Office briefing
San Rafael — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · San Rafael / Mendoza · municipal · MayorAR-MZ-16-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Upcoming ordinary cohort provisionally registered. Councils and both provincial chambers renew partially; 2025 and the six February 2026 council ballots must precede the 2023 history. Current government and any later special calls require checking.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Rafael / Mendoza
- Next election
- 2027; formal call pending
- Linked upcoming event
- next-a29280df043d3726adf7dbef
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-09-03
unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ELEGÍ SAN RAFAEL AVANZA (FELIX, OMAR CHAFI)51.0%
- CAMBIA MENDOZA (FREIDEMBERG, ABEL LEONARDO)27.3%
- FRENTE LIBERTARIO DEMOCRATA Y JUBILADOS (BIANCHI, LUIS RODOLFO)21.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELEGÍ SAN RAFAEL AVANZA (FELIX, OMAR CHAFI) | 506argentina/Sfeee102488da/2023 | 47,543 | 51% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAMBIA MENDOZA (FREIDEMBERG, ABEL LEONARDO) | 501argentina/Sfeee102488da/2023 | 25,470 | 27.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE LIBERTARIO DEMOCRATA Y JUBILADOS (BIANCHI, LUIS RODOLFO) | 503argentina/Sfeee102488da/2023 | 20,159 | 21.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019-09-01
unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes
- Frente Elegí (FELIX, EMIR)59.2%
- Frente Cambia Mendoza (FREIDEMBERG, ABEL)35.1%
- Partido Demócrata (CASTELLER, MARIO)5.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frente Elegí (FELIX, EMIR) | 300argentina/Sbac7b59179aa/2019 | 64,372 | 59.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| Frente Cambia Mendoza (FREIDEMBERG, ABEL) | 302argentina/Sbac7b59179aa/2019 | 38,146 | 35.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| Partido Demócrata (CASTELLER, MARIO) | 151argentina/Sbac7b59179aa/2019 | 6,227 | 5.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015-06-21
unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FPV256.9%
- FCM43.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPV2 | 503argentina/Sd98dce1f0214/2015 | 58,378 | 56.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FCM | 508argentina/Sd98dce1f0214/2015 | 44,185 | 43.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.69059374060877, oldest_gap=13.838323761980448, previous_gap=24.11697089521357
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Upcoming ordinary cohort provisionally registered. Councils and both provincial chambers renew partially; 2025 and the six February 2026 council ballots must precede the 2023 history. Current government and any later special calls require checking. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://jusmendoza.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Escrutinio-Definitivo-03-09-2023-Municipales-San-Rafael.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://datosabiertos.mendoza.gov.ar/dataset/9039772a-3ef7-4e82-ab64-65258f485f2e/resource/33b7508a-2ac2-4555-a8ea-665034596f87/download/escrutinio-definitivo-municipales-01092019.zip · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://datosabiertos.mendoza.gov.ar/dataset/77bec2e9-9e99-4014-bcdd-c8cd08106ab3/resource/c5bf089a-156a-4731-abfa-30cb80dbebb5/download/generales-provinciales-escrutinio-definitivo-2015-3.zip · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://jusmendoza.gob.ar/junta-electoral-de-mendoza/ · rights unknown
- Argentina: Mendoza official archive: ar_mdz2023muni_Escrutinio-Definitivo-03-09-2023-Municipales-San-Rafael.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Mendoza official archive: ar_mdz_municipales-20190.zip · rights unknown
- Argentina: Mendoza official archive: ar_mdz_provinciales-20150.zip · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Rafael — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-MZ-16-M. Sources: argentina--url-11065848119ffef400cd8209, argentina--url-87681605f64f250f68ba8426, argentina--url-9851297acfcb55ccf623f9ad, argentina--url-b1e6536c2cbee3c9bc7e5a9e, argentina--Sfeee102488da, argentina--Sbac7b59179aa, argentina--Sd98dce1f0214.