Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Isla De Cañas — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Isla De Cañas / Salta / IRUYA · municipal · Municipal councilAR-SA-C-31

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Isla De Cañas / Salta / IRUYA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-a4e8910e603b31d087312c24
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • TODOS POR SALTA29.9%
  • REPRESENTAR22.5%
  • PRIMERO SALTA20.6%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA19.9%
  • FRENTE AVANCEMOS6.7%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA0.3%
Results for event-dd14a8f0d6e4cbd52e56c636
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TODOS POR SALTA · FLORES, SANTIAGO DAVID2627argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/202342229.9%1Recorded
REPRESENTAR · VEGA, JUAN CARLOS "QUISPE"3650argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/202331822.5%1Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · CHAUQUE, ANDRES1862argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/202329120.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · SOTO, FRANCO MILTON RONALDO4argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/202328119.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AVANCEMOS · AGUIRRE, RAUL3739argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/2023956.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · CHOQUE, IRMA MARIA3747argentina/S2dab850f5a3a/202340.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS POR SALTA33.3%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA29.7%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL24.0%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS7.8%
  • IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)5.2%
Results for event-ab98d1b28e74cb1a2a81c54f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR SALTA · SOTO, GABRIEL3642argentina/S7f63a2bd65b7/202143533.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · APAZA TOLAY, HECTOR4argentina/S7f63a2bd65b7/202138929.7%1Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · CHAMBI, LUCIO208argentina/S7f63a2bd65b7/202131424%1Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS · QUISPE, RAFAEL3641argentina/S7f63a2bd65b7/20211027.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP) · CANCHI, NORMA ANALIA1796argentina/S7f63a2bd65b7/2021685.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA35.7%
  • PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA20.9%
  • PRIMERO SALTA20.4%
  • FRENTE PLURAL12.7%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA10.0%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL0.4%
Results for event-37782c93e6b9d403d63a33a0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CABANA, JOSE ELIAS4argentina/S7759aa378313/201949235.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑA · IGNACIO, FLAVIA ALEJANDRA1053argentina/S7759aa378313/201928820.9%1Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · DIAZ, GLADYS MARIELA1862argentina/S7759aa378313/201928220.4%1Recorded
FRENTE PLURAL · ALTAMIRANO, ERIC SAMUEL461argentina/S7759aa378313/201917512.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · VILTE, BERNARDO13argentina/S7759aa378313/201913810%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · CANCHI, NORMA BEATRIZ5argentina/S7759aa378313/201950.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.220–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.3706591070163014, oldest_gap=14.782608695652172, previous_gap=3.516819571865444

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.91495393338058,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.08504606661943],[29.74006116207951,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.25993883792049],[35.65217391304348,0.36231884057971014,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.98550724637681]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.91495393338058,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.08504606661943],[29.74006116207951,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.25993883792049],[35.65217391304348,0.36231884057971014,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.98550724637681]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.05percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.91495393338058,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.08504606661943],[29.74006116207951,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.25993883792049],[35.65217391304348,0.36231884057971014,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.98550724637681]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
IGNACIO, FLAVIA ALEJANDRALead council candidate2019PARTIDO IDENTIDAD SALTEÑAunknown
DIAZ, GLADYS MARIELALead council candidate2019PRIMERO SALTAunknown
ALTAMIRANO, ERIC SAMUELLead council candidate2019FRENTE PLURALunknown
CABANA, JOSE ELIASLead council candidate2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
VILTE, BERNARDOLead council candidate2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CANCHI, NORMA BEATRIZLead council candidate2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
APAZA TOLAY, HECTORLead council candidate2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CHAMBI, LUCIOLead council candidate2021MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
SOTO, GABRIELLead council candidate2021UNIDOS POR SALTAunknown
QUISPE, RAFAELLead council candidate2021SALTA PARA TODOSunknown
CANCHI, NORMA ANALIALead council candidate2021IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)unknown
FLORES, SANTIAGO DAVIDLead council candidate2023TODOS POR SALTAunknown
CHAUQUE, ANDRESLead council candidate2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
VEGA, JUAN CARLOS "QUISPE"Lead council candidate2023REPRESENTARunknown
SOTO, FRANCO MILTON RONALDOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
AGUIRRE, RAULLead council candidate2023FRENTE AVANCEMOSunknown
CHOQUE, IRMA MARIALead council candidate2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Isla De Cañas — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-C-31. Sources: argentina--url-ba10dbe4bbc7f747cef0e628, argentina--url-7c271418981ac200a43f7163, argentina--url-ff509be0ed638ff4cef9b931, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S2dab850f5a3a, argentina--S7f63a2bd65b7, argentina--S7759aa378313.