{"country":"Jamaica","coverage":{"country":"Jamaica","status":"Results imported; completion checks remain","units":243,"historical_units":0,"histories":737,"party_rows":1651,"three_votes":236,"three_seats":236,"score_ready":0,"note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","date":"2028-02","denominator_status":"Eligible-office denominator not closed","file":"Jamaica_Returns.xlsx","comparison_ci_available":233,"grouped_volatility_available":233},"offices":[{"id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"CLARENDON","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[0.0993723849372401,9.029062704420149,7.707045512055814],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2024||28","JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2016||14","JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2012||0"],"all_keys":["JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2024||28","JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2016||14","JM-C-CLARENDON|JM-C-CLARENDON-2012||0"],"shares":[[0.4984483960948396,0.49745467224546724],[0.541388655265863,0.4510980282216615],[0.538535227560279,0.46146477243972095]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"governing_control_note":"As reported by JIS on 5 February 2025, the November 2024 Aenon Town by-election left an 11–11 council tie. This is a dated control statement, not a September 2026 re-verification.","governing_control_source_id":"Sf3e5758231","comparison_ci":82.30476603253015,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[49.74546722454672,49.84483960948396,0.40969316596931654],[54.1388655265863,45.10980282216615,0.751331651247547],[46.14647724397209,53.85352275602791,0]],"volatility_latest":4.735036787317809,"volatility_previous":8.743719933861755,"volatility_mean":6.739378360589782,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-HANOVER","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"HANOVER","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.80892159117039,4.745147008741064,8.826157808968091],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2024||29","JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2016||15","JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2012||1"],"all_keys":["JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2024||29","JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2016||15","JM-C-HANOVER|JM-C-HANOVER-2012||1"],"shares":[[0.5940446079558519,0.40595539204414804],[0.49222386195935974,0.4447723918719491],[0.5129054302686221,0.42464385217894124]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":32.04243580889319,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[40.595539204414806,59.404460795585194,0],[44.47723918719491,49.222386195935975,6.300374616869111],[42.464385217894126,51.29054302686222,6.245071755243653]],"volatility_latest":10.182074599649217,"volatility_previous":2.0681568309262426,"volatility_mean":6.1251157152877305,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[12.547288230965677,4.280724711587496,19.888053859401914],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2024||30","JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2016||16","JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2012||2"],"all_keys":["JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2024||30","JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2016||16","JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW|JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-2012||2"],"shares":[[0.5607756568411029,0.4353027745314461],[0.5196524617294166,0.4768452146135417],[0.5960349146704244,0.3971543760764052]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":45.99302131002078,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[43.53027745314461,56.07756568411029,0.39215686274509814],[47.684521461354166,51.96524617294166,0.3502323657041691],[39.71543760764052,59.60349146704243,0.6810709253170502]],"volatility_latest":4.154244008209555,"volatility_previous":7.9690838537136495,"volatility_mean":6.061663930961602,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"MANCHESTER","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.831814780580132,4.979784535797691,11.52564044020275],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2024||31","JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2016||17","JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2012||3"],"all_keys":["JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2024||31","JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2016||17","JM-C-MANCHESTER|JM-C-MANCHESTER-2012||3"],"shares":[[0.5436638936572913,0.45534574585148996],[0.5238944275633459,0.47409658220536904],[0.5576282022010137,0.4423717977989863]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":60.272058634461686,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.534574585148995,54.36638936572913,0.09903604912188035],[52.389442756334596,47.409658220536905,0.20089902312850003],[44.237179779898625,55.762820220101375,0]],"volatility_latest":6.956731145192221,"volatility_previous":8.35316199956447,"volatility_mean":7.654946572378346,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"PORTLAND","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[7.86246893123446,17.534849596478352,8.917252013020388],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2024||32","JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2016||18","JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2012||4"],"all_keys":["JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2024||32","JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2016||18","JM-C-PORTLAND|JM-C-PORTLAND-2012||4"],"shares":[[0.5393123446561723,0.4606876553438277],[0.5876742479823918,0.41232575201760824],[0.5435583347610073,0.45438581463080346]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":45.6516928050689,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[53.93123446561723,46.06876553438277,0],[58.767424798239176,41.232575201760824,0],[45.43858146308035,54.355833476100734,0.2055850608189138]],"volatility_latest":4.836190332621946,"volatility_previous":13.328843335158828,"volatility_mean":9.082516833890388,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"PORTMORE","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[null,null,null],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"2026 Portmore boundary change requires reconciliation Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2024||33","JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2016||19","JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2012||5"],"all_keys":["JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2024||33","JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2016||19","JM-C-PORTMORE|JM-C-PORTMORE-2012||5"],"shares":[[null,null],[null,null],[null,null]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,null,null],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":null,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST ANN","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[2.1016709814073877,8.916808977799462,14.759416557291793],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2024||34","JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2016||20","JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2012||6"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2024||34","JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2016||20","JM-C-ST-ANN|JM-C-ST-ANN-2012||6"],"shares":[[0.5064721110849612,0.48545540127088727],[0.523883874115638,0.43471578433764335],[0.5707139496297764,0.4231197840568584]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":72.94006531043274,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.647211108496116,48.54554012708873,0.8072487644151565],[52.3883874115638,43.471578433764336,4.140034154671871],[42.31197840568584,57.071394962977635,0.6166266313365196]],"volatility_latest":5.073961693324394,"volatility_previous":13.599816529213303,"volatility_mean":9.33688911126885,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST CATHERINE","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[null,null,null],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"2026 Portmore boundary change requires reconciliation Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2024||35","JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2016||21","JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2012||7"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2024||35","JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2016||21","JM-C-ST-CATHERINE|JM-C-ST-CATHERINE-2012||7"],"shares":[[null,null],[null,null],[null,null]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,null,null],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":null,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST ELIZABETH","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.0100619030398477,9.047796168867393,9.419176740354857],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2024||36","JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2016||22","JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2012||8"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2024||36","JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2016||22","JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH|JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH-2012||8"],"shares":[[0.514582314024974,0.4844816949945755],[0.5450530035335689,0.45457504184489494],[0.5470958837017743,0.4529041162982257]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":72.68853166740195,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.4582314024974,48.44816949945755,0.0935990980450552],[54.50530035335689,45.457504184489494,0.037195462153617256],[45.29041162982257,54.70958837017743,0]],"volatility_latest":3.0470689508594915,"volatility_previous":9.252084185687934,"volatility_mean":6.149576568273713,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST JAMES","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.18615010099964,15.652981922622068,7.597707139134968],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2024||37","JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2016||23","JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2012||9"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2024||37","JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2016||23","JM-C-ST-JAMES|JM-C-ST-JAMES-2012||9"],"shares":[[0.54050344434661,0.4586419433366137],[0.5778847778340936,0.4213549586078729],[0.5374674309536217,0.461490359562272]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":48.1632232435005,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.05034443466101,45.864194333661366,0.08546123167762988],[57.78847778340936,42.135495860787294,0.07602635580334516],[46.1490359562272,53.74674309536217,0.10422094841063054]],"volatility_latest":3.7381333487483563,"volatility_previous":11.63944182718216,"volatility_mean":7.688787587965258,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST MARY","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[2.1768823629844576,8.60816249358507,14.139880640770599],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2024||38","JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2016||24","JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2012||10"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2024||38","JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2016||24","JM-C-ST-MARY|JM-C-ST-MARY-2012||10"],"shares":[[0.5106994479540151,0.48893062432417056],[0.5424195770196905,0.4563379520838398],[0.570699403203853,0.429300596796147]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":73.48716885028372,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.893062432417054,51.06994479540151,0.03699277218143532],[54.24195770196905,45.63379520838398,0.1242470896469762],[42.9300596796147,57.0699403203853,0]],"volatility_latest":5.4361495870175345,"volatility_previous":11.436145112001322,"volatility_mean":8.436147349509428,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"ST THOMAS","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.090807755085791,4.471457411623206,8.156820457521377],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2024||39","JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2016||25","JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2012||11"],"all_keys":["JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2024||39","JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2016||25","JM-C-ST-THOMAS|JM-C-ST-THOMAS-2012||11"],"shares":[[0.505274891516382,0.49436681396552407],[0.522357287058116,0.477642712941884],[0.5407841022876069,0.45921589771239313]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":85.94198038854712,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.5274891516382,49.43668139655241,0.03582945180938732],[52.2357287058116,47.7642712941884,0],[45.92158977123931,54.07841022876069,0]],"volatility_latest":1.708239554173401,"volatility_previous":6.314138934572291,"volatility_mean":4.011189244372846,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"TRELAWNY","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.000330297739815,14.854243358869766,4.53680343469216],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2024||40","JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2016||26","JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2012||12"],"all_keys":["JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2024||40","JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2016||26","JM-C-TRELAWNY|JM-C-TRELAWNY-2012||12"],"shares":[[0.5041759071391497,0.4941726041617515],[0.5742712167943488,0.42572878320565116],[0.4886026645421148,0.4432346301951932]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":72.44924235112983,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.41759071391497,49.417260416175154,0.1651488699098759],[57.42712167943488,42.57287832056512,0],[44.32346301951932,48.860266454211484,6.816270526269198]],"volatility_latest":7.009530965519914,"volatility_previous":13.103658659915563,"volatility_mean":10.056594812717739,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"WESTMORELAND","office":"Municipal council","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.919538278730265,10.63999420163804,35.4146193967798],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2024||41","JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2016||27","JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2012||13"],"all_keys":["JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2024||41","JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2016||27","JM-C-WESTMORELAND|JM-C-WESTMORELAND-2012||13"],"shares":[[0.5639110507553896,0.42471566796808696],[0.5525838950496484,0.4461839530332681],[0.6761282031899615,0.32198200922216347]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":24.57408416296225,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[42.471566796808695,56.39110507553896,1.1373281276523508],[44.61839530332681,55.258389504964846,0.12321519170834239],[32.198200922216344,67.61282031899614,0.18897875878751227]],"volatility_latest":2.146828506518117,"volatility_previous":12.420194381110464,"volatility_mean":7.283511443814291,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Final ECJ votes; ward seats derived from strict plurality, tied outcomes withheld":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-M-PORTMORE","country":"Jamaica","region":"","name":"PORTMORE","office":"Mayor","tier":"Municipal","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[null,null,null],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":" Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/PortmoreCityMunicipalityElection2024-Summary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016MayoralElection-MunicipalityofPortmore-Summary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012MayoralElection-MunicipalityofPortmoreSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2024||44","JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2016||43","JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2012||42"],"all_keys":["JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2024||44","JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2016||43","JM-M-PORTMORE|JM-M-PORTMORE-2012||42"],"shares":[[null,null],[null,null],[null,null]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/PortmoreCityMunicipalityElection2024-Summary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016MayoralElection-MunicipalityofPortmore-Summary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012MayoralElection-MunicipalityofPortmoreSummary.pdf"],"comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,null,null],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":null,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final votes":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"DENHAM TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2025,2024,2016],"gaps":[null,66.63636363636364,77.13697219361484],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-BY-2025-09-03||736","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-2024||501","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-2016||273"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-BY-2025-09-03||736","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-2024||501","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-2016||273","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-2012||45"],"shares":[[null,null],[0.8318181818181819,0.16545454545454547],[0.8856848609680742,0.11431513903192585]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2024||502","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2016||274","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2012||46"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2024||502","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2016||274","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TIVOLI-GARDENS-2012||46"],"shares":[[0.9115613825983313,0.08843861740166865],[0.936734693877551,0.06326530612244899],[0.7572992700729927,0.12617309697601667]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2024||507","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2016||279","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2012||51"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2024||507","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2016||279","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-LAWRENCE-TAVERN-2012||51"],"shares":[[0.6068807339449541,0.3857798165137615],[0.6161570059333638,0.38384299406663624],[0.5194075587334015,0.48059244126659856]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2024||508","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2016||280","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2012||52"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2024||508","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2016||280","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BRANDON-HILL-2012||52"],"shares":[[0.6324451410658307,0.36010971786833856],[0.528692380056444,0.47130761994355597],[0.6190267426567295,0.3809732573432705]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2024||509","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2016||281","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2012||53"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2024||509","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2016||281","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-STONY-HILL-2012||53"],"shares":[[0.6236472945891783,0.37635270541082166],[0.7073386383731212,0.29266136162687884],[0.5910204081632653,0.4089795918367347]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[62.364729458917836,37.635270541082164,0],[70.73386383731211,29.266136162687886,0],[59.10204081632653,40.89795918367347,0]],"volatility_latest":8.369134378394278,"volatility_previous":11.631823020985586,"volatility_mean":10.000478699689932,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"RED HILLS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[5.96007871802081,7.713884992987374,20.60721062618596],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2024||510","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2016||282","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2012||54"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2024||510","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2016||282","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-RED-HILLS-2012||54"],"shares":[[0.5265673320213664,0.46696654484115824],[0.5084151472650771,0.43127629733520334],[0.6030360531309298,0.3969639468690702]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":60.24533104336353,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[52.656733202136635,46.696654484115825,0.64661231374754],[50.84151472650771,43.12762973352034,6.03085553997195],[39.69639468690702,60.30360531309298,0]],"volatility_latest":5.384243226224411,"volatility_previous":17.175975579572643,"volatility_mean":11.280109402898528,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"DUHANEY PARK","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[32.522976578713305,10.633484162895925,43.75296912114015],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2024||511","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2016||283","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2012||55"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2024||511","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2016||283","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DUHANEY-PARK-2012||55"],"shares":[[0.6626148828935665,0.33738511710643343],[0.5531674208144797,0.4468325791855204],[0.7187648456057008,0.2812351543942993]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2024||512","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2016||284","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2012||56"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2024||512","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2016||284","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERHOUSE-2012||56"],"shares":[[0.8783634353114632,0.12163656468853669],[0.8456375838926175,0.15436241610738255],[0.8986301369863015,0.10136986301369863]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2024||513","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2016||285","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2012||57"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2024||513","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2016||285","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEAVIEW-GARDENS-2012||57"],"shares":[[0.5923211169284468,0.40767888307155326],[0.5731173380035026,0.4268826619964974],[0.6714975845410628,0.32850241545893716]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":5.522369987774878,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[40.767888307155324,59.232111692844676,0],[42.68826619964974,57.31173380035026,0],[32.85024154589372,67.14975845410628,0]],"volatility_latest":1.9203778924944146,"volatility_previous":9.838024653756019,"volatility_mean":5.879201273125217,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"MOLYNES GARDENS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[33.44980940279542,20.94455852156058,45.13162067871869],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2024||514","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2016||286","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2012||58"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2024||514","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2016||286","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MOLYNES-GARDENS-2012||58"],"shares":[[0.6597839898348157,0.3252858958068615],[0.6047227926078029,0.39527720739219707],[0.7256581033935935,0.27434189660640657]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[32.52858958068615,65.97839898348157,1.4930114358322744],[39.52772073921971,60.47227926078029,0],[27.43418966064066,72.56581033935934,0]],"volatility_latest":6.999131158533555,"volatility_previous":12.093531078579053,"volatility_mean":9.546331118556305,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"OLYMPIC