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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

General Ballivian — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · General Ballivian / Salta / SAN MARTIN · municipal · Municipal councilAR-SA-C-25

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
General Ballivian / Salta / SAN MARTIN
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-e58506e10681647b16fef93a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • REPRESENTAR38.6%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO29.1%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO25.8%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA3.7%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA2.9%
Results for event-cf8986458a8862a675c400e3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
REPRESENTAR · CORDOBA, JUAN CARLOS3650argentina/S7f2eb38cbc0a/202356038.6%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · ALCOBA, SANTIAGO "RENE"3746argentina/S7f2eb38cbc0a/202342229.1%1Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · TOCONAS, JUAN CARLOS460argentina/S7f2eb38cbc0a/202337525.8%1Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORA · GARECA, EDITH DEL VALLE3747argentina/S7f2eb38cbc0a/2023533.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SANTILLAN, EDGARDO13argentina/S7f2eb38cbc0a/2023422.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL39.6%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA38.8%
  • FRENTE SALTEÑO12.9%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE3.9%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS2.8%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA1.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +0.8%
Results for event-239f7f1661b45f1f0e72647c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORA5argentina/S0d7c107b7496/202144639.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · ROMERO, ALVARO4argentina/S0d7c107b7496/202143638.8%1Recorded
FRENTE SALTEÑO · FELIZ, JONATAN460argentina/S0d7c107b7496/202114512.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE · ESCALADA, CRISTIAN NICOLAS12argentina/S0d7c107b7496/2021443.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS · LANUZA, "MACACO"3641argentina/S0d7c107b7496/2021322.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SANCHEZ, ELVIRA RAMONA13argentina/S0d7c107b7496/2021131.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO + · NIEVA, SERGIO ADRIAN3640argentina/S0d7c107b7496/202190.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA56.7%
  • UNION CIVICA RADICAL26.9%
  • SAENZ GOBERNADOR8.3%
  • KOLINA5.4%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA2.8%
Results for event-9e1435f81917b5cfa0958648
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · CORREA, RAUL13argentina/S02869cb2f71a/201972156.7%2Recorded
UNION CIVICA RADICAL · FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORA5argentina/S02869cb2f71a/201934226.9%1Recorded
SAENZ GOBERNADOR · SANTILLAN, HECTOR HUGO3432argentina/S02869cb2f71a/20191058.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
KOLINA · JUAREZ, RICARDO459argentina/S02869cb2f71a/2019685.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · VILLALBA, VERONICA LILIANA4argentina/S02869cb2f71a/2019352.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

55.240–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.50413223140496, oldest_gap=29.81904012588513, previous_gap=0.8888888888888928

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[38.75555555555555,39.644444444444446,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6],[2.753737214791503,26.907946498819825,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.33831628638866]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[38.75555555555555,39.644444444444446,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6],[2.753737214791503,26.907946498819825,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.33831628638866]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[38.75555555555555,39.644444444444446,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6],[2.753737214791503,26.907946498819825,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.33831628638866]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
CORREA, RAULLead council candidate2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
JUAREZ, RICARDOLead council candidate2019KOLINAunknown
VILLALBA, VERONICA LILIANALead council candidate2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORALead council candidate2019UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
SANTILLAN, HECTOR HUGOLead council candidate2019SAENZ GOBERNADORunknown
ROMERO, ALVAROLead council candidate2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
FELIZ, JONATANLead council candidate2021FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
FERNANDEZ, MARIA DORALead council candidate2021UNION CIVICA RADICALunknown
NIEVA, SERGIO ADRIANLead council candidate2021JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +unknown
LANUZA, "MACACO"Lead council candidate2021SALTA PARA TODOSunknown
SANCHEZ, ELVIRA RAMONALead council candidate2021PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
ESCALADA, CRISTIAN NICOLASLead council candidate2021PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDEunknown
CORDOBA, JUAN CARLOSLead council candidate2023REPRESENTARunknown
TOCONAS, JUAN CARLOSLead council candidate2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
ALCOBA, SANTIAGO "RENE"Lead council candidate2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
GARECA, EDITH DEL VALLELead council candidate2023SALTA PARA TODOS - CALIVA GOBERNADORAunknown
SANTILLAN, EDGARDOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “General Ballivian — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-C-25. Sources: argentina--url-bbe9be2fb2e72a84e88fd3f0, argentina--url-7cf59c3763f9a7dd800b5c00, argentina--url-e65b706f901b07c3ffc7c49e, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S7f2eb38cbc0a, argentina--S0d7c107b7496, argentina--S02869cb2f71a.