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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Nazareno — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Nazareno / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA · municipal · Municipal councilAR-SA-C-34

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Nazareno / Salta / SANTA VICTORIA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-0a22a1ab92c5a389a94dfb33
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL42.2%
  • PRIMERO SALTA23.5%
  • ENTRE TODOS11.5%
  • PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA9.1%
  • IGUALAR5.3%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA4.7%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO3.6%
Results for event-3016c3517c330dcdb857173a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · MENDIZ, ELSA MARIELA208argentina/Sf381e56d8011/202369542.2%2Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · LAMAS, EUCEBIA1862argentina/Sf381e56d8011/202338823.5%1Recorded
ENTRE TODOS · CRUZ, JORGE GONZALO3741argentina/Sf381e56d8011/202318911.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA · CRUZ, FABIAN PABLO2625argentina/Sf381e56d8011/20231509.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IGUALAR · COPA, ISIDRO MANUEL3649argentina/Sf381e56d8011/2023885.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · LAMAS, SANTOS TIOGILO4argentina/Sf381e56d8011/2023784.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · COPA, DINA ALVA460argentina/Sf381e56d8011/2023603.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA59.1%
  • FRENTE PLURAL40.9%
Results for event-2ac16a348e60c1035d785052
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CHAUQUE, FERNANDO NICANOR4argentina/Sa544dee1ebc5/202164859.1%2Recorded
FRENTE PLURAL · CHAUQUE, RICARDO JULIAN461argentina/Sa544dee1ebc5/202144940.9%1Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • KOLINA38.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA38.0%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA18.3%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR5.4%
Results for event-36f810887166c039a77f4f0c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
KOLINA · TOLABA, MARGARITO459argentina/S2293a209bd7e/201956138.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · IBARRA, CARLOS ALBERTO13argentina/S2293a209bd7e/201955738%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CHAUQUE, MAMERTO4argentina/S2293a209bd7e/201926818.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · CHAUQUE, CARLOS ALCIDES3432argentina/S2293a209bd7e/2019795.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

16.770–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.628640776699026, oldest_gap=0.27303754266211655, previous_gap=18.14038286235187

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.733009708737864,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.26699029126215],[59.070191431175935,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.929808568824065],[18.293515358361773,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.70648464163823]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.733009708737864,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.26699029126215],[59.070191431175935,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.929808568824065],[18.293515358361773,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.70648464163823]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.733009708737864,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.26699029126215],[59.070191431175935,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.929808568824065],[18.293515358361773,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.70648464163823]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
TOLABA, MARGARITOLead council candidate2019KOLINAunknown
IBARRA, CARLOS ALBERTOLead council candidate2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CHAUQUE, MAMERTOLead council candidate2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CHAUQUE, CARLOS ALCIDESLead council candidate2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
CHAUQUE, FERNANDO NICANORLead council candidate2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CHAUQUE, RICARDO JULIANLead council candidate2021FRENTE PLURALunknown
MENDIZ, ELSA MARIELALead council candidate2023MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
LAMAS, SANTOS TIOGILOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
COPA, DINA ALVALead council candidate2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
LAMAS, EUCEBIALead council candidate2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
CRUZ, FABIAN PABLOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO AUTONOMISTAunknown
CRUZ, JORGE GONZALOLead council candidate2023ENTRE TODOSunknown
COPA, ISIDRO MANUELLead council candidate2023IGUALARunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Nazareno — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-C-34. Sources: argentina--url-3667c5de72a250c7d51abe5e, argentina--url-d08161ad9bfd302743cff66c, argentina--url-92d8302b6da155adfdea8d1b, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--Sf381e56d8011, argentina--Sa544dee1ebc5, argentina--S2293a209bd7e.