Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Puerto Tirol — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Puerto Tirol / Chaco · municipal · MayorAR-CH-08-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Ordinary 2027 cohort provisionally registered from the 70-municipality 2023 election archive. Fontana 2024 replacement is a separate completed event. Final current control and later exceptional calls require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Puerto Tirol / Chaco
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-a173ef0b8e6392e26254a53d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-09-17

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO45.1%
  • FRENTE CHAQUEÑO41.7%
  • FRENTE INTEGRADOR4.9%
  • CORRIENTE DE EXPRESION RENOVADA4.7%
  • NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION3.6%
Results for event-dae0f36ad9b6571bbe2723a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO0653argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20233,31745.1%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE CHAQUEÑO0652argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20233,06741.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE INTEGRADOR0610argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20233644.9%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE DE EXPRESION RENOVADA0665argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20233474.7%UnknownRecorded
NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION0606argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20232673.6%UnknownRecorded

2019-10-13

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CHACO SOMOS TODOS38.6%
  • FRENTE CHAQUEÑO31.6%
  • UNIR22.3%
  • FRENTE INTEGRADOR6.3%
  • PARTIDO DEL OBRERO0.9%
  • CONSENSO FEDERAL0.3%
Results for event-4826573cf5155489e713a171
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CHACO SOMOS TODOS0653argentina/S9119824cc8af/20192,65438.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE CHAQUEÑO0658argentina/S9119824cc8af/20192,17331.6%UnknownRecorded
UNIR0033argentina/S9119824cc8af/20191,53322.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE INTEGRADOR0610argentina/S9119824cc8af/20194336.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEL OBRERO0071argentina/S9119824cc8af/2019620.9%UnknownRecorded
CONSENSO FEDERAL0654argentina/S9119824cc8af/2019200.3%UnknownRecorded

2015-09-20

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE CHACO MERECE MAS52.1%
  • VAMOS CHACO40.7%
  • NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION4.1%
  • PARTIDO DEL OBRERO3.0%
Results for event-16fa6c2bac5a9e8ef426eaca
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE CHACO MERECE MAS0652argentina/Sab51ca8976f4/20153,47352.1%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS CHACO0653argentina/Sab51ca8976f4/20152,71340.7%UnknownRecorded
NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION0606argentina/Sab51ca8976f4/20152724.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEL OBRERO0071argentina/Sab51ca8976f4/20152023%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

73.610–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.395816354251558, oldest_gap=11.411411411411407, previous_gap=6.996363636363636

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Ordinary 2027 cohort provisionally registered from the 70-municipality 2023 election archive. Fontana 2024 replacement is a separate completed event. Final current control and later exceptional calls require review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Puerto Tirol — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-CH-08-M. Sources: argentina--url-e42418ebd844931a2fab75af, argentina--url-340b1fba4bf629cdb3c7bfcb, argentina--url-50043a59606a8876e1522926, argentina--url-3406748e07b41f1b755a230e, argentina--S3b415ff3cead, argentina--S9119824cc8af, argentina--Sab51ca8976f4.