GARDENS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2025,2024,2016],"gaps":[null,39.338494018296984,48.09329877823029],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-BY-2025-09-03||735","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-2024||515","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-2016||287"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-BY-2025-09-03||735","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-2024||515","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-2016||287","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-OLYMPIC-GARDENS-2012||59"],"shares":[[null,null],[0.6966924700914849,0.3033075299085151],[0.7404664938911515,0.25953350610884857]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,[69.66924700914849,30.33075299085151,0],[74.04664938911515,25.953350610884858,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":4.377402379966654,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1,"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"SEIVWRIGHT GARDENS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[43.437077131258455,28.85471469040874,40.380859375],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2024||516","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2016||288","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2012||60"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2024||516","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2016||288","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-SEIVWRIGHT-GARDENS-2012||60"],"shares":[[0.7153811456923771,0.2810103743797925],[0.6442735734520437,0.3557264265479563],[0.66455078125,0.2607421875]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[71.5381145692377,28.10103743797925,0.36084799278304014],[64.42735734520437,35.57264265479563,0],[66.455078125,26.07421875,7.470703125]],"volatility_latest":7.471605216816377,"volatility_previous":9.49842390479563,"volatility_mean":8.485014560806004,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"CASSIA PARK","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[10.83642356819118,21.0916179337232,1.4465702286514244],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2024||517","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2016||289","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2012||61"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2024||517","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2016||289","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CASSIA-PARK-2012||61"],"shares":[[0.554182117840956,0.4458178821590441],[0.605458089668616,0.394541910331384],[0.5072328511432571,0.4927671488567429]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":35.13001728051594,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[55.41821178409559,44.58178821590441,0],[60.5458089668616,39.4541910331384,0],[49.27671488567429,50.72328511432571,0]],"volatility_latest":5.12759718276601,"volatility_previous":11.269094081187312,"volatility_mean":8.198345631976661,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"HAGLEY PARK","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[27.21202003338898,7.932011331444755,19.545454545454547],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2024||518","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2016||290","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2012||62"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2024||518","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2016||290","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK-2012||62"],"shares":[[0.6360601001669449,0.3639398998330551],[0.5396600566572238,0.4603399433427762],[0.5977272727272728,0.4022727272727273]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[36.39398998330551,63.60601001669449,0],[46.03399433427762,53.96600566572238,0],[40.22727272727273,59.77272727272727,0]],"volatility_latest":9.640004350972113,"volatility_previous":5.806721607004896,"volatility_mean":7.723362978988504,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"MAXFIELD PARK","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[78.75744047619048,73.85431741437529,83.34297281665704],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2024||519","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2016||291","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2012||63"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2024||519","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2016||291","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAXFIELD-PARK-2012||63"],"shares":[[0.8865327380952381,0.09895833333333334],[0.8692715870718765,0.13072841292812348],[0.9167148640832852,0.08328513591671487]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2024||521","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2016||293","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2012||65"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2024||521","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2016||293","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS-2012||65"],"shares":[[0.9806685461135722,0.019331453886427707],[0.9796427087660988,0.020357291233901124],[0.9875643224699828,0.012435677530017153]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2024||522","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2016||294","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2012||66"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2024||522","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2016||294","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GREENWICH-TOWN-2012||66"],"shares":[[0.942230183609494,0.057769816390506046],[0.9171597633136095,0.08284023668639053],[0.956464954288202,0.043535045711798]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2024||523","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2016||295","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2012||67"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2024||523","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2016||295","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-TRENCH-TOWN-2012||67"],"shares":[[0.9201051248357425,0.07989487516425756],[0.8669306930693069,0.13306930693069308],[0.9258990192517254,0.0741009807482746]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2024||528","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2016||300","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2012||72"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2024||528","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2016||300","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE-2012||72"],"shares":[[0.5224254572788775,0.4625407166123779],[0.5334621889345252,0.46653781106547476],[0.6217183770883055,0.3782816229116945]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":59.824083410862,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2024||529","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2016||301","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2012||73"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2024||529","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2016||301","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-BARBICAN-2012||73"],"shares":[[0.6749816581071166,0.3250183418928833],[0.7347789824854045,0.2652210175145955],[0.5823293172690763,0.4176706827309237]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2024||530","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2016||302","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2012||74"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2024||530","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2016||302","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO-2012||74"],"shares":[[0.6043046357615894,0.39569536423841056],[0.6930364756039792,0.3069635243960208],[0.5827268316351286,0.4172731683648714]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2024||531","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2016||303","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2012||75"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2024||531","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2016||303","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WHITEHALL-2012||75"],"shares":[[0.6869409660107334,0.31305903398926654],[0.6897241103558577,0.3102758896441424],[0.6112280701754387,0.3887719298245614]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2024||532","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2016||304","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2012||76"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2024||532","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2016||304","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-NORBROOK-2012||76"],"shares":[[0.574200503054258,0.42579949694574204],[0.654714951595554,0.34528504840444607],[0.5482638888888889,0.4517361111111111]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":4.238823799890135,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2024||533","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2016||305","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2012||77"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2024||533","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2016||305","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAVENDALE-2012||77"],"shares":[[0.681151832460733,0.31884816753926704],[0.7584973166368515,0.24150268336314848],[0.5952380952380952,0.40476190476190477]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2024||534","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2016||306","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2012||78"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2024||534","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2016||306","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HUGHENDEN-2012||78"],"shares":[[0.5209441489361702,0.4790558510638298],[0.5441281138790035,0.45587188612099644],[0.537984496124031,0.46201550387596896]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":70.3966268621937,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[52.09441489361702,47.90558510638298,0],[54.412811387900355,45.587188612099645,0],[46.201550387596896,53.798449612403104,0]],"volatility_latest":2.318396494283334,"volatility_previous":8.211261000303459,"volatility_mean":5.264828747293397,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"CHANCERY HALL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2025,2024,2016],"gaps":[null,27.034120734908143,47.10144927536231],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-BY-2025-09-03||734","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-2024||535","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-2016||307"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-BY-2025-09-03||734","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-2024||535","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-2016||307","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-CHANCERY-HALL-2012||79"],"shares":[[null,null],[0.6351706036745407,0.3648293963254593],[0.7355072463768115,0.2644927536231884]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Press-Release-September-3-2025-Elections-Preliminary-Results.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,[63.51706036745407,36.48293963254593,0],[73.55072463768116,26.44927536231884,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":10.033664270227087,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1,"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"GORDON TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.333333333333329,38.23983530622749,7.669616519174042],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2024||536","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2016||308","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2012||80"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2024||536","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2016||308","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-GORDON-TOWN-2012||80"],"shares":[[0.5416666666666666,0.45833333333333337],[0.6911991765311375,0.30880082346886256],[0.5383480825958702,0.4616519174041298]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":13.805438781071755,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2024||537","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2016||309","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2012||81"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2024||537","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2016||309","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-MAVIS-BANK-2012||81"],"shares":[[0.5025560361777428,0.49744396382225714],[0.5626142595978062,0.43738574040219375],[0.5013333333333333,0.49866666666666665]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":79.5487670806791,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2024||538","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2016||310","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2012||82"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2024||538","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2016||310","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DALLAS-2012||82"],"shares":[[0.5345971563981042,0.46540284360189577],[0.5217531421205286,0.47824685787947147],[0.5464247598719317,0.45357524012806827]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":68.0732875377857,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[53.459715639810426,46.540284360189574,0],[52.175314212052854,47.824685787947146,0],[45.35752401280683,54.64247598719317,0]],"volatility_latest":1.2844014277575724,"volatility_previous":6.817790199246026,"volatility_mean":4.051095813501799,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"HARBOUR VIEW","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[46.0539979231568,47.376093294460645,60.4982206405694],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2024||539","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2016||311","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2012||83"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2024||539","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2016||311","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HARBOUR-VIEW-2012||83"],"shares":[[0.7274143302180686,0.26687435098650053],[0.7368804664723032,0.2631195335276968],[0.802491103202847,0.19750889679715303]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[26.687435098650052,72.74143302180686,0.5711318795430945],[26.31195335276968,73.68804664723032,0],[19.750889679715304,80.2491103202847,0]],"volatility_latest":0.9466136254234665,"volatility_previous":6.561063673054377,"volatility_mean":3.753838649238922,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE","country":"Jamaica","region":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","name":"KINTYRE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.147666411629686,16.954238559639904,15.208090237261771],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2024||540","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2016||312","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2012||84"],"all_keys":["JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2024||540","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2016||312","JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE|JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-KINTYRE-2012||84"],"shares":[[0.5057383320581484,0.49426166794185156],[0.5847711927981996,0.4152288072018005],[0.5760404511863089,0.42395954881369113]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW","parent":"KINGSTON & ST ANDREW","comparison_ci":63.5215978070202,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[49.42616679418516,50.57383320581484,0],[58.47711927981995,41.52288072018005,0],[42.395954881369114,57.604045118630886,0]],"volatility_latest":9.050952485634795,"volatility_previous":16.081164398450838,"volatility_mean":12.566058442042817,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"CEDAR VALLEY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[12.20779220779221,4.950495049504951,14.521242866201646],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2024||541","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2016||313","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2012||85"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2024||541","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2016||313","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-CEDAR-VALLEY-2012||85"],"shares":[[0.561038961038961,0.43896103896103894],[0.5247524752475248,0.4752475247524752],[0.5726062143310082,0.4273937856689918]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":48.69025936926512,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[56.103896103896105,43.896103896103895,0],[47.524752475247524,52.475247524752476,0],[42.73937856689918,57.26062143310082,0]],"volatility_latest":8.57914362864858,"volatility_previous":4.7853739083483475,"volatility_mean":6.682258768498464,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"LLANDEWEY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[0.30326004548901153,0.4325259515570963,13.736713000817659],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2024||542","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2016||314","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2012||86"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2024||542","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2016||314","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-LLANDEWEY-2012||86"],"shares":[[0.5015163002274451,0.49848369977255497],[0.5021626297577855,0.4978373702422145],[0.5686835650040883,0.4313164349959117]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":91.5730744357885,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.151630022744506,49.848369977255494,0],[49.78373702422145,50.21626297577855,0],[43.13164349959117,56.86835650040883,0]],"volatility_latest":0.3678929985230539,"volatility_previous":6.652093524630281,"volatility_mean":3.5099932615766676,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"YALLAHS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2024,2018,2012],"gaps":[15.548413017276019,null,12.504869497467865],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2018/04/26/jlps-lee-wins-yallahs-by-election/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-2024||543","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-BY-2018-04-27||731","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-2012||87"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-2024||543","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-BY-2018-04-27||731","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-2016||315","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-YALLAHS-2012||87"],"shares":[[0.57774206508638,0.4222579349136199],[null,null],[0.5625243474873394,0.4374756525126607]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2018/04/26/jlps-lee-wins-yallahs-by-election/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[57.77420650863801,42.22579349136199,0],null,[43.74756525126607,56.25243474873393,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":null,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":2,"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1,"Original ordinary result; the elected candidate was disqualified, followed by the April 2018 replacement":1},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"TRINITYVILLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.81679389312977,26.99811202013845,2.2140221402214024],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2024||544","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2016||316","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2012||88"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2024||544","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2016||316","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-TRINITYVILLE-2012||88"],"shares":[[0.5190839694656488,0.48091603053435117],[0.6349905601006922,0.36500943989930773],[0.511070110701107,0.488929889298893]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":46.945439220292315,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.908396946564885,48.091603053435115,0],[63.499056010069225,36.500943989930775,0],[51.1070110701107,48.8929889298893,0]],"volatility_latest":11.59065906350434,"volatility_previous":12.392044939958524,"volatility_mean":11.991352001731432,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"SEAFORTH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[21.660079051383406,25.952626158599386,15.742397137745968],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2024||545","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2016||317","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2012||89"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2024||545","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2016||317","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-SEAFORTH-2012||89"],"shares":[[0.608300395256917,0.39169960474308296],[0.629763130792997,0.37023686920700305],[0.5787119856887298,0.42128801431127016]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[60.8300395256917,39.1699604743083,0],[62.97631307929969,37.02368692070031,0],[57.871198568872984,42.128801431127016,0]],"volatility_latest":2.1462735536079904,"volatility_previous":5.105114510426709,"volatility_mean":3.62569403201735,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"WHITE HORSES","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[19.65174129353234,12.738301559792035,14.560000000000002],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2024||546","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2016||318","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2012||90"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2024||546","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2016||318","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-WHITE-HORSES-2012||90"],"shares":[[0.5982587064676617,0.4017412935323383],[0.5636915077989602,0.43630849220103984],[0.5728,0.42719999999999997]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":14.657323779714936,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[40.17412935323383,59.82587064676617,0],[43.63084922010398,56.36915077989602,0],[42.72,57.28,0]],"volatility_latest":3.456719866870152,"volatility_previous":0.9108492201039837,"volatility_mean":2.183784543487068,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"BATH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[15.435647943387877,15.194346289752644,31.01476893758933],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2024||547","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2016||319","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2012||91"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2024||547","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2016||319","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-BATH-2012||91"],"shares":[[0.5771782397169394,0.4228217602830606],[0.5759717314487632,0.42402826855123676],[0.6550738446879467,0.3449261553120534]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":15.394152266412743,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[42.28217602830606,57.71782397169394,0],[42.40282685512368,57.59717314487632,0],[34.49261553120534,65.50738446879467,0]],"volatility_latest":0.12065082681761652,"volatility_previous":7.910211323918343,"volatility_mean":4.01543107536798,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"DALVEY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.8671875,12.458581842279656,2.7384324834749805],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2024||548","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2016||320","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2012||92"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2024||548","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2016||320","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-DALVEY-2012||92"],"shares":[[0.567578125,0.42890625],[0.5622929092113983,0.4377070907886017],[0.5136921624173749,0.4863078375826251]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":38.34134849484302,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[56.7578125,42.890625,0.3515625],[56.22929092113983,43.77070907886017,0],[51.36921624173749,48.63078375826251,0]],"volatility_latest":0.8800840788601718,"volatility_previous":4.860074679402338,"volatility_mean":2.870079379131255,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"PORT