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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Aguas Blancas — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Aguas Blancas / Salta / ORAN · municipal · Municipal councilAR-SA-C-60

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Aguas Blancas / Salta / ORAN
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-68613aab1d3f01664533c956
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FEDERAL ALTERNATIVO REGIONAL ORGANIZADO-FARO51.3%
  • FRENTE VAMOS SALTA44.7%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA4.0%
Results for event-37c107442f780359ed9edd39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FEDERAL ALTERNATIVO REGIONAL ORGANIZADO-FARO · GUTIERREZ, FABIAN ALEJANDRO3748argentina/S58c037505606/20231,33451.3%2Recorded
FRENTE VAMOS SALTA · GUZMAN, ESTELA VERONICA3745argentina/S58c037505606/20231,16244.7%1Recorded
FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTA · MENESES, BERNARDINO WILSON3744argentina/S58c037505606/20231034%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA35.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA15.0%
  • PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA14.9%
  • PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA13.6%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS10.4%
  • FELICIDAD5.2%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO5.2%
Results for event-672a86d0087e9898d9b852bf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDEL4argentina/S3a4124cc6048/202159735.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · BARROSO, "EL PROFE"13argentina/S3a4124cc6048/202125215%1Recorded
PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA · TAPIA, HECTOR MARCELO2625argentina/S3a4124cc6048/202125114.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · GUZMAN, DANIEL ALEJANDRO1053argentina/S3a4124cc6048/202122913.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS · IGNACIO, "DOÑA WACHI" FELISA3641argentina/S3a4124cc6048/202117510.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FELICIDAD · OCAMPO, ESTEBAN1874argentina/S3a4124cc6048/2021885.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · CORIA, GUSTAVO ALEJANDRO460argentina/S3a4124cc6048/2021875.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA51.7%
  • PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA34.1%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA12.1%
  • FELICIDAD2.1%
Results for event-8912e4050a96adc196fce3c7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDEL4argentina/Sad4f6f5c8ea6/201995351.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · BARROSO, MARCO "EL PROFE"1053argentina/Sad4f6f5c8ea6/201962934.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · TOLABA, SERGIO MANUEL13argentina/Sad4f6f5c8ea6/201922412.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FELICIDAD · OCAMPO, ESTEBAN1874argentina/Sad4f6f5c8ea6/2019392.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

40.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.617929973066566, oldest_gap=17.5609756097561, previous_gap=20.54794520547945

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[35.55687909469923,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.44312090530079],[51.65311653116531,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,48.34688346883469]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[35.55687909469923,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.44312090530079],[51.65311653116531,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,48.34688346883469]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[35.55687909469923,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.44312090530079],[51.65311653116531,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,48.34688346883469]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDELLead council candidate2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
TOLABA, SERGIO MANUELLead council candidate2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
OCAMPO, ESTEBANLead council candidate2019FELICIDADunknown
BARROSO, MARCO "EL PROFE"Lead council candidate2019PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑAunknown
SAIQUITA, LUIS FIDELLead council candidate2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CORIA, GUSTAVO ALEJANDROLead council candidate2021FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
TAPIA, HECTOR MARCELOLead council candidate2021PARTIDO AUTONOMISTAunknown
GUZMAN, DANIEL ALEJANDROLead council candidate2021PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑAunknown
BARROSO, "EL PROFE"Lead council candidate2021PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
OCAMPO, ESTEBANLead council candidate2021FELICIDADunknown
IGNACIO, "DOÑA WACHI" FELISALead council candidate2021SALTA PARA TODOSunknown
GUTIERREZ, FABIAN ALEJANDROLead council candidate2023FEDERAL ALTERNATIVO REGIONAL ORGANIZADO-FAROunknown
GUZMAN, ESTELA VERONICALead council candidate2023FRENTE VAMOS SALTAunknown
MENESES, BERNARDINO WILSONLead council candidate2023FRENTE UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Aguas Blancas — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-C-60. Sources: argentina--url-d397f2ff61d58823decc4bae, argentina--url-4040de4bdc7e50ce91985b26, argentina--url-274265311c5d8e92e0d53815, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S58c037505606, argentina--S3a4124cc6048, argentina--Sad4f6f5c8ea6.