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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Caldera — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · La Caldera / Salta / LA CALDERA · municipal · Municipal councilAR-SA-C-03

Read the complete original research briefing

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Caldera / Salta / LA CALDERA
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-6c782fd3192bfd120f3511b7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE SALTEÑO14.0%
  • PRIMERO SALTA13.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA13.2%
  • PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD10.9%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO10.0%
  • SALTA NOS UNE9.8%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA5.2%
  • PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA4.2%
  • NUEVA FUERZA LA CALDERA4.2%
  • TODOS POR SALTA4.2%
  • FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD4.0%
  • PARTIDO FE2.6%
  • SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTE1.9%
  • SALTA SOMOS TODOS1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDO1.1%
Results for event-7df9d171970e704458c1c791
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE SALTEÑO · CASTILLO, TAMARA ANGELICA JINET460argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/202349914%1Recorded
PRIMERO SALTA · CRUZ, ARNALDO "PAJARITO"1862argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/202347713.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA · SUMBAY, GERMAN EXEQUIEL MILAGRO2551argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/202347213.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD · SERRANO, RENZO1861argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/202338810.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · TABARCACHE, GERMAN AGUSTIN3746argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/202335510%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA NOS UNE · HERRERA, "FEDE CHATO"1869argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20233509.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · CORTEZ, MARIA MAGDALENA4argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20231845.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AUTONOMISTA · MAMANI, OSVALDO "CACHETE"2625argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20231494.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA FUERZA LA CALDERA · CANCINO, SANTIAGO "TATI"3654argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20231484.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS POR SALTA · SUMBAY, VALENTINA2627argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20231484.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDAD · CORIMAYO MERCADO, MAGALI VIVIANA3743argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/20231444%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FE · CHAUQUE, SERGIO DIEGO1873argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/2023932.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTE · AUCAPIÑA, EDUARDO FAUSTO2543argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/2023691.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA SOMOS TODOS · SARAPURA, ALFREDO443argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/2023501.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDO · CHEJOLAN, "DANI"632argentina/S61d4388f6ea4/2023391.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-08-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE DE TODOS16.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA14.5%
  • IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)11.8%
  • FELICIDAD10.6%
  • FRENTE PLURAL9.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +8.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA8.1%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA4.8%
  • PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD4.4%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL4.2%
  • SALTA PARA TODOS3.9%
  • SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTE1.9%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE1.4%
Results for event-88ad433e3c9ae52b77b49bf9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE TODOS · SANCHEZ, JOSE "CHENTE"3646argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/202148216.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA · MERCADO, CARLOS GUILLERMO2551argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/202143414.5%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP) · HERRERA, "CHATO FEDE"1796argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/202135411.8%1Recorded
FELICIDAD · GUAYAN GOMEZ, JUAN PABLO1874argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/202131710.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE PLURAL · QUIPILDOR, GONZALO PEDRO461argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20212749.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO + · TABARCACHE, GERMAN AGUSTIN3640argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20212678.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · CHOCOBAR, MARICEL LORENA13argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20212418.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · SASTRE, "YAMILA"4argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20211444.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD · SARAPURA, "LUCHO"1861argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20211324.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · DUARTES, MERCEDES EVA208argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20211254.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SALTA PARA TODOS · SUMBAY, VALENTINA FERNANDA3641argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/20211183.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTE · PARADA CORNEJO, JOSE MAXIMILIANO2543argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/2021581.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDE · TOLABA, FRANCISCO12argentina/Sb634e2bb1298/2021421.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-11-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE PLURAL21.9%
  • MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL19.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA18.4%
  • OLMEDO GOBERNADOR11.5%
  • FELICIDAD11.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA7.8%
  • IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)6.2%
  • PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA2.0%
  • PARTIDO INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULAR1.3%
Results for event-819e1c01a6822b326af2b127
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE PLURAL · SUMBAY, ANA MARIA461argentina/S418f751b5606/201966121.9%1Recorded
MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIAL · SASTRE, JULIETA YAMILE SALOME208argentina/S418f751b5606/201959219.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERA · TABARCACHI, ANA NOEMI2551argentina/S418f751b5606/201955518.4%1Recorded
OLMEDO GOBERNADOR · QUIPILDOR, WALTER HERNANDEZ3434argentina/S418f751b5606/201934811.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FELICIDAD · GUAYAN, JUAN PABLO "JUAMPY"1874argentina/S418f751b5606/201934111.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIA · SUMBAY, CESAR RAMON13argentina/S418f751b5606/20192367.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP) · CARDOZO, ANDREA FERNANDA1796argentina/S418f751b5606/20191876.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA · MERCADO, ERNESTO JESUS4argentina/S418f751b5606/2019612%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULAR · JUAREZ, ELIZABETH VERONICA685argentina/S418f751b5606/2019401.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