MORANT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.6309561880396615,13.544865233708634,6.143871565297928],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2024||549","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2016||321","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2012||93"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2024||549","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2016||321","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-PORT-MORANT-2012||93"],"shares":[[0.5081547809401983,0.4918452190598017],[0.5677243261685432,0.4322756738314568],[0.5307193578264896,0.46928064217351034]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":71.7178978026691,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[49.18452190598017,50.81547809401983,0],[56.77243261685432,43.22756738314568,0],[46.928064217351036,53.071935782648964,0]],"volatility_latest":7.587910710874148,"volatility_previous":9.844368399503281,"volatility_mean":8.716139555188715,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST THOMAS","name":"MORANT BAY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2024,2024,2016],"gaps":[null,12.68365817091454,3.8218677301428983],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://our.today/pnps-rosemarie-shaw-wins-morant-bay-division/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-BY-2024-11-22||733","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-2024||550","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-2016||322"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-BY-2024-11-22||733","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-2024||550","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-2016||322","JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY|JM-W-ST-THOMAS-MORANT-BAY-2012||94"],"shares":[[null,null],[0.5634182908545727,0.4365817091454273],[0.5191093386507145,0.4808906613492855]],"cycle_sources":["https://our.today/pnps-rosemarie-shaw-wins-morant-bay-division/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-THOMAS","parent":"ST THOMAS","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,[43.65817091454273,56.34182908545727,0],[48.08906613492855,51.91093386507145,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":4.430895220385821,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1,"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"PORT ANTONIO","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.034553540882655,22.22853894258101,38.3247543284979],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2024||551","JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2016||323","JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2012||95"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2024||551","JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2016||323","JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO|JM-W-PORTLAND-PORT-ANTONIO-2012||95"],"shares":[[0.5651727677044133,0.43482723229558673],[0.611142694712905,0.38885730528709495],[0.6916237716424896,0.3083762283575105]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":8.391153799231576,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[43.48272322955867,56.51727677044133,0],[38.885730528709495,61.114269471290505,0],[30.837622835751052,69.16237716424895,0]],"volatility_latest":4.596992700849178,"volatility_previous":8.048107692958444,"volatility_mean":6.322550196903811,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"PROSPECT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[9.639389736477114,15.460992907801412,40.688437775816425],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2024||552","JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2016||324","JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2012||96"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2024||552","JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2016||324","JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT|JM-W-PORTLAND-PROSPECT-2012||96"],"shares":[[0.5481969486823856,0.45180305131761445],[0.577304964539007,0.42269503546099296],[0.7034421888790822,0.2965578111209179]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":27.54612254095832,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.18030513176144,54.81969486823856,0],[42.269503546099294,57.730496453900706,0],[29.65578111209179,70.34421888790821,0]],"volatility_latest":2.910801585662149,"volatility_previous":12.613722434007505,"volatility_mean":7.762262009834827,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"FAIRY HILL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[20.556279878313774,25.42188350571584,11.251125112511247],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2024||553","JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2016||325","JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2012||97"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2024||553","JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2016||325","JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL|JM-W-PORTLAND-FAIRY-HILL-2012||97"],"shares":[[0.6027813993915688,0.3972186006084311],[0.6271094175285792,0.3728905824714208],[0.5562556255625563,0.44374437443744374]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[60.27813993915689,39.72186006084311,0],[62.71094175285792,37.28905824714208,0],[55.62556255625562,44.37443744374438,0]],"volatility_latest":2.432801813701033,"volatility_previous":7.085379196602297,"volatility_mean":4.759090505151665,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"MANCHIONEAL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[17.204682511528915,21.465968586387433,9.182571119913575],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2024||554","JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2016||326","JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2012||98"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2024||554","JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2016||326","JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL|JM-W-PORTLAND-MANCHIONEAL-2012||98"],"shares":[[0.5860234125576446,0.41397658744235544],[0.6073298429319371,0.39267015706806285],[0.5459128555995679,0.45408714440043213]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":11.595714025875326,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[58.60234125576446,41.39765874423554,0],[60.73298429319372,39.26701570680628,0],[45.40871444004321,54.59128555995679,0]],"volatility_latest":2.130643037429259,"volatility_previous":15.324269853150504,"volatility_mean":8.727456445289882,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"FELLOWSHIP","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[4.823151125401935,15.864527629233507,30.538351595998087],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2024||555","JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2016||327","JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2012||99"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2024||555","JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2016||327","JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP|JM-W-PORTLAND-FELLOWSHIP-2012||99"],"shares":[[0.5241157556270096,0.4758842443729903],[0.5793226381461676,0.4206773618538325],[0.6412577417818008,0.3358742258218199]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":46.464579381944894,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[52.41157556270097,47.58842443729903,0],[57.93226381461675,42.06773618538325,0],[33.58742258218199,64.12577417818008,2.2868032396379228]],"volatility_latest":5.520688251915786,"volatility_previous":24.34484123243476,"volatility_mean":14.932764742175273,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"ST. 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Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2024||556","JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2016||328","JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2012||100"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2024||556","JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2016||328","JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-ST-MARGARET-S-BAY-2012||100"],"shares":[[0.5967885816235504,0.4032114183764496],[0.6101620674551029,0.38983793254489707],[0.5020968356843309,0.49790316431566906]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":8.668547220905776,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.67885816235504,40.32114183764496,0],[61.016206745510296,38.983793254489704,0],[50.20968356843309,49.79031643156691,0]],"volatility_latest":1.3373485831552543,"volatility_previous":10.806523177077203,"volatility_mean":6.071935880116229,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"HOPE BAY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.993506493506487,33.39085418464194,6.189360990297757],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2024||557","JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2016||329","JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2012||101"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2024||557","JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2016||329","JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-HOPE-BAY-2012||101"],"shares":[[0.5949675324675324,0.4050324675324676],[0.6669542709232097,0.3330457290767903],[0.5309468049514888,0.46905319504851123]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.496753246753244,40.503246753246756,0],[66.69542709232097,33.30457290767903,0],[53.09468049514888,46.90531950485112,0]],"volatility_latest":7.1986738455677255,"volatility_previous":13.60074659717209,"volatility_mean":10.399710221369908,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"BUFF BAY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[9.770656613257927,38.19773805180591,5.757931844888361],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2024||558","JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2016||330","JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2012||102"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2024||558","JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2016||330","JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY|JM-W-PORTLAND-BUFF-BAY-2012||102"],"shares":[[0.5488532830662897,0.4511467169337104],[0.6909886902590295,0.3090113097409704],[0.5287896592244418,0.4712103407755582]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":10.512457160073174,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.88532830662896,45.11467169337104,0],[69.09886902590296,30.901130974097043,0],[52.87896592244418,47.12103407755582,0]],"volatility_latest":14.213540719273993,"volatility_previous":16.219903103458776,"volatility_mean":15.216721911366385,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTLAND","name":"BALCARRES","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[9.940594059405939,23.69689005694262,3.0731190392087626],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2024||559","JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2016||331","JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2012||103"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2024||559","JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2016||331","JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES|JM-W-PORTLAND-BALCARRES-2012||103"],"shares":[[0.5497029702970297,0.4502970297029703],[0.6184844502847131,0.3815155497152869],[0.5153655951960439,0.4846344048039562]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTLAND","parent":"PORTLAND","comparison_ci":33.09632321676388,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.97029702970297,45.02970297029703,0],[61.84844502847131,38.15155497152869,0],[48.46344048039562,51.53655951960438,0]],"volatility_latest":6.878147998768341,"volatility_previous":13.385004548075692,"volatility_mean":10.131576273422016,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"RICHMOND","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[17.274305555555557,27.96875,7.620751341681569],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2024||560","JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2016||332","JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2012||104"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2024||560","JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2016||332","JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND|JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND-2012||104"],"shares":[[0.5863715277777778,0.4136284722222222],[0.63984375,0.36015625],[0.5381037567084078,0.4618962432915922]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":2.4135826624925416,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[58.63715277777778,41.36284722222222,0],[63.984375,36.015625,0],[53.810375670840784,46.189624329159216,0]],"volatility_latest":5.347222222222221,"volatility_previous":10.173999329159216,"volatility_mean":7.7606107756907186,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"CASTLETON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[17.352787910369983,17.834394904458605,8.620689655172413],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2024||561","JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2016||333","JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2012||105"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2024||561","JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2016||333","JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON|JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON-2012||105"],"shares":[[0.5867639395518499,0.4132360604481501],[0.589171974522293,0.41082802547770697],[0.5431034482758621,0.45689655172413796]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":16.87969908461593,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[58.67639395518499,41.32360604481501,0],[58.9171974522293,41.0828025477707,0],[54.310344827586206,45.689655172413794,0]],"volatility_latest":0.24080349704431114,"volatility_previous":4.606852624643096,"volatility_mean":2.4238280608437037,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"BELFIELD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[14.94252873563218,11.870845204178536,39.41093969144461],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2024||562","JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2016||334","JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2012||106"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2024||562","JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2016||334","JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD|JM-W-ST-MARY-BELFIELD-2012||106"],"shares":[[0.5747126436781609,0.4252873563218391],[0.5593542260208927,0.4406457739791073],[0.697054698457223,0.302945301542777]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":17.660676141113353,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[42.52873563218391,57.47126436781609,0],[44.06457739791073,55.93542260208927,0],[30.294530154277698,69.7054698457223,0]],"volatility_latest":1.535841765726822,"volatility_previous":13.770047243633035,"volatility_mean":7.652944504679929,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"ANNOTTO BAY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[4.091008532049884,7.762756214566068,12.437810945273625],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2024||563","JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2016||335","JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2012||107"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2024||563","JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2016||335","JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY|JM-W-ST-MARY-ANNOTTO-BAY-2012||107"],"shares":[[0.5204550426602494,0.47954495733975055],[0.5388137810728303,0.46118621892716966],[0.5621890547263682,0.43781094527363185]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":69.86393460936443,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[52.04550426602494,47.95449573397506,0],[53.881378107283034,46.118621892716966,0],[43.78109452736319,56.21890547263681,0]],"volatility_latest":1.835873841258092,"volatility_previous":10.100283579919846,"volatility_mean":5.968078710588969,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"ISLINGTON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.121636167922503,1.8430034129692814,23.59240069084629],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2024||564","JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2016||336","JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2012||108"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2024||564","JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2016||336","JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON|JM-W-ST-MARY-ISLINGTON-2012||108"],"shares":[[0.5156081808396125,0.4843918191603875],[0.5092150170648464,0.4907849829351536],[0.6179620034542315,0.38203799654576853]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":76.07438603135542,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.43918191603875,51.56081808396125,0],[49.07849829351536,50.92150170648464,0],[38.203799654576855,61.796200345423145,0]],"volatility_latest":0.6393163774766109,"volatility_previous":10.874698638938504,"volatility_mean":5.757007508207558,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"PORT MARIA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.4785333751175216,6.400469759248381,15.581737849779088],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2024||565","JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2016||337","JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2012||109"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2024||565","JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2016||337","JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA|JM-W-ST-MARY-PORT-MARIA-2012||109"],"shares":[[0.5173926668755876,0.4826073331244124],[0.5320023487962419,0.4679976512037581],[0.5779086892488955,0.42209131075110456]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":72.17282631088531,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.26073331244124,51.73926668755876,0],[53.20023487962419,46.79976512037581,0],[42.209131075110456,57.790868924889544,0]],"volatility_latest":4.939501567182951,"volatility_previous":10.991103804513735,"volatility_mean":7.965302685848343,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"HAMPSTEAD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[10.07566706491437,21.41327623126338,0.7757404795486593],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2024||566","JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2016||338","JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2012||110"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2024||566","JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2016||338","JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD|JM-W-ST-MARY-HAMPSTEAD-2012||110"],"shares":[[0.5503783353245718,0.44962166467542813],[0.607066381156317,0.3929336188436831],[0.5038787023977433,0.4961212976022567]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":37.26521421858748,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[55.037833532457185,44.962166467542815,0],[60.70663811563169,39.29336188436831,0],[50.38787023977433,49.61212976022567,0]],"volatility_latest":5.668804583174506,"volatility_previous":10.318767875857361,"volatility_mean":7.993786229515933,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"HIGHGATE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[57.54132231404958,46.823529411764696,68.69095816464238],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2024||567","JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2016||339","JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2012||111"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2024||567","JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2016||339","JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE|JM-W-ST-MARY-HIGHGATE-2012||111"],"shares":[[0.7877066115702479,0.21229338842975207],[0.7341176470588234,0.26588235294117646],[0.843454790823212,0.15654520917678813]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[21.229338842975206,78.77066115702479,0],[26.58823529411765,73.41176470588235,0],[15.654520917678813,84.34547908232119,0]],"volatility_latest":5.358896451142442,"volatility_previous":10.93371437643884,"volatility_mean":8.14630541379064,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"CARRON