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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Colonia Aurora — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Colonia Aurora / Misiones · municipal · MayorAR-MI-COLONIA-AURORA-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Ordinary cohort provisionally registered. Municipal votes are pooled by lema; sublema returns retained separately. Charter council partial renewals use intervening 2025/2021 elections where held. Special events and current control require final review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Colonia Aurora / Misiones
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-e031416fcd02c6381a82fe66
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-05-07

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • Frente La Fuerza De Todos60.1%
  • Frente Renovador De La Concordia37.4%
  • Frente Juntos Por El Cambio2.5%
Results for event-eb92e87ad9383979b3c4b474
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Frente La Fuerza De Todosargentina/S46c3aa04a2e8/20233,52860.1%UnknownRecorded
Frente Renovador De La Concordiaargentina/S46c3aa04a2e8/20232,19637.4%UnknownRecorded
Frente Juntos Por El Cambioargentina/S46c3aa04a2e8/20231482.5%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-02

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • Frente Popular Agrario Y Social50.0%
  • Frente Renovador De La Concordia48.8%
  • Juntos Por El Cambio1.3%
Results for event-8f6d056226f6a1eb8c9167ef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Frente Popular Agrario Y Social902argentina/S340a675b527b/20192,72950%UnknownRecorded
Frente Renovador De La Concordia900argentina/S340a675b527b/20192,66448.8%UnknownRecorded
Juntos Por El Cambio901argentina/S340a675b527b/2019691.3%UnknownRecorded

2015-10-25

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE RENOVADOR DE LA CONCORDIA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA71.6%
  • PROYECTO AGRARIO Y SOCIAL PAYS27.3%
  • VAMOS JUNTOS0.8%
  • FRENTE UNIDOS UNA0.3%
Results for event-379458eca5e015b03725a6ee
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE RENOVADOR DE LA CONCORDIA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIAargentina/S844ff3d5d0f5/20153,65071.6%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO AGRARIO Y SOCIAL PAYSargentina/S844ff3d5d0f5/20151,39527.3%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS JUNTOSargentina/S844ff3d5d0f5/2015430.8%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE UNIDOS UNAargentina/S844ff3d5d0f5/2015130.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

8.060–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.683923705722073, oldest_gap=44.207018231719275, previous_gap=1.1900402782863395

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Ordinary cohort provisionally registered. Municipal votes are pooled by lema; sublema returns retained separately. Charter council partial renewals use intervening 2025/2021 elections where held. Special events and current control require final review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Colonia Aurora — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-MI-COLONIA-AURORA-M. Sources: argentina--url-530cd3f7c2e11fb575399549, argentina--url-caa51693f85e35b10e283b3a, argentina--url-457c55b0da9468ec96f4e895, argentina--url-b1e0b505aba2d2fbabe60e59, argentina--S46c3aa04a2e8, argentina--S340a675b527b, argentina--S844ff3d5d0f5.