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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Margarita Belen — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Margarita Belen / Chaco · municipal · MayorAR-CH-07-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Ordinary 2027 cohort provisionally registered from the 70-municipality 2023 election archive. Fontana 2024 replacement is a separate completed event. Final current control and later exceptional calls require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Margarita Belen / Chaco
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-a33162af5e8aee9fa34cb802
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-09-17

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE CHAQUEÑO61.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO28.0%
  • CORRIENTE DE EXPRESION RENOVADA4.8%
  • CIUDADANOS A GOBERNAR4.8%
  • NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION1.3%
Results for event-a46295cfd3ff5c311acd2ea4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE CHAQUEÑO0652argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20233,48961.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO0653argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20231,60028%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE DE EXPRESION RENOVADA0665argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20232754.8%UnknownRecorded
CIUDADANOS A GOBERNAR0179argentina/S3b415ff3cead/20232734.8%UnknownRecorded
NUEVO ESPACIO DE PARTICIPACION0606argentina/S3b415ff3cead/2023761.3%UnknownRecorded

2019-10-13

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MARGARITA PARTICIPATIVA34.7%
  • FRENTE CHAQUEÑO33.6%
  • CHACO SOMOS TODOS16.6%
  • UNIR5.8%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO DE BASES5.2%
  • FRENTE INTEGRADOR3.0%
  • PARTIDO CORRIENTE MARTIN FIERRO1.2%
Results for event-96466609fa3cb0dc53a704c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MARGARITA PARTICIPATIVA0726argentina/S9119824cc8af/20191,65834.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE CHAQUEÑO0658argentina/S9119824cc8af/20191,60633.6%UnknownRecorded
CHACO SOMOS TODOS0653argentina/S9119824cc8af/201979316.6%UnknownRecorded
UNIR0033argentina/S9119824cc8af/20192765.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO DE BASES0605argentina/S9119824cc8af/20192475.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE INTEGRADOR0610argentina/S9119824cc8af/20191423%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CORRIENTE MARTIN FIERRO0181argentina/S9119824cc8af/2019591.2%UnknownRecorded

2016-08-21

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CORRIENTE MARTIN FIERRO45.5%
  • MARGARITA PARTICIPATIVA POR EL CAMBIO33.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE BASES20.6%
Results for event-bbcc90d11f38888840f4a5b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CORRIENTE MARTIN FIERRO0181argentina/Sdb2bfc0a16b4/20162,20145.5%UnknownRecorded
MARGARITA PARTICIPATIVA POR EL CAMBIO0656argentina/Sdb2bfc0a16b4/20161,64033.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE BASES0175argentina/Sdb2bfc0a16b4/201699920.6%UnknownRecorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2015-09-20 · unknown · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.06493961141257, oldest_gap=11.590909090909093, previous_gap=1.08763856933696

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Ordinary 2027 cohort provisionally registered from the 70-municipality 2023 election archive. Fontana 2024 replacement is a separate completed event. Final current control and later exceptional calls require review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Margarita Belen — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-CH-07-M. Sources: argentina--url-e42418ebd844931a2fab75af, argentina--url-340b1fba4bf629cdb3c7bfcb, argentina--url-a8002402c63afd63cfe1ef76, argentina--url-50043a59606a8876e1522926, argentina--url-3406748e07b41f1b755a230e, argentina--S3b415ff3cead, argentina--S9119824cc8af, argentina--Sdb2bfc0a16b4, argentina--Sab51ca8976f4.