |
| WAYLLACE, FORTUNATO PEDRO | Mayor | 2015 | FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS | unknown |
| LARA GROS, MARCELO | Mayor | 2015 | FTE. JUSTICIALISTA RENOVADOR PARA LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| GONZALEZ, PABLO | Mayor | 2019 | SAENZ GOBERNADOR | unknown |
| MIZZAU, IVAN GUERINO DEL MILAGRO | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| RUIZ, GUSTAVO ARIEL | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA | unknown |
| ISAAC, CAMILO "CHINCHE" | Mayor | 2019 | FELICIDAD | unknown |
| RISSO, "CHAQUEÑO" | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y DEL PUEBLO | unknown |
| MANZUR, CARLOS "TUCAN" | Mayor | 2019 | UNION CIVICA RADICAL | unknown |
| DIAZ, NELIDA CRISTINA | Mayor | 2019 | FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD | unknown |
| FARA, LUIS EDUARDO | Mayor | 2019 | PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE | unknown |
| LARA GROS, BALTASAR | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA | unknown |
| MERI, ROBERTO | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE AVANCEMOS | unknown |
| ILLESCA, CRISTIAN | Mayor | 2023 | PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA | unknown |
| GONZALEZ, PABLO DAMIAN | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE VAMOS SALTA | unknown |
| MANZUR, CARLOS "TUCAN" | Mayor | 2023 | JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO | unknown |
| DR. GOMILA, JORGE | Mayor | 2023 | ENTRE TODOS | unknown |
| SEGOVIA, EDUARDO CALIXTO | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA MST - PARTIDO OBRERO | unknown |
| NIEVAS, HECTOR ALEJANDRO | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE SALTA AVANZA CON VOS | unknown |
| NIEVA, MARCELO ANTONIO | Mayor | 2023 | SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA | unknown |
| MENDOZA, MATIAS HERIBERTO | Mayor | 2023 | FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD | unknown |
| CARRIZO, JOSE LEONARDO | Mayor | 2023 | MILITANCIA ACTIVA | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2023G/6/7.19.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2019G/6/7.19.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/JSON/Escrutinio/2015G/6/7.19.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoralsalta.gob.ar/elecciones/definitivo-anteriores · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2023_C6_7.19.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2019_C6_7.19.json · rights unknown
- Argentina: Salta Tribunal Electoral definitive return: ar_salta_2015_C6_7.19.json · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “S. Ramon De La Nueva Oran — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-19. Sources: argentina--url-038d847e2a30faafa5d12a3b, argentina--url-8a07535cf3d9d0e5620c7bbe, argentina--url-433d56bc179b916e844c1b0d, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S068bd64f0e48, argentina--S14c0813eff24, argentina--S5833ec39d2d6.