94.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.6171107994389899, oldest_gap=2.2840119165839106, previous_gap=1.6064257028112472

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.161290322580645,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.83870967741935],[4.819277108433735,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.18072289156628],[2.0191989407480966,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.9808010592519]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.161290322580645,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.83870967741935],[4.819277108433735,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.18072289156628],[2.0191989407480966,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.9808010592519]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.161290322580645,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.83870967741935],[4.819277108433735,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.18072289156628],[2.0191989407480966,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.9808010592519]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
SUMBAY, ANA MARIALead council candidate2019FRENTE PLURALunknown
SASTRE, JULIETA YAMILE SALOMELead council candidate2019MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
GUAYAN, JUAN PABLO "JUAMPY"Lead council candidate2019FELICIDADunknown
SUMBAY, CESAR RAMONLead council candidate2019PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
CARDOZO, ANDREA FERNANDALead council candidate2019IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)unknown
MERCADO, ERNESTO JESUSLead council candidate2019PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
JUAREZ, ELIZABETH VERONICALead council candidate2019PARTIDO INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPULARunknown
QUIPILDOR, WALTER HERNANDEZLead council candidate2019OLMEDO GOBERNADORunknown
TABARCACHI, ANA NOEMILead council candidate2019MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERAunknown
SANCHEZ, JOSE "CHENTE"Lead council candidate2021FRENTE DE TODOSunknown
HERRERA, "CHATO FEDE"Lead council candidate2021IZQUIERDA POPULAR (IP)unknown
GUAYAN GOMEZ, JUAN PABLOLead council candidate2021FELICIDADunknown
CHOCOBAR, MARICEL LORENALead council candidate2021PARTIDO DE LA VICTORIAunknown
MERCADO, CARLOS GUILLERMOLead council candidate2021MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERAunknown
QUIPILDOR, GONZALO PEDROLead council candidate2021FRENTE PLURALunknown
SASTRE, "YAMILA"Lead council candidate2021PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
SARAPURA, "LUCHO"Lead council candidate2021PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDADunknown
DUARTES, MERCEDES EVALead council candidate2021MEMORIA Y MOVILIZACION SOCIALunknown
TABARCACHE, GERMAN AGUSTINLead council candidate2021JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO +unknown
SUMBAY, VALENTINA FERNANDALead council candidate2021SALTA PARA TODOSunknown
PARADA CORNEJO, JOSE MAXIMILIANOLead council candidate2021SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTEunknown
TOLABA, FRANCISCOLead council candidate2021PARTIDO FRENTE GRANDEunknown
CRUZ, ARNALDO "PAJARITO"Lead council candidate2023PRIMERO SALTAunknown
SERRANO, RENZOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDADunknown
HERRERA, "FEDE CHATO"Lead council candidate2023SALTA NOS UNEunknown
MAMANI, OSVALDO "CACHETE"Lead council candidate2023PARTIDO AUTONOMISTAunknown
CANCINO, SANTIAGO "TATI"Lead council candidate2023NUEVA FUERZA LA CALDERAunknown
SUMBAY, VALENTINALead council candidate2023TODOS POR SALTAunknown
CASTILLO, TAMARA ANGELICA JINETLead council candidate2023FRENTE SALTEÑOunknown
SUMBAY, GERMAN EXEQUIEL MILAGROLead council candidate2023MOVIMIENTO COMUNITARIO PLURICULTURAL LA CALDERAunknown
CORTEZ, MARIA MAGDALENALead council candidate2023PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CHAUQUE, SERGIO DIEGOLead council candidate2023PARTIDO FEunknown
TABARCACHE, GERMAN AGUSTINLead council candidate2023JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIOunknown
AUCAPIÑA, EDUARDO FAUSTOLead council candidate2023SI - SALTA INDEPENDIENTEunknown
SARAPURA, ALFREDOLead council candidate2023SALTA SOMOS TODOSunknown
CHEJOLAN, "DANI"Lead council candidate2023MOVIMIENTO POPULAR UNIDOunknown
CORIMAYO MERCADO, MAGALI VIVIANALead council candidate2023FRENTE SALTA VA CON FELICIDADunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Final province archive, including 2017 Coronel Moldes, 2021 Aguaray and 2025 Rivadavia Banda Norte replacements. Council renewal size changed after the constitutional/charter transition; the elected cohort is preserved. Future formal call and independently verified current control remain open. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “La Caldera — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SA-C-03. Sources: argentina--url-25d93a434fd784aac2bfe731, argentina--url-852aa30a8f28ad70a8842288, argentina--url-15dd199f256bf8a3c10440cb, argentina--url-d7f8790fc5c1bdb4230d10b7, argentina--S61d4388f6ea4, argentina--Sb634e2bb1298, argentina--S418f751b5606.