HALL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[30.7924984875983,38.577154308617224,5.3754940711462496],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2024||568","JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2016||340","JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2012||112"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2024||568","JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2016||340","JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL|JM-W-ST-MARY-CARRON-HALL-2012||112"],"shares":[[0.6539624924379914,0.34603750756200846],[0.6928857715430862,0.30711422845691383],[0.5268774703557313,0.47312252964426876]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[65.39624924379915,34.603750756200846,0],[69.28857715430861,30.711422845691384,0],[52.687747035573125,47.312252964426875,0]],"volatility_latest":3.8923279105094633,"volatility_previous":16.600830118735487,"volatility_mean":10.246579014622476,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"GAYLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.6376306620209036,28.108300676879225,4.103535353535349],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2024||569","JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2016||341","JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2012||113"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2024||569","JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2016||341","JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE|JM-W-ST-MARY-GAYLE-2012||113"],"shares":[[0.5059233449477352,0.48954703832752616],[0.6405415033843961,0.35945849661560386],[0.5205176767676768,0.47948232323232326]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":50.87288932185079,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.954703832752614,50.59233449477352,0.4529616724738676],[64.05415033843961,35.94584966156039,0],[52.051767676767675,47.948232323232325,0]],"volatility_latest":15.099446505686998,"volatility_previous":12.002382661671938,"volatility_mean":13.550914583679468,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"ORACABESSA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[17.391304347826093,1.084875558391829,37.24843286044211],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2024||570","JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2016||342","JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2012||114"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2024||570","JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2016||342","JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA|JM-W-ST-MARY-ORACABESSA-2012||114"],"shares":[[0.5869565217391305,0.4130434782608695],[0.5054243777919591,0.49457562220804085],[0.6862421643022105,0.3137578356977895]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":27.574557188712923,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[41.30434782608695,58.69565217391305,0],[50.542437779195915,49.457562220804085,0],[31.37578356977895,68.62421643022105,0]],"volatility_latest":9.238089953108961,"volatility_previous":19.16665420941697,"volatility_mean":14.202372081262965,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"BOSCOBEL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[11.567053226286049,8.90020976925382,3.216458997392067],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2024||571","JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2016||343","JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2012||115"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2024||571","JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2016||343","JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL|JM-W-ST-MARY-BOSCOBEL-2012||115"],"shares":[[0.5578352661314302,0.44216473386856975],[0.5376086305064429,0.44860653281390467],[0.5160822949869603,0.48391770501303966]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":50.34029616856509,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[44.216473386856975,55.783526613143025,0],[53.76086305064429,44.86065328139047,1.3784836679652381],[48.39177050130397,51.60822949869603,0]],"volatility_latest":10.922873331752553,"volatility_previous":6.7475762173055625,"volatility_mean":8.835224774529058,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST MARY","name":"RETREAT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.95036615134255,10.342555994729906,23.36514669494521],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2024||572","JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2016||344","JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2012||116"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2024||572","JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2016||344","JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT|JM-W-ST-MARY-RETREAT-2012||116"],"shares":[[0.5447518307567127,0.45524816924328726],[0.5517127799736495,0.44828722002635046],[0.616825733474726,0.383174266525274]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-MARY","parent":"ST MARY","comparison_ci":45.95249420640488,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.475183075671275,45.524816924328725,0],[55.17127799736495,44.82872200263505,0],[38.317426652527395,61.682573347472605,0]],"volatility_latest":0.6960949216936783,"volatility_previous":16.853851344837558,"volatility_mean":8.774973133265618,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"MONEAGUE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[32.59929217459694,0.8186655751125684,50.27075812274367],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2024||573","JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2016||345","JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2012||117"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2024||573","JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2016||345","JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE|JM-W-ST-ANN-MONEAGUE-2012||117"],"shares":[[0.6629964608729847,0.3370035391270153],[0.3426115431846091,0.3344248874334834],[0.7513537906137183,0.2486462093862816]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[33.70035391270153,66.29964608729847,0],[34.26115431846091,33.44248874334834,32.29635693819075],[24.86462093862816,75.13537906137184,0]],"volatility_latest":32.85715734395013,"volatility_previous":41.692890318023494,"volatility_mean":37.27502383098681,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"BENSONTON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[25.51819438046983,35.447570332480815,71.37452711223202],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2024||574","JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2016||346","JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2012||118"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2024||574","JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2016||346","JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON|JM-W-ST-ANN-BENSONTON-2012||118"],"shares":[[0.5485951174573929,0.2934131736526946],[0.677237851662404,0.32276214833759587],[0.8568726355611601,0.14312736443883986]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[29.34131736526946,54.85951174573929,15.799170888991249],[32.27621483375959,67.7237851662404,0],[14.312736443883985,85.68726355611601,0]],"volatility_latest":15.799170888991245,"volatility_previous":17.963478389875604,"volatility_mean":16.881324639433423,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"CLAREMONT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[12.526668698567505,13.177286519289119,63.30508474576271],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2024||575","JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2016||347","JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2012||119"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2024||575","JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2016||347","JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT|JM-W-ST-ANN-CLAREMONT-2012||119"],"shares":[[0.5626333434928376,0.4373666565071625],[0.4295622019939315,0.2977893368010403],[0.8165254237288135,0.18347457627118643]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":11.001521752482457,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[43.73666565071625,56.26333434928375,0],[27.264846120502817,42.95622019939315,29.778933680104032],[18.347457627118644,81.65254237288136,0]],"volatility_latest":29.778933680104032,"volatility_previous":38.696322173488205,"volatility_mean":34.23762792679612,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"BEECHER TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[41.10207768744354,23.240506329113927,27.333974975938403],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2024||576","JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2016||348","JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2012||120"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2024||576","JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2016||348","JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BEECHER-TOWN-2012||120"],"shares":[[0.7055103884372177,0.2944896115627823],[0.6162025316455696,0.38379746835443035],[0.6366698748796921,0.363330125120308]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[29.44896115627823,70.55103884372177,0],[38.379746835443036,61.620253164556964,0],[36.3330125120308,63.6669874879692,0]],"volatility_latest":8.930785679164806,"volatility_previous":2.046734323412238,"volatility_mean":5.488760001288522,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"EXCHANGE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[42.300556586270865,52.84926470588235,20.92228864218616],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2024||577","JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2016||349","JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2012||121"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2024||577","JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2016||349","JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-EXCHANGE-2012||121"],"shares":[[0.7115027829313543,0.2884972170686456],[0.7642463235294117,0.23575367647058823],[0.6046114432109309,0.3953885567890692]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[71.15027829313543,28.849721706864564,0],[76.42463235294117,23.575367647058822,0],[60.46114432109308,39.53885567890692,0]],"volatility_latest":5.274354059805743,"volatility_previous":15.963488031848096,"volatility_mean":10.61892104582692,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"OCHO RIOS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[9.635316698656425,25.660377358490564,12.024048096192388],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2024||578","JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2016||350","JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2012||122"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2024||578","JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2016||350","JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS|JM-W-ST-ANN-OCHO-RIOS-2012||122"],"shares":[[0.5481765834932821,0.45182341650671787],[0.6283018867924528,0.3716981132075472],[0.560120240480962,0.43987975951903807]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":26.591459818198683,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.81765834932821,45.18234165067179,0],[62.83018867924528,37.16981132075472,0],[43.987975951903806,56.012024048096194,0]],"volatility_latest":8.01253032991707,"volatility_previous":18.842212727341476,"volatility_mean":13.427371528629273,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"LIME HALL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.223997757218953,9.23411189570885,8.400460299194478],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2024||579","JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2016||351","JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2012||123"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2024||579","JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2016||351","JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL|JM-W-ST-ANN-LIME-HALL-2012||123"],"shares":[[0.5161199887860948,0.4838800112139052],[0.5461705594785442,0.45382944052145574],[0.5420023014959724,0.4579976985040276]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":72.27660873518262,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.61199887860948,48.38800112139052,0],[54.617055947854425,45.382944052145575,0],[45.79976985040276,54.20023014959724,0]],"volatility_latest":3.0050570692449483,"volatility_previous":8.817286097451664,"volatility_mean":5.911171583348306,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"ST. 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Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2024||580","JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2016||352","JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2012||124"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2024||580","JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2016||352","JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY|JM-W-ST-ANN-ST-ANN-S-BAY-2012||124"],"shares":[[0.5766178266178266,0.42338217338217343],[0.6244394618834082,0.3755605381165919],[0.5042131013862463,0.49578689861375375]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":16.276155325656983,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[57.66178266178266,42.33821733821734,0],[62.44394618834081,37.55605381165919,0],[50.42131013862463,49.57868986137537,0]],"volatility_latest":4.782163526558151,"volatility_previous":12.022636049716183,"volatility_mean":8.402399788137167,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"BAMBOO","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[6.9416898056326914,3.36391437308869,4.022988505747122],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2024||581","JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2016||353","JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2012||125"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2024||581","JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2016||353","JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO|JM-W-ST-ANN-BAMBOO-2012||125"],"shares":[[0.5347084490281635,0.46529155097183655],[0.5168195718654435,0.4831804281345565],[0.5201149425287356,0.47988505747126436]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":72.11756477059534,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[53.470844902816346,46.529155097183654,0],[51.681957186544345,48.318042813455655,0],[52.01149425287356,47.98850574712644,0]],"volatility_latest":1.7888877162720007,"volatility_previous":0.3295370663292161,"volatility_mean":1.0592123913006084,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"STURGE TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[0.9658246656760809,8.016560030109147,3.8665655799848366],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2024||582","JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2016||354","JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2012||126"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2024||582","JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2016||354","JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-STURGE-TOWN-2012||126"],"shares":[[0.5048291233283804,0.4951708766716196],[0.5400828001505458,0.4599171998494543],[0.5193328278999242,0.4806671721000758]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":83.14440316781561,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.48291233283804,49.51708766716196,0],[54.008280015054574,45.991719984945426,0],[48.06671721000758,51.93328278999242,0]],"volatility_latest":3.525367682216533,"volatility_previous":5.941562805046992,"volatility_mean":4.733465243631763,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"DRY HARBOUR","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[4.452743464521689,9.683150725495999,7.981510015408318],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2024||583","JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2016||355","JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2012||127"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2024||583","JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2016||355","JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR|JM-W-ST-ANN-DRY-HARBOUR-2012||127"],"shares":[[0.5222637173226085,0.47773628267739154],[0.5318329878590464,0.4350014806040865],[0.5399075500770416,0.4600924499229584]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":68.12628851048677,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[52.226371732260844,47.773628267739156,0],[53.18329878590465,43.50014806040865,3.316553153686704],[46.00924499229584,53.99075500770416,0]],"volatility_latest":4.273480207330508,"volatility_previous":10.490606947295511,"volatility_mean":7.382043577313009,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ANN","name":"BROWN'S TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.3779527559055111,6.3849765258216,25.877422734415923],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2024||584","JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2016||356","JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2012||128"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2024||584","JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2016||356","JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN|JM-W-ST-ANN-BROWN-S-TOWN-2012||128"],"shares":[[0.5068897637795275,0.49311023622047245],[0.531924882629108,0.468075117370892],[0.5641697223677318,0.30539549502357255]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":73.3499655763431,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2024||585","JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2016||357","JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2012||129"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2024||585","JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2016||357","JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR|JM-W-ST-ANN-GIBRALTAR-2012||129"],"shares":[[0.6408003904343582,0.35919960956564173],[0.7512355848434926,0.2487644151565074],[0.6064928676832267,0.39350713231677326]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2024||586","JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2016||358","JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2012||130"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2024||586","JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2016||358","JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA|JM-W-ST-ANN-ALEXANDRIA-2012||130"],"shares":[[0.7096267190569745,0.29037328094302556],[0.646529562982005,0.3067694944301628],[0.5095194922937444,0.4904805077062557]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2024||587","JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2016||359","JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2012||131"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2024||587","JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2016||359","JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD|JM-W-ST-ANN-CALDERWOOD-2012||131"],"shares":[[0.5503442340791739,0.4496557659208261],[0.5307539682539683,0.4692460317460318],[0.6892857142857143,0.3107142857142857]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":41.63869764773378,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2024||588","JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2016||360","JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2012||132"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2024||588","JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2016||360","JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-ANN-BOROBRIDGE-2012||132"],"shares":[[0.5037916254533465,0.4962083745466535],[0.5453315290933695,0.4546684709066306],[0.5977812995245642,0.40221870047543584]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ANN","parent":"ST ANN","comparison_ci":74.34743604752485,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2024||589","JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2016||361","JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2012||133"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2024||589","JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2016||361","JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE|JM-W-TRELAWNY-MARTHA-BRAE-2012||133"],"shares":[[0.5723585378067101,0.41011517275913867],[0.5158636897767332,0.48413631022326675],[0.6061991869918699,0.38871951219512196]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":35.69389981287122,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2024||590","JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2016||362","JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2012||134"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2024||590","JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2016||362","JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH|JM-W-TRELAWNY-FALMOUTH-2012||134"],"shares":[[0.7267489711934156,0.27325102880658436],[0.749015748031496,0.25098425196850394],[0.8905449464368886,0.10945505356311132]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2024||591","JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2016||363","JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2012||135"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2024||591","JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2016||363","JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-DUNCANS-2012||135"],"shares":[[0.5343456254519161,0.4656543745480839],[0.6445533358462119,0.3554466641537881],[0.5044910179640718,0.49550898203592814]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":35.5775221785796,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2024||592","JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2016||364","JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2012||136"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2024||592","JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2016||364","JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT|JM-W-TRELAWNY-SHERWOOD-CONTENT-2012||136"],"shares":[[0.522879177377892,0.477120822622108],[0.6327126688572471,0.36728733114275286],[0.5287141073657928,0.4712858926342072]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":43.58728217951138,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2024||593","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2016||365","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2012||137"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2024||593","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2016||365","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WAKEFIELD-2012||137"],"shares":[[0.5469964664310953,0.4530035335689046],[0.5605117565698479,0.43948824343015214],[0.5062882940986778,0.4937117059013222]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":53.01976376052062,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[54.69964664310954,45.30035335689046,0],[56.05117565698479,43.94882434301521,0],[50.628829409867784,49.371170590132216,0]],"volatility_latest":1.3515290138752505,"volatility_previous":5.422346247117005,"volatility_mean":3.386937630496128,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS","country":"Jamaica","region":"TRELAWNY","name":"LORRIMERS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[35.21809369951535,60.248962655601666,22.095509622238062],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2024||594","JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2016||366","JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2012||138"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2024||594","JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2016||366","JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS|JM-W-TRELAWNY-LORRIMERS-2012||138"],"shares":[[0.6760904684975767,0.32390953150242324],[0.8012448132780083,0.19875518672199172],[0.5452601568068425,0.32430506058446185]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[67.60904684975768,32.390953150242325,0],[80.12448132780084,19.87551867219917,0],[32.430506058446184,13.043478260869565,54.526015680684246]],"volatility_latest":12.515434478043158,"volatility_previous":54.52601568068425,"volatility_mean":33.52072507936371,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP","country":"Jamaica","region":"TRELAWNY","name":"WARSOP","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[15.508513575701798,29.360039081582805,1.9539730785931368],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2024||595","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2016||367","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2012||139"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2024||595","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2016||367","JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP|JM-W-TRELAWNY-WARSOP-2012||139"],"shares":[[0.577542567878509,0.422457432121491],[0.6468001954079141,0.353199804592086],[0.5097698653929656,0.4902301346070343]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":8.457414111223827,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[57.7542567878509,42.2457432121491,0],[64.6800195407914,35.3199804592086,0],[50.97698653929657,49.02301346070343,0]],"volatility_latest":6.9257627529405035,"volatility_previous":13.703033001494834,"volatility_mean":10.314397877217669,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"TRELAWNY","name":"ALBERT TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.4449296458030148,9.24939467312349,34.06478578892372],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2024||596","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2016||368","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2012||140"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2024||596","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2016||368","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ALBERT-TOWN-2012||140"],"shares":[[0.517224648229015,0.4827753517709849],[0.5462469733656174,0.45375302663438255],[0.6703239289446187,0.32967607105538144]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":58.758726158443864,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.72246482290151,48.27753517709849,0],[54.624697336561745,45.375302663438255,0],[67.03239289446186,32.96760710553814,0]],"volatility_latest":2.9022325136602376,"volatility_previous":12.407695557900116,"volatility_mean":7.654964035780177,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING","country":"Jamaica","region":"TRELAWNY","name":"ULSTER SPRING","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[7.673956262425449,2.304737516005119,2.5414364640883917],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2024||597","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2016||369","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2012||141"],"all_keys":["JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2024||597","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2016||369","JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING|JM-W-TRELAWNY-ULSTER-SPRING-2012||141"],"shares":[[0.5383697813121272,0.46163021868787274],[0.5115236875800256,0.4884763124199744],[0.512707182320442,0.48729281767955807]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-TRELAWNY","parent":"TRELAWNY","comparison_ci":72.25030670667178,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2024||598","JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2016||370","JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2012||142"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2024||598","JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2016||370","JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-ROSE-HALL-2012||142"],"shares":[[0.5839441535776614,0.41605584642233856],[0.6187240468101171,0.381275953189883],[0.5126692120791392,0.4873307879208608]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":12.749372602454123,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2024||599","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2016||371","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2012||143"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2024||599","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2016||371","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SOMERTON-2012||143"],"shares":[[0.5088852988691438,0.49111470113085626],[0.6304449648711944,0.3695550351288056],[0.5517746066593487,0.44822539334065126]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":50.35787055122055,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2024||600","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2016||372","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2012||144"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2024||600","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2016||372","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-MOUNT-2012||144"],"shares":[[0.5209916033586566,0.4790083966413434],[0.6041156295933365,0.3958843704066634],[0.5324459234608985,0.46755407653910147]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":52.925756760715245,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2024||601","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2016||373","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2012||145"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2024||601","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2016||373","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-EASTERN-2012||145"],"shares":[[0.6518237801989578,0.34817621980104213],[0.8010899182561307,0.19891008174386923],[0.5953101361573373,0.40468986384266264]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[65.18237801989578,34.817621980104214,0],[80.10899182561307,19.891008174386922,0],[59.531013615733734,40.468986384266266,0]],"volatility_latest":14.926613805717293,"volatility_previous":20.57797820987934,"volatility_mean":17.752296007798318,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"MONTEGO BAY CENTRAL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[30.918367346938773,25.790645879732743,4.430641821946168],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2024||602","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2016||374","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2012||146"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2024||602","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2016||374","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-CENTRAL-2012||146"],"shares":[[0.6545918367346938,0.3454081632653061],[0.6267260579064589,0.36881959910913137],[0.5221532091097308,0.47784679089026916]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2024||603","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2016||375","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2012||147"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2024||603","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2016||375","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-NORTH-2012||147"],"shares":[[0.7115241635687732,0.28847583643122676],[0.6835730507191522,0.3164269492808478],[0.5120101137800253,0.48798988621997474]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[71.15241635687732,28.847583643122675,0],[68.35730507191522,31.642694928084783,0],[51.201011378002526,48.798988621997474,0]],"volatility_latest":2.795111284962106,"volatility_previous":17.156293693912694,"volatility_mean":9.9757024894374,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"MONTEGO BAY WEST","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[16.751269035533,33.064516129032256,0.7425742574257441],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2024||604","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2016||376","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2012||148"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2024||604","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2016||376","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-WEST-2012||148"],"shares":[[0.583756345177665,0.416243654822335],[0.6653225806451613,0.33467741935483875],[0.5037128712871287,0.4962871287128713]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2024||605","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2016||377","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2012||149"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2024||605","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2016||377","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-2012||149"],"shares":[[0.6312587739822181,0.368741226017782],[0.5998172681589767,0.40018273184102326],[0.5027844073190135,0.48727128082736676]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2024||606","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2016||378","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2012||150"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2024||606","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2016||378","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MONTEGO-BAY-SOUTH-EAST-2012||150"],"shares":[[0.6151698464402048,0.3848301535597953],[0.5576923076923077,0.44230769230769235],[0.5015140045420137,0.49848599545798633]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":13.438999373983496,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2024||607","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2016||379","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2012||151"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2024||607","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2016||379","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SALT-SPRING-2012||151"],"shares":[[0.5516666666666666,0.44833333333333336],[0.5004770992366412,0.49952290076335876],[0.5916203937405351,0.40837960625946496]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":59.69483085495415,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[55.166666666666664,44.833333333333336,0],[49.95229007633588,50.04770992366412,0],[40.837960625946494,59.162039374053506,0]],"volatility_latest":5.214376590330787,"volatility_previous":9.114329450389384,"volatility_mean":7.164353020360085,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"MOUNT SALEM","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[5.976430976430976,6.963042313872528,31.173659054699954],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2024||608","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2016||380","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2012||152"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2024||608","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2016||380","JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM|JM-W-ST-JAMES-MOUNT-SALEM-2012||152"],"shares":[[0.5298821548821548,0.4701178451178451],[0.5324049276914837,0.4627745045527584],[0.654275092936803,0.3425385023898035]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":56.039314072548294,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[47.01178451178451,52.98821548821549,0],[46.27745045527584,53.24049276914837,0.48205677557579],[34.25385023898035,65.4275092936803,0.3186404673393521]],"volatility_latest":0.734334056508671,"volatility_previous":12.187016524531932,"volatility_mean":6.460675290520301,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"GRANVILLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[29.121725731895225,17.690500167841563,27.258863896301946],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2024||609","JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2016||381","JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2012||153"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2024||609","JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2016||381","JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-GRANVILLE-2012||153"],"shares":[[0.6456086286594761,0.3543913713405239],[0.5884525008392079,0.4115474991607922],[0.6362943194815097,0.3637056805184903]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[35.43913713405239,64.56086286594761,0],[41.15474991607922,58.84525008392078,0],[36.37056805184903,63.62943194815097,0]],"volatility_latest":5.715612782026831,"volatility_previous":4.784181864230192,"volatility_mean":5.249897323128511,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"SPRING GARDEN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[26.520681265206818,32.72870662460568,5.454545454545453],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2024||610","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2016||382","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2012||154"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2024||610","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2016||382","JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN|JM-W-ST-JAMES-SPRING-GARDEN-2012||154"],"shares":[[0.6326034063260341,0.36739659367396593],[0.6636435331230284,0.3363564668769716],[0.5272727272727272,0.4727272727272727]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[63.26034063260341,36.73965936739659,0],[66.36435331230284,33.63564668769716,0],[52.72727272727273,47.27272727272727,0]],"volatility_latest":3.10401267969943,"volatility_previous":13.637080585030112,"volatility_mean":8.370546632364771,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"CAMBRIDGE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.107658157602664,25.762842796446506,5.085843861354064],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2024||611","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2016||383","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2012||155"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2024||611","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2016||383","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CAMBRIDGE-2012||155"],"shares":[[0.5094339622641509,0.47835738068812433],[0.6288142139822326,0.37118578601776747],[0.5254292193067703,0.47457078069322967]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":49.48983940184522,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2024||612","JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2016||384","JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2012||156"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2024||612","JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2016||384","JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL|JM-W-ST-JAMES-WELCOME-HALL-2012||156"],"shares":[[0.5234791889007471,0.47652081109925293],[0.50390625,0.4916294642857143],[0.6255868544600939,0.36913145539906106]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":71.24819884935725,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.903803131991054,51.096196868008946,0],[51.96125907990315,48.03874092009685,0],[40.04424778761062,59.95575221238938,0]],"volatility_latest":3.0574559479120964,"volatility_previous":11.917011292292528,"volatility_mean":7.487233620102312,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST JAMES","name":"CATADUPA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[16.679477325134513,5.499760879961741,28.91172349369453],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2024||614","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2016||386","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2012||158"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2024||614","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2016||386","JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA|JM-W-ST-JAMES-CATADUPA-2012||158"],"shares":[[0.5833973866256725,0.4166026133743274],[0.5274988043998087,0.47250119560019127],[0.6445586174684726,0.3554413825315273]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-JAMES","parent":"ST JAMES","comparison_ci":27.25606495780658,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[41.66026133743274,58.33973866256726,0],[47.25011956001913,52.74988043998087,0],[35.54413825315273,64.45586174684726,0]],"volatility_latest":5.589858222586386,"volatility_previous":11.705981306866395,"volatility_mean":8.64791976472639,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"CHESTER CASTLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.193752829334542,5.455904334828105,4.005572971090217],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2024||615","JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2016||387","JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2012||159"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2024||615","JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2016||387","JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE|JM-W-HANOVER-CHESTER-CASTLE-2012||159"],"shares":[[0.5409687641466727,0.4590312358533273],[0.5272795216741405,0.47272047832585945],[0.520027864855451,0.4799721351445489]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":65.2320985242091,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.90312358533273,54.09687641466727,0],[52.72795216741405,47.27204783258595,0],[47.99721351445489,52.00278648554511,0]],"volatility_latest":6.824828582081324,"volatility_previous":4.730738652959161,"volatility_mean":5.777783617520242,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"HOPEWELL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[5.57147405284941,14.493174557072322,7.0157600406710685],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2024||616","JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2016||388","JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2012||160"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2024||616","JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2016||388","JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-HOPEWELL-2012||160"],"shares":[[0.5278573702642471,0.47214262973575294],[0.5724658727853617,0.4275341272146384],[0.5350788002033553,0.46492119979664465]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":58.03793598550775,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[47.214262973575295,52.785737026424705,0],[57.24658727853616,42.75341272146384,0],[53.507880020335534,46.492119979664466,0]],"volatility_latest":10.032324304960866,"volatility_previous":3.738707258200627,"volatility_mean":6.885515781580747,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"SANDY BAY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[41.77545691906005,19.7597217831173,13.08159136884693],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2024||617","JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2016||389","JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2012||161"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2024||617","JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2016||389","JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY|JM-W-HANOVER-SANDY-BAY-2012||161"],"shares":[[0.7088772845953002,0.29112271540469975],[0.5987986089155864,0.4012013910844135],[0.5654079568442346,0.43459204315576533]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[29.112271540469973,70.88772845953002,0],[40.12013910844135,59.87986089155865,0],[43.459204315576535,56.540795684423465,0]],"volatility_latest":11.007867567971376,"volatility_previous":3.339065207135185,"volatility_mean":7.1734663875532805,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"LUCEA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[10.168882500898306,6.817296455005845,17.38963531669866],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2024||618","JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2016||390","JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2012||162"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2024||618","JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2016||390","JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA|JM-W-HANOVER-LUCEA-2012||162"],"shares":[[0.5508444125044916,0.4491555874955085],[0.5340864822750292,0.46591351772497075],[0.5869481765834933,0.4130518234165067]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":50.572590156446985,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[44.91555874955085,55.08444125044915,0],[53.40864822750292,46.59135177249708,0],[41.30518234165067,58.69481765834933,0]],"volatility_latest":8.493089477952076,"volatility_previous":12.103465885852252,"volatility_mean":10.298277681902164,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"RIVERSIDE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[2.896081771720617,7.189157336476136,22.474226804123717],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2024||619","JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2016||391","JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2012||163"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2024||619","JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2016||391","JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE|JM-W-HANOVER-RIVERSIDE-2012||163"],"shares":[[0.5144804088586031,0.4855195911413969],[0.43370654095462585,0.3618149675898645],[0.6123711340206186,0.3876288659793814]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":69.29090527806208,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.55195911413969,51.44804088586031,0],[36.18149675898645,43.370654095462584,20.447849145550972],[38.76288659793814,0,61.23711340206186]],"volatility_latest":20.44784914555097,"volatility_previous":43.370654095462584,"volatility_mean":31.909251620506776,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"CAULDWELL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.314099347717004,23.588039867109636,21.858190709046454],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2024||620","JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2016||392","JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2012||164"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2024||620","JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2016||392","JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL|JM-W-HANOVER-CAULDWELL-2012||164"],"shares":[[0.591570496738585,0.408429503261415],[0.47120708748615725,0.2353266888150609],[0.6092909535452322,0.39070904645476773]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[40.8429503261415,59.1570496738585,0],[23.53266888150609,47.120708748615726,29.346622369878183],[39.07090464547677,60.92909535452323,0]],"volatility_latest":29.346622369878183,"volatility_previous":29.346622369878183,"volatility_mean":29.346622369878183,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND","country":"Jamaica","region":"HANOVER","name":"GREEN