Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Apolinario Saravia — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Apolinario Saravia / Salta / ANTA · municipal · MayorAR-SA-M-12

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Apolinario Saravia / Salta / ANTA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-2a81bb9a376843f5a87077fa
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA68.9%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA23.3%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS5.2%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA2.5%
Results for event-6541c87a056b39ae54f82137
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · MOISES, MARCELO DANIEL4argentina/S9aaf47cbc505/20233,24068.9%1Recorded
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · PEDRAZA LOPEZ, EMILIA ANDREA3744argentina/S9aaf47cbc505/20231,09623.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · GOMEZ, SANDRA3739argentina/S9aaf47cbc505/20232455.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · SALAZAR, HECTOR EDUARDO3747argentina/S9aaf47cbc505/20231192.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA62.1%
  • P. DE LA CULTURA, LA EDUCACION Y EL TRABAJO10.0%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL8.0%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR5.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR4.9%
  • IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)4.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA3.3%
  • AGRUPACION VECINAL AUTONOMA1.9%
Results for event-7172236b39ba9970aab86d3f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · MOISES, MARCELO DANIEL4argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20192,84962.1%1Recorded
P. DE LA CULTURA, LA EDUCACION Y EL TRABAJO · FERNANDEZ, FERNANDO DAVID1052argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/201945710%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · LUNA ALVAREZ, FRANCISCO JAVIER5argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20193668%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · BRITOS, JUAN CRISTOBAL3432argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20192575.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR · MOLINA, CRISTIAN DANIEL RAMON32argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20192244.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP) · YULAN, YESSICA YUDITH1796argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20191994.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · VERA, LUIS ALBERTO13argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/20191513.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AGRUPACION VECINAL AUTONOMA · CORTEZ, RICARDO MARCELO20argentina/Sf7f14bad50ad/2019881.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-05-17

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • KOLINA68.0%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA15.2%
  • FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO8.4%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA5.7%
  • FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS2.7%
Results for event-cdce0bffbeb4f693c944d705
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
KOLINA · MOISES, MARCELO DANIEL459argentina/Sfd8b8499857a/20153,40168%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · MEDINA, JORGE EDUARDO13argentina/Sfd8b8499857a/201576215.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDO · VERA, LUIS ALBERTO1688argentina/Sfd8b8499857a/20154208.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTA · ALTAMIRANDA, JORGE DANIEL15argentina/Sfd8b8499857a/20152875.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PS · BETANCOURT, YOLANDA1278argentina/Sfd8b8499857a/20151352.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=45.61702127659575, oldest_gap=52.72727272727272, previous_gap=52.10193857547375

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[68.93617021276596,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.06382978723404],[62.05619690699194,7.972119363972991,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.97168372903507],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[68.93617021276596,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.06382978723404],[62.05619690699194,7.972119363972991,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.97168372903507],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[68.93617021276596,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.06382978723404],[62.05619690699194,7.972119363972991,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.97168372903507],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
VERA, LUIS ALBERTOMayor2015FRENTE ROMERO + OLMEDOunknown
BETANCOURT, YOLANDAMayor2015FRENTE UCR - UNEN - PSunknown
MOISES, MARCELO DANIELMayor2015KOLINAunknown
MEDINA, JORGE EDUARDOMayor2015PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
ALTAMIRANDA, JORGE DANIELMayor2015PARTIDO RENOVADOR DE SALTAunknown
MOISES, MARCELO DANIELMayor2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FERNANDEZ, FERNANDO DAVIDMayor2019P. DE LA CULTURA, LA EDUCACION Y EL TRABAJOunknown
MOLINA, CRISTIAN DANIEL RAMONMayor2019MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SURunknown
YULAN, YESSICA YUDITHMayor2019IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)unknown
VERA, LUIS ALBERTOMayor2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
LUNA ALVAREZ, FRANCISCO JAVIERMayor2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
BRITOS, JUAN CRISTOBALMayor2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
CORTEZ, RICARDO MARCELOMayor2019AGRUPACION VECINAL AUTONOMAunknown
MOISES, MARCELO DANIELMayor2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
PEDRAZA LOPEZ, EMILIA ANDREAMayor2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
GOMEZ, SANDRAMayor2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
SALAZAR, HECTOR EDUARDOMayor2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Apolinario Saravia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-M-12. Sources: argentina--url-d06d406e68c6d99ff1d8c574, argentina--url-41101b55af698ff3e45c66a8, argentina--url-a5de39362d14129913911450, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S9aaf47cbc505, argentina--Sf7f14bad50ad, argentina--Sfd8b8499857a.