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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Comuna 15 — Communal board

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

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Comuna 15 — Communal board
Latin America register

Argentina · Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires

Comuna 15 — Communal board

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027; formal call pending
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 47.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Official final vote series. Legislative returns are partial renewals. Latest actual-event sequence and current government require separate verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-10-22 · Ordinary election

Coverage: Official definitive vote return

Basis: Affirmative candidate/list votes; blank/null votes excluded. Legislative results describe the elected renewal cohort.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO53,42145.81%—
UNION POR LA PATRIA41,92335.95%—
LA LIBERTAD AVANZA13,97411.98%—
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES UNIDAD7,2846.25%—

Result source

2019-10-27 · Ordinary election

Coverage: Official definitive vote return

Basis: Affirmative candidate/list votes; blank/null votes excluded. Legislative results describe the elected renewal cohort.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO62,47748.72%—
ALIANZA FRENTE DE TODOS48,39637.74%—
FRENTE IZQ Y DE TRAB-UNIDAD7,8846.15%—
ALIANZA CONSENSO FEDERAL7,3285.71%—
UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIG2,1481.68%—

Result source

2015-07-05 · Ordinary election

Coverage: Official definitive vote return

Basis: Affirmative candidate/list votes; blank/null votes excluded. Legislative results describe the elected renewal cohort.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
UNION PRO46,30939.81%—
ENERGIA CIUD.ORGANIZADA30,20525.97%—
FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA28,42024.43%—
FRTE DE IZQ.Y LOS TRABAJADORES8,1437.00%—
ALZ.CAMINO POPULAR3,2372.78%—

Result source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-CABA-C15.