ISLAND","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[38.323108384458074,21.315092674315977,48.985725018782865],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2024||621","JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2016||393","JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2012||165"],"all_keys":["JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2024||621","JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2016||393","JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND|JM-W-HANOVER-GREEN-ISLAND-2012||165"],"shares":[[0.6916155419222904,0.3083844580777096],[0.5551632833186231,0.34201235657546336],[0.7449286250939143,0.2550713749060856]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-HANOVER","parent":"HANOVER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2024||622","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2016||394","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2012||166"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2024||622","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2016||394","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-NEGRIL-2012||166"],"shares":[[0.6713444997736532,0.32865550022634676],[0.6574776016540317,0.34252239834596826],[0.7401021711366539,0.2598978288633461]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2024||623","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2016||395","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2012||167"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2024||623","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2016||395","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-SHEFFIELD-2012||167"],"shares":[[0.5631449631449632,0.43685503685503685],[0.662492172824045,0.3375078271759549],[0.6888888888888889,0.3111111111111111]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2024||624","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2016||396","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2012||168"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2024||624","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2016||396","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-LITTLE-LONDON-2012||168"],"shares":[[0.5290073055436184,0.47099269445638164],[0.543918918918919,0.45608108108108103],[0.708008504606662,0.2919914953933381]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":48.6190905374871,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2024||625","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2016||397","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2012||169"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2024||625","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2016||397","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-GRANGE-HILL-2012||169"],"shares":[[0.4787549407114624,0.37450592885375494],[0.5120551090700345,0.48794489092996557],[0.7685843568196509,0.23141564318034905]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":38.250328039712336,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2024||626","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2016||398","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2012||170"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2024||626","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2016||398","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-FRIENDSHIP-2012||170"],"shares":[[0.5470319634703196,0.4529680365296804],[0.5144596651445966,0.4855403348554034],[0.6941950927588271,0.30580490724117293]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":48.02341309854653,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2024||627","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2016||399","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2012||171"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2024||627","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2016||399","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-PETERSFIELD-2012||171"],"shares":[[0.5277777777777778,0.4722222222222222],[0.5433159073935773,0.45668409260642273],[0.6738035264483628,0.3261964735516373]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":52.95820847042386,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2024||634","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2016||406","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2012||178"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2024||634","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2016||406","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-DARLISTON-2012||178"],"shares":[[0.6235864297253635,0.3764135702746365],[0.6724655068986203,0.3275344931013797],[0.7530954115076475,0.24690458849235253]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[37.64135702746365,62.35864297253635,0],[32.753449310137974,67.24655068986203,0],[24.690458849235252,75.30954115076474,0]],"volatility_latest":4.887907717325678,"volatility_previous":8.062990460902716,"volatility_mean":6.475449089114197,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE","country":"Jamaica","region":"WESTMORELAND","name":"WHITEHOUSE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[28.728522336769757,31.373542828180433,31.96969696969696],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2024||635","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2016||407","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2012||179"],"all_keys":["JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2024||635","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2016||407","JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE|JM-W-WESTMORELAND-WHITEHOUSE-2012||179"],"shares":[[0.6412371134020618,0.3539518900343643],[0.64977192093259,0.3360364926507856],[0.6503787878787878,0.3306818181818182]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-WESTMORELAND","parent":"WESTMORELAND","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2024||636","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2016||408","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2012||180"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2024||636","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2016||408","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-NEW-MARKET-2012||180"],"shares":[[0.655798789007918,0.34420121099208195],[0.6001727115716753,0.3998272884283247],[0.5004608294930876,0.49953917050691243]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[65.5798789007918,34.420121099208195,0],[60.01727115716753,39.98272884283247,0],[49.953917050691246,50.046082949308754,0]],"volatility_latest":5.562607743624273,"volatility_previous":10.063354106476282,"volatility_mean":7.812980925050278,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"IPSWICH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[12.17895608947805,1.2903225806451672,14.670138888888886],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2024||637","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2016||409","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2012||181"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2024||637","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2016||409","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-IPSWICH-2012||181"],"shares":[[0.5608947804473903,0.4391052195526097],[0.5064516129032258,0.4935483870967742],[0.5733506944444444,0.4266493055555556]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":54.19257841615366,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[56.089478044739025,43.910521955260975,0],[49.354838709677416,50.645161290322584,0],[42.66493055555556,57.33506944444444,0]],"volatility_latest":6.734639335061608,"volatility_previous":6.689908154121859,"volatility_mean":6.712273744591734,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"LACOVIA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[40.25075659316905,37.51119068934647,10.804597701149419],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2024||638","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2016||410","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2012||182"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2024||638","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2016||410","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-LACOVIA-2012||182"],"shares":[[0.7012537829658453,0.29874621703415477],[0.6875559534467324,0.3124440465532677],[0.554022988505747,0.4459770114942529]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2024||639","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2016||411","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2012||183"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2024||639","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2016||411","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BALACLAVA-2012||183"],"shares":[[0.6589275843007186,0.3410724156992814],[0.6423554835224203,0.35764451647757967],[0.7415083477259643,0.2584916522740357]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2024||640","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2016||412","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2012||184"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2024||640","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2016||412","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SILOAH-2012||184"],"shares":[[0.7550744248985114,0.2449255751014885],[0.7414262384322265,0.25857376156777356],[0.9344675488342786,0.06553245116572148]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[24.49255751014885,75.50744248985114,0],[25.857376156777356,74.14262384322265,0],[6.553245116572149,93.44675488342786,0]],"volatility_latest":1.3648186466284997,"volatility_previous":19.304131040205206,"volatility_mean":10.334474843416853,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"BRAES RIVER","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[21.604548325963357,22.605736509479826,57.14955461790905],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2024||641","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2016||413","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2012||185"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2024||641","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2016||413","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BRAES-RIVER-2012||185"],"shares":[[0.6036007580543272,0.38755527479469365],[0.6130286825473992,0.3869713174526009],[0.7857477730895452,0.21425222691045476]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[38.755527479469364,60.36007580543272,0.8843967150979154],[38.69713174526009,61.30286825473991,0],[21.425222691045477,78.57477730895452,0]],"volatility_latest":0.942792449307192,"volatility_previous":17.27190905421461,"volatility_mean":9.107350751760901,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"SANTA CRUZ","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[14.568599717114566,23.469628929331122,1.770145310435936],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2024||642","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2016||414","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2012||186"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2024||642","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2016||414","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SANTA-CRUZ-2012||186"],"shares":[[0.5728429985855729,0.4271570014144272],[0.6173481446466557,0.3826518553533444],[0.5088507265521797,0.49114927344782033]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":20.20468479944165,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[57.28429985855728,42.71570014144272,0],[61.73481446466556,38.26518553533444,0],[50.88507265521797,49.11492734478203,0]],"volatility_latest":4.450514606108278,"volatility_previous":10.849741809447593,"volatility_mean":7.650128207777936,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"BROMPTON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.135095447870782,11.047619047619051,11.755233494363935],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2024||643","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2016||415","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2012||187"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2024||643","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2016||415","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BROMPTON-2012||187"],"shares":[[0.5406754772393539,0.4593245227606461],[0.5552380952380953,0.44476190476190475],[0.5587761674718197,0.4412238325281803]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":53.14566833777711,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.93245227606461,54.06754772393539,0],[55.523809523809526,44.476190476190474,0],[44.12238325281803,55.87761674718197,0]],"volatility_latest":9.591357247744916,"volatility_previous":11.401426270991493,"volatility_mean":10.496391759368205,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"BLACK RIVER","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.792110567232939,4.932453660069115,13.406029506093645],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2024||644","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2016||416","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2012||188"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2024||644","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2016||416","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-BLACK-RIVER-2012||188"],"shares":[[0.5689605528361646,0.4310394471638353],[0.5246622683003456,0.47533773169965443],[0.5670301475304682,0.4329698524695318]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":44.52197305515069,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2024||645","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2016||417","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2012||189"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2024||645","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2016||417","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MOUNTAINSIDE-2012||189"],"shares":[[0.5938109841092836,0.4061890158907165],[0.6661253653783696,0.3338746346216304],[0.5748113453031486,0.4251886546968514]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2024||646","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2016||418","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2012||190"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2024||646","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2016||418","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-PEDRO-PLAINS-2012||190"],"shares":[[0.5329971497478624,0.46700285025213767],[0.6307363927427961,0.36926360725720386],[0.5594799566630553,0.4405200433369448]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":35.03279666213823,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2024||647","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2016||419","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2012||191"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2024||647","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2016||419","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MALVERN-2012||191"],"shares":[[0.5101493680582153,0.48372271160474917],[0.5334014996591684,0.4611451942740286],[0.5600522193211489,0.43994778067885115]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":75.22833532407431,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.01493680582153,48.37227116047492,0.6127920337035618],[53.34014996591684,46.11451942740286,0.5453306066803],[43.994778067885115,56.005221932114885,0]],"volatility_latest":2.325213160095313,"volatility_previous":9.890702504712023,"volatility_mean":6.107957832403668,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"MYERSVILLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[14.114114114114116,14.554748453053534,40.12954097437341],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2024||648","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2016||420","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2012||192"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2024||648","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2016||420","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-MYERSVILLE-2012||192"],"shares":[[0.5705705705705706,0.4294294294294294],[0.5727737422652677,0.42722625773473233],[0.7006477048718671,0.29935229512813294]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":15.760764490890654,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[42.94294294294294,57.05705705705706,0],[42.72262577347323,57.27737422652677,0],[29.935229512813294,70.0647704871867,0]],"volatility_latest":0.22031716946970903,"volatility_previous":12.78739626065994,"volatility_mean":6.503856715064824,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"SOUTHFIELD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[31.600270087778533,37.86941580756013,9.543817527010802],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2024||649","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2016||421","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2012||193"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2024||649","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2016||421","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-SOUTHFIELD-2012||193"],"shares":[[0.6580013504388927,0.34199864956110737],[0.6893470790378007,0.3106529209621993],[0.5477190876350541,0.452280912364946]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[65.80013504388927,34.19986495611074,0],[68.93470790378007,31.06529209621993,0],[54.7719087635054,45.2280912364946,0]],"volatility_latest":3.1345728598908007,"volatility_previous":14.162799140274666,"volatility_mean":8.648686000082733,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST ELIZABETH","name":"JUNCTION","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.049297641134373,14.920811336482359,8.348045397225718],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2024||650","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2016||422","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2012||194"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2024||650","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2016||422","JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION|JM-W-ST-ELIZABETH-JUNCTION-2012||194"],"shares":[[0.5902464882056718,0.4097535117943281],[0.5746040566824118,0.42539594331758823],[0.5417402269861286,0.4582597730138714]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-ELIZABETH","parent":"ST ELIZABETH","comparison_ci":19.296867373260472,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.02464882056719,40.97535117943281,0],[57.46040566824118,42.53959433175882,0],[54.17402269861286,45.82597730138714,0]],"volatility_latest":1.5642431523260072,"volatility_previous":3.2863829696283204,"volatility_mean":2.425313060977164,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"PORUS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[1.2569832402234624,11.715664765247922,17.586750788643528],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2024||651","JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2016||423","JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2012||195"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2024||651","JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2016||423","JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS|JM-W-MANCHESTER-PORUS-2012||195"],"shares":[[0.5020949720670391,0.48952513966480443],[0.5585783238262396,0.4414216761737604],[0.5879337539432177,0.4120662460567824]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":69.86217773713597,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[50.20949720670391,48.952513966480446,0.8379888268156425],[55.85783238262396,44.14216761737604,0],[41.206624605678236,58.793375394321764,0]],"volatility_latest":5.648335175920051,"volatility_previous":14.651207776945725,"volatility_mean":10.149771476432889,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"GROVE TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[14.17192167275141,27.42146596858639,8.922155688622752],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2024||652","JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2016||424","JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2012||196"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2024||652","JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2016||424","JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-GROVE-TOWN-2012||196"],"shares":[[0.570859608363757,0.42914039163624296],[0.637107329842932,0.36289267015706805],[0.5446107784431138,0.4553892215568862]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":11.890958184554812,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2024||653","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2016||425","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2012||197"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2024||653","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2016||425","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ALLIGATOR-POND-2012||197"],"shares":[[0.5583203732503889,0.4416796267496112],[0.5157639450282943,0.4518997574777688],[0.6289332310053722,0.37106676899462776]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":42.53482481665066,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[44.16796267496112,55.83203732503888,0],[45.18997574777688,51.57639450282942,3.2336297493936943],[37.10667689946278,62.89332310053722,0]],"volatility_latest":4.255642822209457,"volatility_previous":11.316928597707797,"volatility_mean":7.7862857099586265,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"NEWPORT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[16.355854478752676,26.728826728826732,45.04249291784703],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2024||654","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2016||426","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2012||198"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2024||654","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2016||426","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEWPORT-2012||198"],"shares":[[0.5817792723937634,0.41822072760623663],[0.6336441336441336,0.36635586635586637],[0.7252124645892352,0.27478753541076484]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[41.82207276062366,58.17792723937634,0],[36.635586635586634,63.364413364413366,0],[27.478753541076486,72.52124645892351,0]],"volatility_latest":5.186486125037028,"volatility_previous":9.156833094510148,"volatility_mean":7.171659609773588,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"KNOCKPATRICK","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.2139836481533735,15.273132664437014,3.9317123642007203],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2024||655","JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2016||427","JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2012||199"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2024||655","JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2016||427","JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK|JM-W-MANCHESTER-KNOCKPATRICK-2012||199"],"shares":[[0.5131096701437835,0.48096983366224977],[0.5763656633221851,0.4236343366778149],[0.5196585618210036,0.4803414381789964]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":65.48249387678399,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[48.096983366224975,51.31096701437835,0.5920496193966732],[57.63656633221851,42.36343366778149,0],[51.96585618210036,48.03414381789964,0]],"volatility_latest":9.53958296599353,"volatility_previous":5.670710150118147,"volatility_mean":7.605146558055838,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"MANDEVILLE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.388520971302427,1.5952980688497007,15.94955489614243],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2024||656","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2016||428","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2012||200"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2024||656","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2016||428","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MANDEVILLE-2012||200"],"shares":[[0.5419426048565121,0.45805739514348787],[0.5079764903442485,0.4920235096557515],[0.5797477744807121,0.42025222551928787]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":64.46671253474695,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.80573951434879,54.19426048565121,0],[49.20235096557515,50.79764903442485,0],[42.025222551928785,57.974777448071215,0]],"volatility_latest":3.396611451226363,"volatility_previous":7.177128413646365,"volatility_mean":5.286869932436364,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"ROYAL FLAT","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[8.222168324035891,5.389541088580572,15.977291159772918],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2024||657","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2016||429","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2012||201"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2024||657","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2016||429","JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT|JM-W-MANCHESTER-ROYAL-FLAT-2012||201"],"shares":[[0.5411108416201794,0.4588891583798205],[0.5269477054429028,0.47305229455709713],[0.5798864557988646,0.4201135442011354]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":59.26053781513501,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.888915837982054,54.111084162017946,0],[47.305229455709714,52.694770544290286,0],[42.01135442011354,57.98864557988646,0]],"volatility_latest":1.4163136177276598,"volatility_previous":5.293875035596173,"volatility_mean":3.3550943266619164,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"BELLEFIELD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[20.138355111452725,39.88387673068334,51.045510455104555],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2024||658","JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2016||430","JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2012||202"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2024||658","JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2016||430","JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-BELLEFIELD-2012||202"],"shares":[[0.6006917755572636,0.3993082244427364],[0.6994193836534167,0.3005806163465833],[0.7552275522755229,0.24477244772447726]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[39.93082244427364,60.06917755572636,0],[30.05806163465833,69.94193836534167,0],[24.477244772447726,75.52275522755228,0]],"volatility_latest":9.872760809615308,"volatility_previous":5.580816862210607,"volatility_mean":7.7267888359129575,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"SPUR