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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Rivadavia Banda Sur — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Rivadavia Banda Sur / Salta / RIVADAVIA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-16

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Rivadavia Banda Sur / Salta / RIVADAVIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-251d78bc6f0c9583f394c6f7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA34.6%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL32.7%
  • PRIMERO SALTA17.0%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS15.7%
Results for event-20c8021e4114b3b62a42d9f1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CUENCA, LEOPOLDO "POLO"4argentina/Sd0ad876b315a/20231,71334.6%1Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · RAMIREZ, HUGO ORLANDO208argentina/Sd0ad876b315a/20231,61832.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · CAMPOS, DEMETRIO1862argentina/Sd0ad876b315a/202384317%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · CISNERO, OSCAR3739argentina/Sd0ad876b315a/202377915.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA47.5%
  • AHORA PATRIA29.8%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR13.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR5.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA1.7%
  • TODOS POR SALTA1.4%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL0.6%
Results for event-abecda2afdf3a2111ea39a5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CUENCA, "POLO" LEOPOLDO4argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/20192,05947.5%1Recorded
AHORA PATRIA · CISNERO, CARLOS OSCAR2626argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/20191,29229.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · ROJAS, JUAN ANTONIO3432argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/201957213.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR · DIAZ, CERBANDA32argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/20192555.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · ARANDA, EDGAR OSWALDO13argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/2019721.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS POR SALTA · CUETO, MIGUEL ANGEL2627argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/2019621.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · BENITEZ, GUSTAVO ARIEL5argentina/Sa6ca8fa6cb85/2019240.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA52.1%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA46.5%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE1.4%
Results for event-7ca4166581761274ff5552ae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CUENCA, LEOPOLDO "POLO"4argentina/S416471edb599/20152,11652.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · TORRES, "EL GORDO" EDGARDO13argentina/S416471edb599/20151,88546.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE · SARDINA, RAUL FRANCISCO12argentina/S416471edb599/2015571.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.870–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.9180294770845947, oldest_gap=5.692459339576146, previous_gap=17.689114391143907

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[34.58509993943065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.41490006056935],[47.48616236162361,0.5535055350553506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.960332103321036],[52.14391325776244,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.85608674223755]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[34.58509993943065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.41490006056935],[47.48616236162361,0.5535055350553506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.960332103321036],[52.14391325776244,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.85608674223755]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[34.58509993943065,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.41490006056935],[47.48616236162361,0.5535055350553506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.960332103321036],[52.14391325776244,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,47.85608674223755]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
TORRES, "EL GORDO" EDGARDOMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
SARDINA, RAUL FRANCISCOMayor2015PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDEunknown
CUENCA, LEOPOLDO "POLO"Mayor2015PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CUENCA, "POLO" LEOPOLDOMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
DIAZ, CERBANDAMayor2019MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SURunknown
ARANDA, EDGAR OSWALDOMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CISNERO, CARLOS OSCARMayor2019AHORA PATRIAunknown
BENITEZ, GUSTAVO ARIELMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
ROJAS, JUAN ANTONIOMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
CUETO, MIGUEL ANGELMayor2019TODOS POR SALTAunknown
CUENCA, LEOPOLDO "POLO"Mayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
RAMIREZ, HUGO ORLANDOMayor2023MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
CAMPOS, DEMETRIOMayor2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
CISNERO, OSCARMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Rivadavia Banda Sur — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-16. Sources: argentina--url-73570055fc25c506221998c1, argentina--url-51be035c78b26692e5f88a7c, argentina--url-6f0e825aab77985217b9d639, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Sd0ad876b315a, argentina--Sa6ca8fa6cb85, argentina--S416471edb599.