TREE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[22.723253757736515,13.375796178343947,15.78947368421052],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2024||659","JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2016||431","JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2012||203"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2024||659","JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2016||431","JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE|JM-W-MANCHESTER-SPUR-TREE-2012||203"],"shares":[[0.6136162687886826,0.3863837312113174],[0.5668789808917197,0.43312101910828027],[0.5789473684210527,0.4210526315789474]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":3.871807617169265,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2024||660","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2016||432","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2012||204"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2024||660","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2016||432","JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN|JM-W-MANCHESTER-NEW-GREEN-2012||204"],"shares":[[0.6582435791217895,0.34175642087821045],[0.5836298932384342,0.41637010676156583],[0.5919732441471571,0.4080267558528428]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2024||661","JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2016||433","JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2012||205"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2024||661","JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2016||433","JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL|JM-W-MANCHESTER-JOHNS-HALL-2012||205"],"shares":[[0.6077638495754144,0.39223615042458554],[0.53081876724931,0.46918123275069],[0.6054613935969868,0.39453860640301314]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":15.549920720259646,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[39.223615042458555,60.776384957541445,0],[46.918123275069,53.081876724931,0],[39.453860640301315,60.546139359698685,0]],"volatility_latest":7.6945082326104455,"volatility_previous":7.464262634767685,"volatility_mean":7.579385433689065,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"MILE GULLY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[21.523046092184373,10.220768601798852,10.359712230215834],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2024||662","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2016||434","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2012||206"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2024||662","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2016||434","JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY|JM-W-MANCHESTER-MILE-GULLY-2012||206"],"shares":[[0.6076152304609219,0.39238476953907814],[0.5511038430089943,0.4488961569910057],[0.5517985611510792,0.44820143884892083]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":14.91985270564069,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[39.23847695390781,60.76152304609219,0],[44.889615699100574,55.110384300899426,0],[44.82014388489208,55.17985611510792,0]],"volatility_latest":5.65113874519276,"volatility_previous":0.06947181420849091,"volatility_mean":2.8603052797006256,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"CRAIGHEAD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.081435472739827,59.3233082706767,10.343007915567284],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2024||663","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2016||435","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2012||207"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2024||663","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2016||435","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CRAIGHEAD-2012||207"],"shares":[[0.5904071773636992,0.40959282263630087],[0.7966165413533836,0.20338345864661656],[0.5517150395778364,0.4482849604221636]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.04071773636991,40.95928226363009,0],[79.66165413533835,20.338345864661655,0],[55.17150395778364,44.82849604221636,0]],"volatility_latest":20.620936398968436,"volatility_previous":24.490150177554707,"volatility_mean":22.55554328826157,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"CHRISTIANA","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[7.94930875576037,26.42345721104671,2.929085303186028],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2024||664","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2016||436","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2012||208"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2024||664","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2016||436","JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA|JM-W-MANCHESTER-CHRISTIANA-2012||208"],"shares":[[0.5397465437788018,0.4602534562211982],[0.6321172860552335,0.36788271394476646],[0.5146454265159301,0.48535457348406985]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":35.05234526455582,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[46.025345622119815,53.974654377880185,0],[63.211728605523355,36.788271394476645,0],[51.464542651593014,48.535457348406986,0]],"volatility_latest":17.18638298340354,"volatility_previous":11.747185953930341,"volatility_mean":14.46678446866694,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON","country":"Jamaica","region":"MANCHESTER","name":"WALDERSTON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[5.425904317386227,26.95346795434591,2.3400056385678027],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2024||665","JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2016||437","JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2012||209"],"all_keys":["JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2024||665","JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2016||437","JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON|JM-W-MANCHESTER-WALDERSTON-2012||209"],"shares":[[0.5271295215869312,0.47287047841306884],[0.6347673397717295,0.36523266022827044],[0.511700028192839,0.488299971807161]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-MANCHESTER","parent":"MANCHESTER","comparison_ci":42.12208229703855,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[47.28704784130689,52.71295215869311,0],[63.476733977172955,36.523266022827045,0],[48.8299971807161,51.1700028192839,0]],"volatility_latest":16.18968613586607,"volatility_previous":14.646736796456857,"volatility_mean":15.418211466161463,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"SPALDING","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[34.354653389505934,24.164724164724163,25.485961123110158],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2024||666","JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2016||438","JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2012||210"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2024||666","JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2016||438","JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING|JM-W-CLARENDON-SPALDING-2012||210"],"shares":[[0.6690923018000765,0.3255457679050172],[0.6208236208236209,0.3791763791763792],[0.6274298056155508,0.3725701943844492]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2024||667","JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2016||439","JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2012||211"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2024||667","JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2016||439","JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES|JM-W-CLARENDON-RITCHIES-2012||211"],"shares":[[0.5645261845386533,0.4307980049875312],[0.5089094796863863,0.49109052031361367],[0.6321577550246492,0.3678422449753508]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":43.99292672628252,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2024||668","JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2016||440","JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2012||212"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2024||668","JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2016||440","JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD|JM-W-CLARENDON-FRANKFIELD-2012||212"],"shares":[[0.5960240060015004,0.4039759939984996],[0.6249559393725767,0.37504406062742335],[0.5026473702788564,0.49735262972114364]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":4.634077559441108,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.60240060015004,40.39759939984996,0],[62.49559393725767,37.50440606274233,0],[49.73526297211436,50.26473702788564,0]],"volatility_latest":2.8931933371076255,"volatility_previous":12.760330965143304,"volatility_mean":7.826762151125465,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"THOMPSON TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[3.660189787618613,0.4573804573804523,23.139013452914796],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2024||669","JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2016||441","JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2012||213"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2024||669","JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2016||441","JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-THOMPSON-TOWN-2012||213"],"shares":[[0.5164934478084049,0.4798915499322187],[0.5022869022869023,0.49771309771309774],[0.615695067264574,0.38430493273542604]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":76.76385322461608,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[51.64934478084049,47.989154993221874,0.3615002259376412],[50.228690228690226,49.771309771309774,0],[38.4304932735426,61.5695067264574,0]],"volatility_latest":1.782154778087901,"volatility_previous":11.798196955147624,"volatility_mean":6.790175866617762,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"AENON TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2024,2024,2016],"gaps":[null,3.3898305084745743,5.958654235914068],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://our.today/pnps-delroy-dawson-wins-aenon-town-division/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-BY-2024-11-22||732","JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-2024||670","JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-2016||442"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-BY-2024-11-22||732","JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-2024||670","JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-2016||442","JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-AENON-TOWN-2012||214"],"shares":[[null,null],[0.5169491525423728,0.4830508474576271],[0.5297932711795703,0.4702067288204297]],"cycle_sources":["https://our.today/pnps-delroy-dawson-wins-aenon-town-division/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[null,[51.69491525423729,48.30508474576271,0],[47.020672882042966,52.979327117957034,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":4.674242372194321,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1,"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"KELLITS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.511988716502117,14.153762564520505,13.712021136063413],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2024||671","JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2016||443","JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2012||215"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2024||671","JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2016||443","JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS|JM-W-CLARENDON-KELLITS-2012||215"],"shares":[[0.5675599435825106,0.4324400564174894],[0.5707688128226025,0.4292311871773975],[0.5685601056803171,0.43143989431968294]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":31.377379435681185,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[56.75599435825106,43.24400564174894,0],[57.07688128226025,42.92311871773975,0],[43.14398943196829,56.85601056803171,0]],"volatility_latest":0.3208869240091943,"volatility_previous":13.93289185029196,"volatility_mean":7.126889387150577,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"CROFTS HILL","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[6.64819944598338,8.370345063204653,34.54423141607804],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2024||672","JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2016||444","JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2012||216"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2024||672","JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2016||444","JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL|JM-W-CLARENDON-CROFTS-HILL-2012||216"],"shares":[[0.5332409972299169,0.4667590027700831],[0.5418517253160232,0.45814827468397673],[0.6727211570803903,0.32727884291960985]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":50.227768359203864,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[46.67590027700831,53.32409972299169,0],[45.814827468397674,54.185172531602326,0],[32.72788429196098,67.27211570803902,0]],"volatility_latest":0.8610728086106363,"volatility_previous":13.086943176436694,"volatility_mean":6.974007992523665,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"CHAPELTON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[9.924664264657707,20.70759625390218,1.4464168310322094],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2024||673","JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2016||445","JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2012||217"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2024||673","JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2016||445","JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON|JM-W-CLARENDON-CHAPELTON-2012||217"],"shares":[[0.5496233213232885,0.45037667867671144],[0.6035379812695109,0.3964620187304891],[0.5072320841551611,0.492767915844839]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":38.44140440965751,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2024||674","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2016||446","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2012||218"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2024||674","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2016||446","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCK-RIVER-2012||218"],"shares":[[0.605672461116194,0.394327538883806],[0.6937901498929336,0.30620985010706636],[0.544920993227991,0.455079006772009]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2024||675","JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2016||447","JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2012||219"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2024||675","JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2016||447","JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO|JM-W-CLARENDON-MOCHO-2012||219"],"shares":[[0.5429447852760736,0.4570552147239264],[0.5962671905697445,0.4037328094302554],[0.5231958762886598,0.4768041237113402]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":43.03338403456649,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.70552147239264,54.29447852760736,0],[59.62671905697446,40.37328094302554,0],[52.31958762886598,47.68041237113402,0]],"volatility_latest":13.921197584581819,"volatility_previous":7.307131428108477,"volatility_mean":10.614164506345148,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"MAY PEN NORTH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":2,"seat_cycles":2,"years":[2024,2018,2016],"gaps":[44.22187981510015,null,70.41719342604299],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2018/04/28/jlps-tanya-lee-williams-celebrates-in-may-pen/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-2024||676","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-BY-2018-04-27||730","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-2016||448"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-2024||676","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-BY-2018-04-27||730","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-2016||448","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-NORTH-2012||220"],"shares":[[0.7211093990755008,0.27889060092449924],[null,null],[0.8520859671302149,0.14791403286978508]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2018/04/28/jlps-tanya-lee-williams-celebrates-in-may-pen/","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":null,"comparison_status":"Comparison unavailable","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[72.11093990755008,27.889060092449924,0],null,[85.20859671302149,14.791403286978507,0]],"volatility_latest":null,"volatility_previous":null,"volatility_mean":null,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3,"Preliminary or reported result; final vote vector not independently certified":1},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"DENBIGH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[40.75723830734967,58.36376917457998,26.057906458797333],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2024||677","JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2016||449","JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2012||221"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2024||677","JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2016||449","JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH|JM-W-CLARENDON-DENBIGH-2012||221"],"shares":[[0.7037861915367484,0.2962138084632517],[0.7918188458728999,0.20818115412710006],[0.6302895322939867,0.36971046770601335]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[70.37861915367483,29.621380846325167,0],[79.18188458728999,20.818115412710007,0],[63.02895322939867,36.97104677060133,0]],"volatility_latest":8.803265433615156,"volatility_previous":16.152931357891323,"volatility_mean":12.47809839575324,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"MAY PEN EAST","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[27.771556550951843,52.25169648365207,34.625458355159765],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2024||678","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2016||450","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2012||222"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2024||678","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2016||450","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-EAST-2012||222"],"shares":[[0.6388577827547592,0.36114221724524076],[0.7612584824182603,0.23874151758173967],[0.6731272917757988,0.32687270822420117]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[63.88577827547592,36.11422172452408,0],[76.12584824182603,23.874151758173966,0],[67.31272917757988,32.68727082242012,0]],"volatility_latest":12.240069966350113,"volatility_previous":8.813119064246152,"volatility_mean":10.526594515298132,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"MAY PEN WEST","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[13.602941176470594,12.40731586752348,11.31439576311989],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2024||679","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2016||451","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2012||223"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2024||679","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2016||451","JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST|JM-W-CLARENDON-MAY-PEN-WEST-2012||223"],"shares":[[0.5680147058823529,0.431985294117647],[0.5620365793376174,0.4379634206623826],[0.5565719788155995,0.44342802118440056]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":34.92300478774306,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2024||680","JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2016||452","JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2012||224"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2024||680","JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2016||452","JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE|JM-W-CLARENDON-TOLL-GATE-2012||224"],"shares":[[0.5764044943820225,0.42359550561797754],[0.5001655081098975,0.4998344918901026],[0.5589203423304806,0.4410796576695194]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":48.21561670476924,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[42.359550561797754,57.640449438202246,0],[50.01655081098974,49.98344918901026,0],[44.10796576695194,55.89203423304806,0]],"volatility_latest":7.657000249191988,"volatility_previous":5.9085850440378,"volatility_mean":6.782792646614894,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"CLARENDON","name":"YORK TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[35.64173591874423,21.182266009852214,41.94577352472089],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2024||681","JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2016||453","JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2012||225"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2024||681","JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2016||453","JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN|JM-W-CLARENDON-YORK-TOWN-2012||225"],"shares":[[0.6620498614958449,0.30563250230840255],[0.6059113300492611,0.39408866995073893],[0.7097288676236044,0.29027113237639557]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2024||682","JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2016||454","JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2012||226"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2024||682","JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2016||454","JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER|JM-W-CLARENDON-MILK-RIVER-2012||226"],"shares":[[0.6629464285714286,0.33705357142857145],[0.4778567523236742,0.302351011481684],[0.7672473867595819,0.2327526132404181]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2024||683","JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2016||455","JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2012||227"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2024||683","JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2016||455","JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE|JM-W-CLARENDON-RACE-COURSE-2012||227"],"shares":[[0.5213872832369942,0.47861271676300576],[0.526924611088951,0.47307538891104906],[0.5080027835768963,0.49199721642310373]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":78.28996837342854,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2024||684","JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2016||456","JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2012||228"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2024||684","JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2016||456","JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS|JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS-2012||228"],"shares":[[0.4934481467615125,0.4586297266941221],[0.5963431786216596,0.40365682137834036],[0.5044737963357477,0.49552620366425226]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":60.2041407597102,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2024||685","JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2016||457","JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2012||229"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2024||685","JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2016||457","JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS|JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS-2012||229"],"shares":[[0.5900407140620106,0.40995928593798936],[0.6003838771593091,0.399616122840691],[0.5555963302752294,0.44440366972477063]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":10.300775387477989,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2024||686","JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2016||458","JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2012||230"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2024||686","JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2016||458","JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES|JM-W-CLARENDON-HAYES-2012||230"],"shares":[[0.6519607843137255,0.3480392156862745],[0.6718027734976887,0.32819722650231126],[0.7180889861415025,0.28191101385849743]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2024||687","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2016||459","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2012||231"],"all_keys":["JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2024||687","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2016||459","JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT|JM-W-CLARENDON-ROCKY-POINT-2012||231"],"shares":[[0.5528235611996757,0.44717643880032426],[0.6290272130121989,0.37097278698780106],[0.6094541361845808,0.3905458638154192]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-CLARENDON","parent":"CLARENDON","comparison_ci":18.652285758076804,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2024||689","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2016||461","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2012||233"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2024||689","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2016||461","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-EWARTON-2012||233"],"shares":[[0.719412019022914,0.28058798097708604],[0.5187826913932477,0.4717070851165003],[0.6843255051884216,0.3156744948115784]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[28.058798097708603,71.9412019022914,0],[47.17070851165003,51.87826913932477,0.9510223490252021],[31.567449481157837,68.43255051884216,0]],"volatility_latest":20.062932762966625,"volatility_previous":16.55428137951739,"volatility_mean":18.308607071242008,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"TREADWAYS","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[18.37130392632089,1.633802816901408,41.370558375634516],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2024||690","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2016||462","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2012||234"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2024||690","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2016||462","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TREADWAYS-2012||234"],"shares":[[0.5918565196316045,0.40814348036839554],[0.4929577464788732,0.4766197183098591],[0.7068527918781726,0.29314720812182743]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":21.750104807867952,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[40.814348036839554,59.185651963160446,0],[47.66197183098591,49.29577464788732,3.0422535211267605],[29.314720812182742,70.68527918781726,0]],"volatility_latest":9.889877315273122,"volatility_previous":21.389504539929934,"volatility_mean":15.639690927601528,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"LINSTEAD","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[24.987916868052203,5.316031812473838,45.7428068115091],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2024||691","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2016||463","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2012||235"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2024||691","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2016||463","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-LINSTEAD-2012||235"],"shares":[[0.6215563073948768,0.37167713871435476],[0.5265801590623692,0.4734198409376308],[0.6705813270698766,0.21315325895478565]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[37.167713871435474,62.15563073948768,0.6766553890768487],[47.34198409376308,52.65801590623692,0],[21.315325895478566,67.05813270698766,11.626541397533764]],"volatility_latest":10.174270222327607,"volatility_previous":26.02665819828451,"volatility_mean":18.100464210306058,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"OLD HARBOUR NORTH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[5.330385654630312,33.0039011703511,6.69948044845502],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2024||692","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2016||464","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2012||236"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2024||692","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2016||464","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-NORTH-2012||236"],"shares":[[0.5237042495701302,0.4704003930238271],[0.6650195058517555,0.3349804941482445],[0.5334974022422752,0.4665025977577249]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":31.153251056354904,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2024||693","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2016||465","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2012||237"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2024||693","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2016||465","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-CENTRAL-2012||237"],"shares":[[0.5661809350333941,0.3940497874924105],[0.6391781593019983,0.3608218406980017],[0.5624365482233502,0.43756345177664974]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0.36355312477042157,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2024||694","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2016||466","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2012||238"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2024||694","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2016||466","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-OLD-HARBOUR-SOUTH-2012||238"],"shares":[[0.546922024623803,0.453077975376197],[0.5516058621764889,0.44496414094169007],[0.5160098522167488,0.48214285714285715]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":54.15717728680378,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[45.3077975376197,54.6922024623803,0],[55.16058621764889,44.496414094169005,0.34299968818210164],[48.214285714285715,51.600985221674875,0.18472906403940886]],"volatility_latest":10.195788368211295,"volatility_previous":7.10457112750587,"volatility_mean":8.650179747858582,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"CHURCH PEN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[19.087248322147644,43.789716926631996,6.36442894507411],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2024||695","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2016||467","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2012||239"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2024||695","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2016||467","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-CHURCH-PEN-2012||239"],"shares":[[0.5954362416107383,0.4045637583892618],[0.71894858463316,0.28105141536684],[0.5318221447253706,0.46817785527462946]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[59.54362416107382,40.45637583892618,0],[71.894858463316,28.105141536684,0],[53.182214472537055,46.817785527462945,0]],"volatility_latest":12.351234302242178,"volatility_previous":18.712643990778943,"volatility_mean":15.53193914651056,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTMORE","name":"GREATER PORTMORE NORTH","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":4,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2017,2016],"gaps":[32.74765222659801,36.42857142857142,27.836670592854333],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://japarliament.gov.jm/attachments/article/1936/Annual%20Report%20to%20Parliament%202016-2017%20Revised%207.23.18.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-2024||696","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-BY-2017-03-27||729","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-2016||468"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-2024||696","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-BY-2017-03-27||729","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-2016||468","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-NORTH-2012||240"],"shares":[[0.6637382611329901,0.33626173886700994],[0.682142857142857,0.31785714285714284],[0.6391833529642716,0.36081664703572836]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://japarliament.gov.jm/attachments/article/1936/Annual%20Report%20to%20Parliament%202016-2017%20Revised%207.23.18.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[33.626173886701,66.373826113299,0],[31.785714285714285,68.21428571428571,0],[36.081664703572834,63.918335296427166,0]],"volatility_latest":1.8404596009867085,"volatility_previous":4.2959504178585455,"volatility_mean":3.068205009422627,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3,"Certified final count":1},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTMORE","name":"BRAETON","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[27.209098862642165,13.29082883766553,28.854961832061065],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2024||697","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2016||469","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2012||241"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2024||697","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2016||469","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRAETON-2012||241"],"shares":[[0.6360454943132108,0.36395450568678916],[0.5664541441883276,0.4335458558116724],[0.6442748091603053,0.35572519083969467]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[36.39545056867892,63.60454943132108,0],[43.354585581167235,56.645414418832765,0],[35.57251908396947,64.42748091603053,0]],"volatility_latest":6.959135012488318,"volatility_previous":7.782066497197768,"volatility_mean":7.370600754843043,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTMORE","name":"GREATER PORTMORE EAST","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[36.10988037217546,32.83819628647215,42.69175108538351],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2024||698","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2016||470","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2012||242"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2024||698","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2016||470","JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST|JM-W-PORTMORE-GREATER-PORTMORE-EAST-2012||242"],"shares":[[0.6805494018608773,0.31945059813912274],[0.6641909814323607,0.33580901856763923],[0.7134587554269176,0.2865412445730825]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[31.945059813912273,68.05494018608773,0],[33.58090185676392,66.41909814323607,0],[28.65412445730825,71.34587554269176,0]],"volatility_latest":1.6358420428516567,"volatility_previous":4.9267773994556805,"volatility_mean":3.2813097211536686,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE","country":"Jamaica","region":"PORTMORE","name":"HELLSHIRE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[50.19124521886953,43.97677793904208,63.9751552795031],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2024||699","JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2016||471","JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2012||243"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2024||699","JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2016||471","JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE|JM-W-PORTMORE-HELLSHIRE-2012||243"],"shares":[[0.7509562260943476,0.24904377390565238],[0.7198838896952104,0.28011611030478956],[0.8198757763975155,0.18012422360248448]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[24.904377390565237,75.09562260943477,0],[28.011611030478957,71.98838896952104,0],[18.012422360248447,81.98757763975155,0]],"volatility_latest":3.1072336399137246,"volatility_previous":9.99918867023051,"volatility_mean":6.553211155072117,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"ENSOM CITY","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[46.618181818181824,50.58064516129033,23.70329057445622],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2024||700","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2016||472","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2012||244"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2024||700","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2016||472","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ENSOM-CITY-2012||244"],"shares":[[0.7330909090909091,0.26690909090909093],[0.7529032258064516,0.2470967741935484],[0.6101505856107083,0.37311767986614613]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[73.30909090909091,26.69090909090909,0],[75.29032258064517,24.70967741935484,0],[61.01505856107083,37.31176798661461,1.6731734523145567]],"volatility_latest":1.9812316715542533,"volatility_previous":14.275264019574333,"volatility_mean":8.128247845564292,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"HAMPTON GREEN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[83.5592479230433,79.18552036199094,66.45525017618041],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2024||701","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2016||473","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2012||245"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2024||701","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2016||473","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-HAMPTON-GREEN-2012||245"],"shares":[[0.9177962396152165,0.08220376038478357],[0.8959276018099547,0.10407239819004525],[0.7829457364341086,0.11839323467230445]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[91.77962396152165,8.220376038478356,0],[89.59276018099547,10.407239819004525,0],[78.29457364341086,11.839323467230445,9.866102889358704]],"volatility_latest":2.186863780526175,"volatility_previous":11.298186537584618,"volatility_mean":6.742525159055397,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"SPANISH TOWN","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[83.98744113029827,87.27810650887574,77.79422649888971],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2024||702","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2016||474","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2012||246"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2024||702","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2016||474","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SPANISH-TOWN-2012||246"],"shares":[[0.9199372056514913,0.08006279434850865],[0.9363905325443787,0.06360946745562131],[0.8889711324944486,0.11102886750555145]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2024||703","JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2016||475","JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2012||247"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2024||703","JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2016||475","JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD|JM-W-PORTMORE-WATERFORD-2012||247"],"shares":[[0.6434176111595467,0.3565823888404534],[0.6047784967645594,0.39522150323544053],[0.6942900454775139,0.3057099545224861]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2024||704","JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2016||476","JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2012||248"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2024||704","JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2016||476","JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY|JM-W-PORTMORE-INDEPENDENCE-CITY-2012||248"],"shares":[[0.5561555075593952,0.44384449244060475],[0.521186440677966,0.4788135593220339],[0.5110732538330494,0.4889267461669506]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":58.843437877668094,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2024||705","JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2016||477","JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2012||249"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2024||705","JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2016||477","JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER|JM-W-PORTMORE-WESTCHESTER-2012||249"],"shares":[[0.587362171331637,0.412637828668363],[0.5655963302752294,0.4344036697247706],[0.5604622368964094,0.4275691291787041]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":21.259142732563742,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2024||706","JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2016||478","JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2012||250"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2024||706","JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2016||478","JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER|JM-W-PORTMORE-EDGEWATER-2012||250"],"shares":[[0.6171806167400881,0.37841409691629957],[0.5912298387096775,0.40877016129032256],[0.6226415094339622,0.37735849056603776]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2024||707","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2016||479","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2012||251"],"all_keys":["JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2024||707","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2016||479","JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT|JM-W-PORTMORE-BRIDGEPORT-2012||251"],"shares":[[0.6019682886823401,0.3980317113176599],[0.5903698534542917,0.4096301465457083],[0.6818532818532819,0.31814671814671813]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-PORTMORE","parent":"PORTMORE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2024||708","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2016||480","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2012||252"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2024||708","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2016||480","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BOG-WALK-2012||252"],"shares":[[0.6262765663814518,0.37372343361854815],[0.5689193212265555,0.43108067877344447],[0.5447953216374269,0.4552046783625731]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2024||709","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2016||481","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2012||253"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2024||709","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2016||481","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-SLIGOVILLE-2012||253"],"shares":[[0.7885964912280702,0.21140350877192982],[0.6957403651115618,0.3042596348884381],[0.8389585342333654,0.16104146576663453]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2024||711","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2016||483","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2012||255"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2024||711","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2016||483","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-ANGELS-2012||255"],"shares":[[0.6474988312295465,0.3525011687704535],[0.504,0.496],[0.630695443645084,0.36930455635491605]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","volatility_groups":["JLP","PNP","Other"],"volatility_vectors":[[35.25011687704535,64.74988312295466,0],[49.6,50.4,0],[36.930455635491604,63.069544364508396,0]],"volatility_latest":14.349883122954655,"volatility_previous":12.669544364508397,"volatility_mean":13.509713743731526,"polling_context":[],"current_government":"Unverified","current_government_source":"","as_elected_control":null,"registry_status":"Imported office register; cohort verification described in local note","source_quality_counts":{"Official ECJ final ward summary; seats from the reported plurality":3},"unresolved_event_count":0,"resolved_invalid_event_count":0},{"id":"JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE","country":"Jamaica","region":"ST CATHERINE","name":"GINGER RIDGE","office":"Electoral division councillor","tier":"Municipal ward","date":"2028-02","current":true,"events":3,"vote_cycles":3,"seat_cycles":3,"years":[2024,2016,2012],"gaps":[0.34499753573189196,0.8910891089108901,8.846688281611861],"score_gate":false,"event_review":"Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete","basis":"Imported comparison cycles; certification review open","note":"All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2024||712","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2016||484","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2012||256"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2024||712","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2016||484","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-GINGER-RIDGE-2012||256"],"shares":[[0.5017249876786595,0.4982750123213405],[0.5044554455445545,0.49554455445544554],[0.5442334414080593,0.4557665585919407]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":93.20502958863206,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2024||713","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2016||485","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2012||257"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2024||713","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2016||485","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-POINT-HILL-2012||257"],"shares":[[0.6183673469387755,0.38163265306122446],[0.6476282671829623,0.35237173281703776],[0.5910212136161815,0.40897878638381846]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.","local_note":"Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2024||715","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2016||487","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2012||259"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2024||715","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2016||487","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-BELLEVUE-2012||259"],"shares":[[0.6823793490460157,0.3176206509539843],[0.8461538461538461,0.15384615384615385],[0.5389386629910407,0.4610613370089593]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. 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Future parish and electoral boundaries remain provisional; old-map results are not a confirmed future ward map.","sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"selected_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2024||722","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2016||494","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2012||266"],"all_keys":["JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2024||722","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2016||494","JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK|JM-W-ST-CATHERINE-TWICKENHAM-PARK-2012||266"],"shares":[[0.729090909090909,0.2709090909090909],[0.7351485148514851,0.26485148514851486],[0.7215332581736189,0.2784667418263811]],"cycle_sources":["https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/2024LocalGovernmentSummaryResults.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2016LocalGovernmentElectionSummary.pdf","https://www.ecj.com.jm/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2012ParishCouncilSummary.pdf"],"parent_office_id":"JM-C-ST-CATHERINE","parent":"ST CATHERINE","comparison_ci":0,"comparison_status":"Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open","volatility_method":"Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). 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